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Offline Zso_Zso

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Re: 8th Trials - Betting https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=55485.msg1152155#msg1152155
« Reply #12 on: August 20, 2014, 09:32:35 pm »
Quote from: rob77dp on August 20, 2014, 09:28:20 pm
Edit:  Commentary - interestingly, I have managed to not make any selections similar to Zso on the bets-on-the-bets.  :)

Except for the obvious one, obviously  :P
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Offline DANIEELA

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Re: 8th Trials - Betting https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=55485.msg1152157#msg1152157
« Reply #13 on: August 20, 2014, 09:34:57 pm »
Minigame Bets
Spoiler for Hidden:
The Close Call   :death rob77dp vs Fippe94
    (match-up with the most evenly distributed bets)
The Obvious One     :aether deuce22 vs DANIEELA
    (the person with the most bets (or the least bets) <- will be the same match-up either way)
These Odds Seem Right    :entropy Calindu vs dark ripper
    (the match-up where gamblers bets closest approximate the initial odds)
The Bookie is Nuts   :light Zso_Zso vs Jen-i
    (the match-up with the biggest difference between the bets and the initial odds)
The Not-So-Dark Horse     :air Afdarenty
    (the initial underdog who receives the most bets)
« Last Edit: August 24, 2014, 08:51:01 pm by DANIEELA »
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Offline deuce22

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Re: 8th Trials - Betting https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=55485.msg1152159#msg1152159
« Reply #14 on: August 20, 2014, 10:01:31 pm »
73% eh?

Thought it would be higher...
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Offline CCCombobreakerTopic starter

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Re: 8th Trials - Betting https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=55485.msg1152160#msg1152160
« Reply #15 on: August 20, 2014, 10:06:38 pm »
Quote from: deuce22 on August 20, 2014, 10:01:31 pm
73% eh?

Thought it would be higher...

The pre-betting odds are based solely off the upgrade differential, and you have 73% of the upgrades in your match.  The final odds will also take into account the bet %.
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Offline ddevans96

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Re: 8th Trials - Betting https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=55485.msg1152162#msg1152162
« Reply #16 on: August 20, 2014, 10:49:18 pm »
Spoiler for Betception:

The Close Call
  • (match-up with the most evenly distributed bets)
:air justaburd vs afdarenty
The Obvious One
  • (the person with the most bets (or the least bets) <- will be the same match-up either way)
:aether deuce22 vs DANIEELA
These Odds Seem Right
  • (the match-up where gamblers bets closest approximate the initial odds)
:entropy Calindu vs dark ripper
The Bookie is Nuts
  • (the match-up with the biggest difference between the bets and the initial odds)
:fire glennfoo vs Vangelios
The Not-So-Dark Horse
  • (the initial underdog who receives the most bets)
:time Spike Spiegel vs Kuroaitou
[/quote]
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Offline Avenger

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Re: 8th Trials - Betting https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=55485.msg1152247#msg1152247
« Reply #17 on: August 21, 2014, 02:49:39 pm »
Quote from: deuce22 on August 20, 2014, 10:01:31 pm
73% eh?

Thought it would be higher...

Lol, it is the highest odds by far. Tempting to bet on Danieela.
The obvious will be Vangelios vs Glenn - because they already played.
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Offline glennfoo

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Re: 8th Trials - Betting https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=55485.msg1152259#msg1152259
« Reply #18 on: August 21, 2014, 05:15:24 pm »
Quote from: Avenger on August 21, 2014, 02:49:39 pm
Quote from: deuce22 on August 20, 2014, 10:01:31 pm
73% eh?

Thought it would be higher...

Lol, it is the highest odds by far. Tempting to bet on Danieela.
The obvious will be Vangelios vs Glenn - because they already played.

wow, I wonder how obvious it is and which one you bet on then  :P
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Offline farscape

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Re: 8th Trials - Betting https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=55485.msg1152286#msg1152286
« Reply #19 on: August 21, 2014, 08:01:50 pm »
This betception minigame is a bit self-defeating. Those who posted their bets ealry on this could influence the decisions of people betting later, i.e. I could deliberately bet against these now...
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Offline CCCombobreakerTopic starter

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Re: 8th Trials - Betting https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=55485.msg1152287#msg1152287
« Reply #20 on: August 21, 2014, 08:06:31 pm »
Sure you could.  but changing your actual bets (for a chance at 10k) in order to defeat people at a minigame that is literally only for fun seems a little weird.

Your choice though.

Also they may have put those answers in an attempt to sway votes a certain way. 

No one knows.  So it really doesn't matter.  It's just fun.

*edit*

Actually no... you'd have to know what the current bet counts are to meaningfully bet in a way that hinders their guesses.  since any bet you place may actually be helping them... you don't know which of your bets bring the totals closer to the odds or further from the odds or widens the bet gap or closes the bet gap or which underdog has the most votes so you can bet against them...

So yeah, your criticism of my harmless fun minigame is sort of baseless.
« Last Edit: August 21, 2014, 08:17:48 pm by CCCombobreaker »
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Offline Vangelios

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Re: 8th Trials - Betting https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=55485.msg1152291#msg1152291
« Reply #21 on: August 21, 2014, 08:56:57 pm »
Quote from: Avenger on August 21, 2014, 02:49:39 pm
Quote from: deuce22 on August 20, 2014, 10:01:31 pm
73% eh?

Thought it would be higher...

Lol, it is the highest odds by far. Tempting to bet on Danieela.
The obvious will be Vangelios vs Glenn - because they already played.


Well, I don't know anything, just that to be a master I need to beat Glennfoo.

Now if it were today, I'm sure I would lose, but However in the last moments always appears me saving ideas, and ​​I never did BO9 with these rules (though rules seem thats I like to play) Glennfoo has major advantages and I like it, I can say that I will face the master. :)

edit: and... challenge a master become a master.
« Last Edit: August 21, 2014, 09:21:43 pm by Vangelios »
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Offline xXmemoXx

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Re: 8th Trials - Betting https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=55485.msg1152405#msg1152405
« Reply #22 on: August 22, 2014, 05:04:53 pm »
Done betting! can't wait for the results :D
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Offline andretimpa

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Re: 8th Trials - Betting https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=55485.msg1152409#msg1152409
« Reply #23 on: August 22, 2014, 06:34:45 pm »
Quote from: STANDIN on August 22, 2014, 05:04:53 pm
Done betting! can't wait for the results :D

Further betting is futile. STANDIN has spoken :P
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