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Offline kev

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Re: War Betting - Discuss about your bets https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14670.msg228912#msg228912
« Reply #84 on: December 20, 2010, 03:29:00 am »
Because Fire went 1-4 this round, everyone that had :entropy first and :fire second might not have a chance at winning after all. Heh.
Anyone have :entropy :life ?

wizelsnarf

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Re: War Betting - Discuss about your bets https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14670.msg228913#msg228913
« Reply #85 on: December 20, 2010, 03:30:52 am »
I didn't and I am on Team life. I should have.... I still think it is going to be damn interesting next round.

I think there is a chance life could actually win War.


If Kael Hate beats entropy they are going to take a painful hit to their vault. Go Kael Hate!

Re: War Betting - Discuss about your bets https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14670.msg229419#msg229419
« Reply #86 on: December 20, 2010, 08:02:24 pm »
I guess Entropy was in the best position to take this, right from the start.

Zeru had the experience, coming in 2nd in the last war. Entropy did terribly to start off with, and then made an amazing comeback. From this you could learn the value of organisation, and deckbuilding-counters ect, rather than how many tournaments each player has won.
I haven't seen anything of Entropy's vault, and I don't know whether Zeru is a very organised person in it, but I do know that he made a great choice here. Sir Valimont has the competitive and organised spirit that makes him invaluable in war, and should in theory prevent any War 1 Entropy Mistakes - if noone else steps up.
The deckbuilding aspect, I can't be too sure of until I see the secret sections, but between Zeru, Amilir and 10 men, I can't see any initial problems, and I have no doubt that Zeru chose his other players well (Me not knowing much about them just makes them even more valuable)

If Zeru - or any other team entropy member happen to come across this, they can confirm/deny all of this, since it's just my speculation.
(Also, bonus question, what would you have bid on Pervepic if he was in any stage of the auction after his performance with you last war?)

Weiyaoli

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Re: War Betting - Discuss about your bets https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14670.msg230011#msg230011
« Reply #87 on: December 21, 2010, 09:30:36 am »
If Entropy goes 6-0 this round Aether would come in second...

Who bet  :entropy :aether?

Offline Kuroaitou

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Re: War Betting - Discuss about your bets https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14670.msg230199#msg230199
« Reply #88 on: December 21, 2010, 05:20:26 pm »
Oh boy...

Assuming that :entropy claims first place (and the second element is one of the team's remaining), here are the bets with the (highest) bet of winning (NOTE: Underworld is not included in the bet):

Sal - :entropy :aether :death :earth :fire :darkness :gravity :water :time :light :life :air
Zeru -  :entropy  :aether  :death  :earth  :fire  :gravity  :air  :life  :light  :time  :water  :darkness
Gl1tch -  :entropy :fire :earth :life :death :water :light :time :darkness :gravity :air :aether
twinsbuster -  :entropy :fire :earth :aether :gravity :time :water :darkness :life :air  :light :death
morningstar - :entropy :fire :gravity :water :earth :darkness :air :time :light :life :aether :death
Legit -  :entropy :fire :darkness :earth :air :gravity :aether :water :life :death :light :time
Kakerlake -  :entropy :fire  :time :earth :life :light :aether :water :air :gravity :death :darkness
bow_down -  :entropy :fire :earth :darkness :aether :air :death :time :gravity :life :water :light
SSJ3 -  :entropy  :fire  :earth  :death  :air  :time  :life  :darkness  :earth  :light   :water
xdawnbydeath -  :entropy :fire :earth :light :darkness :death  :time :aether :water :air :life :gravity
troe1505 - :entropy :time :death :earth :aether :life :darkness :gravity :air :fire :water :light
Mateui -  :entropy :aether :time :life :fire :death :earth :light :gravity :water :darkness :air   
zse -  :entropy :fire :darkness :gravity :water :light :earth :life :death :time :aether :air
Terrilocks -  :entropy  :aether  :time  :fire  :life   :gravity  :earth  :darkness  :light :death  :water  :air
ayoth -  :entropy :aether :light :darkness :fire :air :death :earth :gravity :life :time :water
Sam_heavy -  :entropy :aether :death :life :fire :light :darkness :air :earth :gravity :water :time
runesword03 -  :entropy :fire :earth :death :aether :gravity :time :darkness :air :light :life :water
wolfunit -  :entropy :fire :earth :death :time :light :gravity :air :life :aether :darkness :water
10 men -  :entropy :air :fire :time :aether :earth :water :light :gravity :life :death :darkness
Memorystick - :entropy :fire :earth :gravity :air :life :darkness :death :time :aether :light :water
Flare -  :entropy :fire :earth :time :light :gravity :death :darkness :aether :air :water :life
th1s1sr4nd0m -  :entropy :fire :time :aether :death :earth :water :darkness :gravity :air :light :life
Nyma - :entropy :fire :light :aether  :gravity :air :darkness :time :life :death :earth :water
Rastafla - :entropy :fire :light :earth :death :time :darkness :water :air :gravity :life :aether

Scaredgirl

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Re: War Betting - Discuss about your bets https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14670.msg230259#msg230259
« Reply #89 on: December 21, 2010, 06:43:24 pm »
You are going to kick yourself if :entropy doesn't win :)

Thanks for doing this for me.

Memorystick

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Re: War Betting - Discuss about your bets https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14670.msg230297#msg230297
« Reply #90 on: December 21, 2010, 07:35:37 pm »
You are going to kick yourself if :entropy doesn't win :)

Thanks for doing this for me.
The odds of that are my odds of that happening are the same as my odds of winning the lottery =)
(I don't buy lottery tickets)
Also, I think you only need to include those who bet :entropy :aether * :p

Istari.

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Re: War Betting - Discuss about your bets https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14670.msg230477#msg230477
« Reply #91 on: December 21, 2010, 10:30:51 pm »
I wouldn't with Entropy needing to win 6 matches to lock it out this round, there is an awful lot that can go round. One bad call on countering, against Aether who has some vault variety or just plain bad luck could easily prolong the war to another round.

Offline 1world24

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Re: War Betting - Discuss about your bets https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14670.msg230481#msg230481
« Reply #92 on: December 21, 2010, 10:36:45 pm »
assuming entropy gets first and aether 2nd then here's who's bets would survive

Sal - :entropy :aether :death :earth :fire :darkness :gravity :water :time :light :life :air
Zeru -  :entropy  :aether  :death  :earth  :fire  :gravity  :air  :life  :light  :time  :water  :darkness
Mateui -  :entropy :aether :time :life :fire :death :earth :light :gravity :water :darkness :air   
Terrilocks -  :entropy  :aether  :time  :fire  :life   :gravity  :earth  :darkness  :light :death  :water  :air
ayoth -  :entropy :aether :light :darkness :fire :air :death :earth :gravity :life :time :water
Sam_heavy -  :entropy :aether :death :life :fire :light :darkness :air :earth :gravity :water :time


then breaking that down with the remaining teams here's who could win.
Mateui -  :entropy :aether :time :life :fire :death :earth :light :gravity :water :darkness :air   
Terrilocks -  :entropy  :aether  :time  :fire  :life   :gravity  :earth  :darkness  :light :death  :water  :air
seems only 2 players have a chance.

Offline Kuroaitou

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Re: War Betting - Discuss about your bets https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14670.msg230490#msg230490
« Reply #93 on: December 21, 2010, 10:46:23 pm »
You are going to kick yourself if :entropy doesn't win :)

Thanks for doing this for me.
You'd think I would, but in all honesty, as much as I have mad props for Zeru and his team, I would be pleasantly surprised if War continued a few more rounds... ;) No problem SG.

On a sidenote, here are a few last minute statistics in relation to 1world24's post:

-16 members with :fire placed second, only two of them having a third/fourth element still in the running (Kakerlake & th1s1sr4nd0m)
-6 members with :aether placed second, only two of them having up to a fifth element in the running (see world's post)
-1 member with :air placed second (10 men)
-1 member with :time placed second (troe1505)

Offline 1world24

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Re: War Betting - Discuss about your bets https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14670.msg231926#msg231926
« Reply #94 on: December 24, 2010, 02:40:36 am »
Apparently with fire and life surviving another round and with the chance of aether dieing but with air and time neutral here are the votes that have any chance to win.note underworlds elimination doesn't count for the vote and only listed players with first 3 teams left alive.
Kakerlake -  :entropy :fire  :time :earth :life :light :aether :water :air :gravity :death :darkness
Mateui -  :entropy :aether :time :life :fire :death :earth :light :gravity :water :darkness :air   
Terrilocks -  :entropy  :aether  :time  :fire  :life   :gravity  :earth  :darkness  :light :death  :water  :air
10 men -  :entropy :air :fire :time :aether :earth :water :light :gravity :life :death :darkness
th1s1sr4nd0m -  :entropy :fire :time :aether :death :earth :water :darkness :gravity :air :light :life
It looks like a run for time or 10men could win the shards.

Offline 1world24

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Re: War Betting - Discuss about your bets https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14670.msg233531#msg233531
« Reply #95 on: December 26, 2010, 05:45:40 pm »
With aether and time lost to round 9 the bets are really down to a few players.The following will have a chance to win.
Gl1tch -  :entropy :fire :earth :life :death :water :light :time :darkness :gravity :air :aether
twinsbuster -  :entropy :fire :earth :aether :gravity :time :water :darkness :life :air  :light :death
morningstar - :entropy :fire :gravity :water :earth :darkness :air :time :light :life :aether :death
Legit -  :entropy :fire :darkness :earth :air :gravity :aether :water :life :death :light :time
Kakerlake -  :entropy :fire  :time :earth :life :light :aether :water :air :gravity :death :darkness
bow_down -  :entropy :fire :earth :darkness :aether :air :death :time :gravity :life :water :light
zse -  :entropy :fire :darkness :gravity :water :light :earth :life :death :time :aether :air
runesword03 -  :entropy :fire :earth :death :aether :gravity :time :darkness :air :light :life :water
wolfunit -  :entropy :fire :earth :death :time :light :gravity :air :life :aether :darkness :water
10 men -  :entropy :air :fire :time :aether :earth :water :light :gravity :life :death :darkness
Memorystick - :entropy :fire :earth :gravity :air :life :darkness :death :time :aether :light :water
Flare -  :entropy :fire :earth :time :light :gravity :death :darkness :aether :air :water :life
th1s1sr4nd0m -  :entropy :fire :time :aether :death :earth :water :darkness :gravity :air :light :life
Nyma - :entropy :fire :light :aether  :gravity :air :darkness :time :life :death :earth :water
Rastafla - :entropy :fire :light :earth :death :time :darkness :water :air :gravity :life :aether
Then if we count the first 3 teams alive here are the bets not eliminated.
10 men -  :entropy :air :fire :time :aether :earth :water :light :gravity :life :death :darkness
Looks like 10 men is the only one who can win the shards

 

blarg: