4th Trials - Betting

[Astrocyte]

I love the betting website! Whoever made it (SG?), nice work.

Stupid question girl has stupid question -- since Gravity and Light don't have any standing generals to challenge, does it matter what I put for whether the Grav and Light challengers will win the final battle?

[kev]

does it matter what I put for whether the Grav and Light challengers will win the final battle?

Gravity and Light Final Battles will be the top two challengers.  In the final question, choose "Yes" if you think your top Challenger will become the new Master, or "No" if you think your Challenger will lose in the Final Battle.

[ffun]

SG, when you think our horrible math skills is the only difficult we'll face, you find out there's no limit for one's incompetence when filling out the betting form. Instead of putting my forum name I used my IGN (forfun). Could you correct it in the spreadsheet or should I rather send my bet another time?

[Astrocyte]

Wow, thanks kevkev for the instant reply.

Nobody take my confidence ratings as judgments of skill -- I really think that all the players I picked have great chances to win, it's just that all those numbers have to go somewhere!

[Scaredgirl]

Betting stats added to first post. Prediction percentages only reflect the bets, not what could really happen.

Math (formulas) was done by kevkev.

[Higurashi]

Wow, thanks kevkev for the instant reply.

Nobody take my confidence ratings as judgments of skill -- I really think that all the players I picked have great chances to win, it's just that all those numbers have to go somewhere!

Confidence ratings are a -lot- about the competition your top challenger has, imo. I may favour willng3, for instance, but with that competition RNG can decide the entire thing. It's about player skill too, of course, as seen with my bet on 10 men.

[7_Deadly_Sins]

I see my name on the betting link!

[ddevans96]

I fail at selecting items from a drop-down box ~.~

[Calindu]

  pikachufan2164   12   No   
  Noobiecakes   3   No   
  Wizardcat   6   No   
  thenewguy   8   Yes   
  kirchj33   11   Yes   
  TStar   4   No   
  Essence   7   No   
  nilsieboy   1   Yes   
  jmdt   10   Yes   
  majofa   9   Yes   
  10 men   5   Yes   
  tikotribe   2   No

[Puppenmaedchen]

The limit of rows that include the fail check seems to be exceeded.

[RavingRabbid]

Light and Gravity still don't sum up to 100.

[kev]

Light and Gravity still don't sum up to 100.

They're less than 100% because the balance is the bets that say they'll lose the Final Battle.  This percentage would be shown in the Master of Gravity and Master of Light rows but we have no current Master of Gravity and Master of Light.  I could prorate the missing percentage over the applicants or something but any way I calculate will be an approximation so I felt it best just to leave things as they are.  I meant to explain all this but forgot.