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Re: War - Guess the winners (and losers) of War and win 8 upped Shards! https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=13180.msg172126#msg172126
« Reply #156 on: October 07, 2010, 01:22:48 am »
:earth :fire :life :gravity :death :fire :light :air :water :aether :darkness :time

No offense to those I put at the bottom simply no room for you at the top.
u put fire twice in ur list
And left out entropohy

Offline Higurashi

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Re: War - Guess the winners (and losers) of War and win 8 upped Shards! https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=13180.msg172281#msg172281
« Reply #157 on: October 07, 2010, 08:52:51 am »
Entropohy? Oh, when will the variations end? Entropohony, Entropony. I don't know what to make of this. Are the entropic forces messing with people's heads? I mean, ponies are awesome and all, but...
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Offline killsdazombies

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Re: War - Guess the winners (and losers) of War and win 8 upped Shards! https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=13180.msg172290#msg172290
« Reply #158 on: October 07, 2010, 09:52:53 am »
its entropy, right? or am i insane?

Offline Higurashi

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Re: War - Guess the winners (and losers) of War and win 8 upped Shards! https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=13180.msg172293#msg172293
« Reply #159 on: October 07, 2010, 10:04:27 am »
Both.
I guess the problems started when "h" got mixed in. Then all hell broke loose.
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Offline Ryli

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Re: War - Guess the winners (and losers) of War and win 8 upped Shards! https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=13180.msg172303#msg172303
« Reply #160 on: October 07, 2010, 10:52:40 am »
Both.
I guess the problems started when "h" got mixed in. Then all hell broke loose.
That damn chaos seed -_-

Offline the dictator

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Re: War - Guess the winners (and losers) of War and win 8 upped Shards! https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=13180.msg172374#msg172374
« Reply #161 on: October 07, 2010, 03:21:21 pm »
Both.
I guess the problems started when "h" got mixed in. Then all hell broke loose.
That damn chaos seed -_-
Actually, more like a complete pandemonium ;)
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Offline Dragoon

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Re: War - Guess the winners (and losers) of War and win 8 upped Shards! https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=13180.msg172377#msg172377
« Reply #162 on: October 07, 2010, 03:44:06 pm »
 :entropy :earth :time :death :fire :light :air :gravity :aether :water :life :darkness

Jinxso

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Re: War - Guess the winners (and losers) of War and win 8 upped Shards! https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=13180.msg172385#msg172385
« Reply #163 on: October 07, 2010, 04:23:09 pm »
And I am going to go with....

 :gravity :fire :earth :entropy :air :light :time :darkness :life  :death :aether :water

sneakdog

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Re: War - Guess the winners (and losers) of War and win 8 upped Shards! https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=13180.msg172400#msg172400
« Reply #164 on: October 07, 2010, 04:47:40 pm »
 :fire :darkness :death :water :aether :life :time :air :entropy :gravity :light :earth
pretty random, but based on chances, I've got a chance of 1/12!, that's 1/479 001 600 is about 2.0876757 × 10-7% chance to win  ;D

(correct me if I am wrong please)

Re: War - Guess the winners (and losers) of War and win 8 upped Shards! https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=13180.msg172405#msg172405
« Reply #165 on: October 07, 2010, 05:00:13 pm »
:fire :darkness :death :water :aether :life :time :air :entropy :gravity :light :earth
pretty random, but based on chances, I've got a chance of 1/12!, that's 1/479 001 600 is about 2.0876757 × 10-7% chance to win  ;D

(correct me if I am wrong please)
Funny, I got: (2.0876757 x 10^-9)%

EDIT: Though the people that miss or duplicate elements have a worse chance.

EDIT2: nvm, he's right. I missed a step.

Offline Xinef

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Re: War - Guess the winners (and losers) of War and win 8 upped Shards! https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=13180.msg172411#msg172411
« Reply #166 on: October 07, 2010, 05:34:50 pm »
There are 2 problems with your calculations:

1. You can win without guessing all the elements right. You only have to guess more than anyone else. Thus (if we assume that it's totally random, with none of the elements preferred) your chances of winning are roughly
1/(number of people guessing)

2. War is not a lottery, assuming that every element has a 1/12 chance of winning is not statistically accurate.
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Re: War - Guess the winners (and losers) of War and win 8 upped Shards! https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=13180.msg172420#msg172420
« Reply #167 on: October 07, 2010, 06:13:47 pm »
There are 2 problems with your calculations:

1. You can win without guessing all the elements right. You only have to guess more than anyone else. Thus (if we assume that it's totally random, with none of the elements preferred) your chances of winning are roughly
1/(number of people guessing)

2. War is not a lottery, assuming that every element has a 1/12 chance of winning is not statistically accurate.
Quite true, that calculation will only give you the odds of 12 things that have equal chances of lining up in all possible ways, lining up in a particular way. I was simply pointing out that his exponent was off by 2*, he did ask to be corrected.

*EDIT: Which it wasn't.

 

anything
blarg: