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Offline andretimpa

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Re: War # 14 - Predictions https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=68045.msg1303468#msg1303468
« Reply #12 on: October 26, 2020, 01:47:38 am »
After some consoderation I think it will be this

:aether :time :air :light :fire :entropy :life :death
Every time a graboid evolves, an elemental gets his wings.
:gravity Guild (old), War 9 & 13 (gen) / :time Brawl 2 & 3, War 7 & 14 / :death War 8 & 12 / :fire Brawl 4 / :entropy Brawl 5 / :darkness War 10

Offline Aves

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Re: War # 14 - Predictions https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=68045.msg1303469#msg1303469
« Reply #13 on: October 26, 2020, 01:50:24 am »
:aether :time :air :light :fire :entropy :life :death

Who am I, to defy the consensus?
:darkness War # 4, 9, 10
:darkness League of Shadows :darkness Brawl # 5

The Tentacle's Grip Brawl # 6

Offline Naii_the_Baf

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Re: War # 14 - Predictions https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=68045.msg1303472#msg1303472
« Reply #14 on: October 26, 2020, 02:31:08 am »
 :death :life :entropy :fire :light :air :time :aether
War 10 :time :time :water :time :chroma 14
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Offline dawn to dusk

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Re: War # 14 - Predictions https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=68045.msg1303474#msg1303474
« Reply #15 on: October 26, 2020, 06:14:28 am »
Wow, what a rebel

Offline PlayerOa

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Re: War # 14 - Predictions https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=68045.msg1303477#msg1303477
« Reply #16 on: October 26, 2020, 10:59:20 am »
For the uneducated:

[2020-10-24 23:34:02] PlayerOa: :aether :time :air :light :fire :entropy :life :death
War #3 - Life || War #4 - Death || War #5, #6, #7, #9, #13, #14 - Time || War #8, #12 - Air

Offline Wyand

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Re: War # 14 - Predictions https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=68045.msg1303482#msg1303482
« Reply #17 on: October 26, 2020, 01:36:46 pm »
For the uneducated:

[2020-10-24 23:34:02] PlayerOa: :aether :time :air :light :fire :entropy :life :death

Oa, we are all educated here, delete this post. :D :sillyspin:
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Offline serprexTopic starter

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Re: War # 14 - Predictions https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=68045.msg1303533#msg1303533
« Reply #18 on: October 29, 2020, 12:23:39 am »
So here's some more OT for this thread:
Spoiler for winrate to bo5 winrate mapping:
Code: [Select]
0 0.0
1 0.0
2 0.02
3 0.01
4 0.11
5 0.1
6 0.25
7 0.31
8 0.41
9 0.72
10 0.91
11 1.12
12 1.32
13 1.8
14 2.3
15 2.2
16 3.05
17 3.75
18 3.85
19 5.11
20 5.46
21 6.25
22 7.43
23 8.52
24 9.49
25 10.24
26 11.22
27 12.06
28 13.82
29 15.36
30 16.35
31 18.24
32 19.62
33 20.28
34 21.96
35 23.5
36 25.17
37 26.75
38 28.99
39 30.93
40 31.62
41 33.67
42 35.39
43 37.11
44 38.88
45 39.76
46 43.29
47 43.86
48 45.88
49 48.22
50 49.72
51 51.29
52 53.96
53 56.36
54 56.66
55 59.76
56 61.05
57 62.4
58 64.22
59 66.21
60 68.35
61 69.22
62 71.43
63 73.59
64 75.15
65 76.75
66 77.98
67 80.14
68 81.32
69 82.73
70 83.55
71 85.16
72 86.29
73 87.86
74 88.74
75 89.77
76 90.15
77 91.24
78 92.72
79 93.34
80 94.1
81 94.87
82 95.54
83 96.26
84 96.58
85 97.41
86 97.47
87 98.07
88 98.7
89 98.83
90 99.05
91 99.41
92 99.62
93 99.65
94 99.84
95 99.88
96 99.99
97 99.98
98 100.0
99 100.0
100 100.0
Spoiler for code:
Code: [Select]
from random import random

for x in range(101):
        wr = x / 100
        wins = 0
        for i in range(10000):
                n = 0
                for g in range(5):
                        n += random() < wr
                        if n == 3:
                                wins += 1
                                break
        print(x, wins/100)

So when you're QQing over losing a 70% winrate matchup, just know that was really an 83% winrate matchup (ofc this gets messed around a little by misplays being more common in g1, but alas)
« Last Edit: October 29, 2020, 12:27:32 am by serprex »

Offline InsignificantWeeaboo

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Re: War # 14 - Predictions https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=68045.msg1303860#msg1303860
« Reply #19 on: November 18, 2020, 05:09:28 am »
:aether :time :air :light :fire :entropy :life :death
???????

O-oooooooooo AAAAE-A-A-I-A-U-JO-oooooooooooo AAE-O-A-A-U-U-A-E-eee-ee-eee AAAAE-A-E-I-E-A-JO-ooo-oo-oo-oo EEEEO-A-AAA-AAAA
Team :gravity Gen. (War #12)
Team :gravity Soldier (War #13)
Team :light Soldier (War #14)

Offline dawn to dusk

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Re: War # 14 - Predictions https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=68045.msg1303861#msg1303861
« Reply #20 on: November 18, 2020, 05:33:10 am »
Scripted???

Offline PlayerOa

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Re: War # 14 - Predictions https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=68045.msg1304149#msg1304149
« Reply #21 on: December 02, 2020, 10:33:38 am »
4th-7th all went out the same round

ez
War #3 - Life || War #4 - Death || War #5, #6, #7, #9, #13, #14 - Time || War #8, #12 - Air

Offline InsignificantWeeaboo

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Re: War # 14 - Predictions https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=68045.msg1304165#msg1304165
« Reply #22 on: December 04, 2020, 04:19:26 am »
4th-7th all went out the same round

ez

yeah but not the same order tho
O-oooooooooo AAAAE-A-A-I-A-U-JO-oooooooooooo AAE-O-A-A-U-U-A-E-eee-ee-eee AAAAE-A-E-I-E-A-JO-ooo-oo-oo-oo EEEEO-A-AAA-AAAA
Team :gravity Gen. (War #12)
Team :gravity Soldier (War #13)
Team :light Soldier (War #14)

 

blarg: