Elements Mafia 61 - by Linkcat

[Espithel]

probably the quickest (and latest) lynch change in the history of elements mafia

Not even close. Right, Espithel?

Coffee did nothing wrong
Don't abuse me like that again >:U

[CleanOnion]

There's aren't enough stab wounds in me to kill me just yet. You made me go through all this effort and now you want me not to experience the result. Dammit, Link.

[Linkcat]

The only reason I even put this rule in was actually to prevent sniping at the end of the timer.

Sorry guys, I would have ended it earlier, but I was on disco chat with math, and he was going to try to beat my 5 seconds, so I waited until 10 seconds before to snipe the end of day before he could post. Worth.

-

1011686 has been lynched.

He was CleanOnion, and also Town.
Bonus Task (ER) - You love it when people get creative. The name of the target player's role and the number of abilities they have are revealed. Their abilities are disabled until they claim the names of their abilities and what they do. This ability is revealed the first time you use this, but your identity remains secret.

Expert Panel (Trigger) - When you die, choose the player who you think created the best abilities in the Bonus Task. The next time they would die during the Night, they live instead.

1011686 can choose Solaris, worldwideweb3, or neither for Expert Panel. The target is not publicly revealed. Expert Panel is unaffected by any other role.

I was worried that there wouldn't be any awesome fake claims, so I put in a role specifically to encourage it. Unfortunately it didn't get used as much as I wanted to.

Night 3 has ended.

[Fippe94]

So instead of lynching CO, we lynched CO. Seems legit.

[UTAlan]

So here's the full players list of who is alive at this point in the game:

Spoiler for Hidden:

• CleanOnion
• DoubleCapitals
• Espithel
• Fippe94
• Hyroen
• JonathanCrazyJ
• RootRanger
• Sera
• Solaris
• UTAlan
• andretimpa
• dawn to dusk
• fabian771
• godisnowonline
• killsdazombies
• mathman101
• rob77dp
• worldwideweb3

Of those, Sera is confirmed civvy (as much as we'll get confirmed in this setup, anyway).

Next, we have those that are strongly leaning town due to their claimed abilities / results of someone else's claimed ability:

* Fippe as investigative of some sort
* CO as confirmed by Fippe
* godisnowonline as town ability (bodyguard)
* Espithel as claimed neutered Jester

Not that they are 100% confirmed by any means, but we can put off lynching them until later in the game, if necessary. This leaves us with:

Spoiler for Hidden:

• DoubleCapitals
• Hyroen
• JonathanCrazyJ
• RootRanger
• Solaris
• UTAlan
• andretimpa
• dawn to dusk
• fabian771
• killsdazombies
• mathman101
• rob77dp
• worldwideweb3

So 13 (12 in my mind, since I know that I'm town) remaining players, maybe 1 fewer depending on who gets NK'd tonight. We're nearing a 50% chance of lynching mafia if we randomly selected the target. Hopefully we can have improved odds with scumreading and investigative roles and such. We should also be careful not to let the semi-confirmed players determine the lynch target, at least until we can get some sort of actual confirmation.

Personally, I'm still thinking Root and rob are leaning town, and probably Solaris, as well. Everyone else is a big shrug b/c I suck at scumreading. -_- (If we go back to low posters, which is obviously not perfect but at least it's something, that puts killsdazombies, dawn to dusk, worldwideweb3, fabian771, and Hyroen as the 5 w/ the fewest posts [in that order]. [I chose 5 b/c there are 5 mafia members. andre, Fippe, Root and Rob are next in order, just for the record.])

I'm thinking I'll stab Fippe or CO twice so we can have that as a backup method for killing one of them if needed in late game? (Assuming I haven't been killed by then.)

Thoughts?

[Fippe94]

Also for reference, I cannot confirm anyone else as town.

[UTAlan]

Also for reference, I cannot confirm anyone else as town.

I'm guessing you mean at all, for the rest of the game? (As opposed to "at this moment".)

[Fippe94]

Correct.

[1011686]

...
God damn time zones differences. I was asleep during that whole thing.

BTW,

Hm, the use of "chill" makes me suspect that killsdazombies is roleplaying JonathanCrazyJ, notorious user of WATER cards, which are known for their chilling effect!

In the pokemon mafia I hosted, JonathanCrazyJ...was mafia!


mathman101 {0} - Espithel
worldwideweb3 {1} - CleanOnion
godisnowonline {2} - Hyroen, rob77dp
CleanOnion {1} - RootRanger

The idea that a mafia would try to confirm another mafia as civ is super silly though, especially when there is zero suspicion cast toward either of them. This inclines me to think that CleanOnion is maybe 0.01% or 0.02% more likely than the average player to be mafia. Not a shitpost.


Instead of "anything" posts, we should cast suspicion on arbitrary players based on silly reasoning and try to justify it as an actual science. We could even throw in wildly exaggerated percentages.

Personally I'm about 90% sure that Hyroen is mafia. I can just see from the way he's been posting. I know all his tells.

Don't these seem like (tongue-in-cheek impressions of) demagogue posts to you?

[Espithel]

...
God damn time zones differences. I was asleep during that whole thing.

BTW,

Hm, the use of "chill" makes me suspect that killsdazombies is roleplaying JonathanCrazyJ, notorious user of WATER cards, which are known for their chilling effect!

In the pokemon mafia I hosted, JonathanCrazyJ...was mafia!


mathman101 {0} - Espithel
worldwideweb3 {1} - CleanOnion
godisnowonline {2} - Hyroen, rob77dp
CleanOnion {1} - RootRanger

The idea that a mafia would try to confirm another mafia as civ is super silly though, especially when there is zero suspicion cast toward either of them. This inclines me to think that CleanOnion is maybe 0.01% or 0.02% more likely than the average player to be mafia. Not a shitpost.


Instead of "anything" posts, we should cast suspicion on arbitrary players based on silly reasoning and try to justify it as an actual science. We could even throw in wildly exaggerated percentages.

Personally I'm about 90% sure that Hyroen is mafia. I can just see from the way he's been posting. I know all his tells.

Don't these seem like (tongue-in-cheek impressions of) demagogue posts to you?

no

[Linkcat]

Do not discuss the game in your death post. Thank you.

[Sera]

I'm Demagog, can we please stop going through that route? It's going nowhere.