Can't oracle cards be excluded from the handicap?
I think they should be excluded.
Drawing those 5 Destroyers/SNs etc. is a gift from the Oracle ... what you make of it is your call.
I like the concept of it, but I see one major flaw, and that is that this has the potential to have the opposite effect. That is, to make 'more' uncreative decks flood the arena.
Take the case of a person who is thinking about an interesting deck idea in the following example.
Oh hey, I got a Ghost of the Past. Pretty neat, although I don't want to throw up another Ghostmare deck, thats boring.
I know! I'll make a quasi Devonian Rush with GotP's, a couple devonians, and some other fun stuff.
Aw, wait... I can't. It won't be as effective as GotP. GotP has a 'real' bad handicap, and if I don't make this deck function at that level of efficiency then it'll get kicked out in three hours.
*sigh* Ghostmare it is.
I believe that should explain my problem with this idea. Put simply, the problem is that this takes only into consideration the card, and not the deck it is being constructed for. So original decktypes that use an oracle card that is commonly used become altogether unviable because they are expected to function at the efficiency of a 'common deck'.
I kind of see you point: What good is betting on a 3-legged dog if it never wins anyways?
You can bet that there will be a large deal of people who are willing to take any handicap just
to have their deck rise to the top/ stay in the line-up. Even moreso when the competition is
a bunch of three-legged dogs ...
Then again, the meta might just change: If the composition of arena-decks changes to
start out with, the type of deck used to farm Arena will too, which again feeds back on the
success certain deck-entries have.
It can still be expected, that certain dogs, like the Immodog, just are what they are: Apex.
They don't give a crap who is betting on or against them and what their competition is.
Oh well, the cat is chasing its own tail here ...