Elements the Game Forum - Free Online Fantasy Card Game

Elements the Game => Trials => Events and Competitions => Trial Archive => Topic started by: Scaredgirl on July 26, 2011, 01:34:27 pm

Title: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Scaredgirl on July 26, 2011, 01:34:27 pm
Welcome to Elements Trials betting!
Betting has ended

Bet on your favorite Challengers for a chance to win a cash prize of 10k :electrum!

BETTING
1. Open Betting Form (https://linkremovedbecausebettinghasended)
2. Pick the challenger who you think will gather the most points during the first three phases. If you participate in the Trials as a Challenger, you must pick yourself!
3. Assign a Confidence number for each challenger you picked. The higher the number, the more confident you are that the challenger in question will become the top Challenger. IMPORTANT: You have to use each of the 12 numbers only once. If you use one number more than once, you will be disqualified.
4. In the final question, choose "Yes" if you think your top Challenger will become the new Master, or "No" if you think your Challenger will lose in the Final Battle.

SCORING
If you pick the correct Challenger, you will gain points equal to Confidence number you assigned to that Challenger.
If you pick the correct Challenger AND the correct outcome of the Final Battle, you will gain 3 extra points.
If you pick the wrong Challenger, you will score 0 points.

EXAMPLE
You choose: "Challenger", "6" and "Yes". Your pick is the top Challenger and wins the Final Battle, so you score 6+3=9 points. Had your pick lost the Final Battle, you would have scored only 6 points. Had you picked the wrong top Challenger, you would have scored 0.

WINNER
Winner is the player you scores the most points. In case of a draw, the highest number of total correct Challengers wins. If that is tied as well, the person who made the bet first (form timestamp), is the winner.

The winner of the bet will be given 10k Electrum as reward codes.



Good luck.

 :aether
UTAlan
pikachufan2164
scauduro221095
mrpaper

 :air
DrunkDestroyer
unit748596
Noobiecakes
LongDono

 :darkness
Wizardcat
DevilLoss
Onizuka
YoungSot

 :death
xn0ize
thenewguy
Malignant
coinich

 :earth
Mithcairion
Terroking
Zblader
kirchj33

 :entropy
TStar
DSSCRA
Jen-i
MatrimKK

 :fire
Essence
TheForbiddenOracle
agentflare

 :gravity
nilsieboy
qwandri
Bhlewos
9270984

 :life
jmdt
willng3
1world24
ak65ala

 :light
bucky1andonly
RootRanger
majofa
johannhowitzer

 :time
10 men
PlayerOa
Kuroaitou
SnoWeb

 :water
5pla5h
tikotribe
patchx94
ddevans96
>> Click Here to View All the Bets << (https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0AgB8fZX7y8kydEwwNm44MHk4ZlFjVjAtNUVSYW1fM1E&single=true&gid=8&output=html)
>> Click Here to View the Betting Standings << (https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0AgB8fZX7y8kydEwwNm44MHk4ZlFjVjAtNUVSYW1fM1E&single=true&gid=6&output=html)
>> Click Here to View Betting Statistics << (https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0AgB8fZX7y8kydEwwNm44MHk4ZlFjVjAtNUVSYW1fM1E&single=true&gid=13&output=html)

P.s. Idea for using the Confidence system came from kevkev who also contributed to the upcoming scoring spreadsheet. Scoring mechanics were decided in the chat, main contributors being UTAlan and ~Napalm (sorry if I left someone out)
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: suxerz on July 26, 2011, 02:29:44 pm
Awesome betting system! One question, is it okay if we discuss/display our bets here?  ;D
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: kev on July 26, 2011, 02:35:28 pm
Awesome betting system! One question, is it okay if we discuss/display our bets here?  ;D
I will have SG embed a google doc that shows everyone's bets, but I'm waiting until after the bets have been made.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: suxerz on July 26, 2011, 02:41:18 pm
That's great! One more thing, what happens if a person submit more than once? All bets disqualified, count the earliest/latest one or something else?
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: GG on July 26, 2011, 03:13:32 pm
A suggestion : put the names of the Masters in the list so that we don't have to open up a separate list of masters for comparison!
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: agentflare on July 26, 2011, 03:15:20 pm
Aww... I can't hedge my chances by betting on Essence?  :P
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: tyranim on July 26, 2011, 03:27:38 pm
3  :aether pikachu-no
12  :air unit-yes
2  :darkness idk, maybe youngsot?-no
8  :death coinich-yes
11  :earth terroking -_- -yes
4  :entropy tstar-no
5  :fire this one is tough, but i would have to go with essence-...maybe?... no
10  :gravity nilse-yes
7  :life jmdt-yes
6  :light majofa- yes
9  :time kuroaitou-yes
1  :water idk, 5pla5h (because his name involves water?)-no
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Jappert on July 26, 2011, 03:31:39 pm
 First of all +rep for the confidence system. Nice one Kev!

 :aether Pika
 :air LongDono
 :darkness Wizardcat
 :death TNG
 :earth KirchJ
 :entropy Tstar
 :fire Essence
 :gravity Nilsie
 :life Will
 :light Majofa
 :time 10 Men
 :water Tiko
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: kev on July 26, 2011, 03:42:42 pm
That's great! One more thing, what happens if a person submit more than once? All bets disqualified, count the earliest/latest one or something else?
Please try to submit only once, but I will use the latest submission by each player.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: mrpaper on July 26, 2011, 04:34:21 pm
12  :light majofa yes
11  :entropy TStar no
10  :death Thenewguy no
9    :life Willng3 no
8    :time 10men yes
7    :gravity Nilsieboy  yes
6    :fire TheForbiddenOracle no
5    :air drunkdestroyer no
4    :darkness wizardcat no
3    :earth Mithcairion no
2    :water 5pla5h no
1    :aether mrpaper no (hope this is a yes, but didn't wanted to brag!)

Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: jippy99 on July 26, 2011, 04:38:43 pm
Very good idea, it will draw lots of attention to the trials.
 :aether Pika
 :air Unit
 :darkness Wizardcat
 :death TNG
 :earth Terro
 :entropy TStar
 :fire Essence
 :gravity Nils
 :life Jmdt
 :light Majofa
 :time 10 Men
 :water Tiko
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: thatnewguy on July 26, 2011, 04:45:57 pm
 :aether Pika
 :air Noobie
 :darkness Wizardcat
 :death TNG
 :earth Mith
 :entropy Jen-i
 :fire Essence
 :gravity 927
 :life Willng
 :light RootRanger
 :time Kuro
 :water Tiko
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Sevs on July 26, 2011, 04:46:47 pm
 :aether    10  mrpaper        Yes
 :air    1  unit748596      No
 :darkness    9  Wizardcat       No
 :death    7  xn0ize           No
 :earth    6  Mithcairion     Yes
 :entropy    8  Jen-i             Yes
 :fire    5  Essence         No
 :gravity    3  nilsieboy        Yes
 :life    4  willng3          Yes
 :light    12  majofa         Yes
 :time    11  10 men        Yes
 :water    2  tikotribe         No
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Jappert on July 26, 2011, 04:51:16 pm
:aether    3  mrpaper
 :air    12  unit748596
 :darkness    4  Wizardcat
 :death   6  xn0ize
 :earth    7  Mithcairion
 :entropy   5  Jen-i
 :fire    8  Essence
 :gravity    10  nilsieboy
 :life    9  willng3
 :light   1  majofa
 :time   2  10 men
 :water   11  tikotribe

Yes Majofa will win
The higher the number, the more confident!
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: suxerz on July 26, 2011, 04:51:53 pm
Might as well put my bets too (well, most of them).

Element
Top Challenger
Confidence
Wins Final Battle?
:aether
pikachu
11
No
:air
unit
2
No
:darkness
Wizardcat
12
No
:death
TNG
4
No
:earth
Mith
6
No
:entropy
Tstar
8
No
:fire
Essence
7
No
:gravity
Can't remember >_>
1
Yes
:life
willng
9
Yes
:light
majofa
10
Yes
:time
Kuro
5
No
:water
ddevans96
3
No
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Sevs on July 26, 2011, 04:57:10 pm
:aether    3  mrpaper
 :air    12  unit748596
 :darkness    4  Wizardcat
 :death   6  xn0ize
 :earth    7  Mithcairion
 :entropy   5  Jen-i
 :fire    8  Essence
 :gravity    10  nilsieboy
 :life    9  willng3
 :light   1  majofa
 :time   2  10 men
 :water   11  tikotribe

Yes Majofa will win
The higher the number, the more confident!
Fixed Thank you
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Scaredgirl on July 26, 2011, 06:06:02 pm
All bets will be made public soon so no need to post them. But if you really want to post them in advance, knock yourself out.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Scaredgirl on July 26, 2011, 06:31:31 pm
There is an unbeliavable amount of fail submissions already. Please check that you are using each of the 12 Confidence numbers only once!

Example: If you for some reason use the number 10 twice, you will be disqualified.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: TheForbiddenOracle on July 26, 2011, 08:05:54 pm
 :entropy 12 TStar No
 :life 11 Jmdt Yes
 :light 10 mafoja Yes
 :aether 9 pikachufan2164 No
 :time 8 10 men Yes
 :death 7 thenewguy Yes
 :gravity 6 nilsieboy Yes
 :water 5 Tikotribe No
 :earth 4 kirchj93 Yes
 :darkness 3 Wizardcat No
 :air 2 unit No
 :fire 1 TheForbiddenOracle Yes
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: xn0ize on July 26, 2011, 09:24:06 pm
only 2 love to da kitteh :o?

i iz dissapoint.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: DrunkDestroyer on July 26, 2011, 11:34:49 pm
Go!!!


10 :aether   UTAlan   - Yes
5 :air  DrunkDestroyer   - No
8 :darkness YoungSot    - No
11 :death Thenewguy   -Yes
3 :earth Mithcarion   -No
7 :entropy Jen-i   -Yes
12 :fire Essence    -Yes
6 :gravity nilsieboy   -?
2 :life ak65ala    -No
1 :light johannhowitzer   -?
9 :time 10 men   -No
4 :water tikotribe   -Yes
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: UTAlan on July 26, 2011, 11:36:43 pm
10 :aether   UTAlan   - Yes
I appreciate your confidence in me. I'll try not to let you down. ;)
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: TStar on July 26, 2011, 11:50:24 pm
Too many people seem to underestimate how good Jen-i is.  I'll be lucky to beat him.  Granted, nobody seems to think I can beat Zeru lol
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Sevs on July 26, 2011, 11:52:45 pm
Too many people seem to underestimate how good Jen-i is.  I'll be lucky to beat him.  Granted, nobody seems to think I can beat Zeru lol
Both DrunkDestroyer and I have Jen-i beating Zeru lol
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Jen-i on July 27, 2011, 12:47:52 am
Its like battle TStar, its all about name recognition. Besides my luck will come into play once we start PvP I'm like the anti-noisy

I meant anti-xn0ize - stupid blackberry and its spelling correction. Xn0ize has an in with the RNG - on the other hand she hates me - you'll see when it comes to PvP.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Mithcairion on July 27, 2011, 03:30:25 am
lol, I would like to thank each and every one of my semi-supporters ;)  I promise, I will only kind of let you down :P
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Scaredgirl on July 27, 2011, 05:01:05 am
>> Click Here to View All the Bets << (https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0AgB8fZX7y8kydEwwNm44MHk4ZlFjVjAtNUVSYW1fM1E&single=true&gid=8&output=html)

Look at the column on the right. That shows the sum of your confidence numbers. If it's something other than 78, you failed in math and need to redo your bet.


Reminder, if you participating in the Trials, you must BOTH choose yourself AND choose "Yes".
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: thatnewguy on July 27, 2011, 05:36:36 am
So... is there like a reset button if we want to fix our fail rating >_>
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: kev on July 27, 2011, 06:27:37 am
So... is there like a reset button if we want to fix our fail rating >_>
Please try to submit only once, but I will use the latest submission by each player.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: GG on July 27, 2011, 09:12:15 am
There is an unbeliavable amount of fail submissions already. Please check that you are using each of the 12 Confidence numbers only once!

Example: If you for some reason use the number 10 twice, you will be disqualified.
Yes I noticed that right after I submitted -_-... Am I allowed to fix it by making a new bet, or am i just screwed?
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Scaredgirl on July 27, 2011, 09:51:40 am
There is an unbeliavable amount of fail submissions already. Please check that you are using each of the 12 Confidence numbers only once!

Example: If you for some reason use the number 10 twice, you will be disqualified.
Yes I noticed that right after I submitted -_-... Am I allowed to fix it by making a new bet, or am i just screwed?
Make a new bet and your old one will be deleted.

NOTE: re-submitting can only be done once. If anyone submits 3 times, that person will be disqualified.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Odii Odsen on July 27, 2011, 10:39:04 pm
:aether pikachufan2164
:air LongDono
:darkness Onizuka
:death xn0ize
:earth Terroking
:entropy MatrimKK
:fire agentflare
:gravity nilsieboy
:life jmdt
:light RootRanger
:time 10 men
:water 5pla5h
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: TStar on July 27, 2011, 11:14:20 pm
No need to post them Odii.  We can all see them in the link.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Opsinis on July 27, 2011, 11:40:26 pm
Well, made my bet. I CAN do math, exciting yes?

Looks like most people (I do say most) are rooting for Essence, win or lose in the end.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Pkmn31337 on July 27, 2011, 11:51:24 pm
Oh, so THAT's what fail check is for...I see.

It's weird how people repeat their numbers and end up getting over 100 total confidence o.O
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: ninjaclone09 on July 28, 2011, 01:44:52 am
changed mah bet :D
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: PlayerOa on July 28, 2011, 05:21:59 pm
I've got one bet!
And thats my own... :(
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Scaredgirl on July 28, 2011, 05:32:13 pm
I've got one bet!
And thats my own... :(
Being the underdog is great, especially if you win. Good luck.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: PlayerOa on July 28, 2011, 05:39:53 pm
I've got one bet!
And thats my own... :(
Being the underdog is great, especially if you win. Good luck.
Well, atleast it means no pressure.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: nilsieboy on July 28, 2011, 05:54:34 pm
I've got one bet!
And thats my own... :(
actualy i only get afraid when i see so many bets... xD!
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: PlayerOa on July 28, 2011, 06:00:45 pm
I've got one bet!
And thats my own... :(
actualy i only get afraid when i see so many bets... xD!
Should I change my bet? :P
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: TheCrazyMango on July 28, 2011, 06:55:12 pm
this is just basically telling us who will get votes, so im getting kinda worried at my lack of bets
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: RootRanger on July 28, 2011, 07:09:00 pm
Not necessarily.
I bet on who I think will win, and not who I want to win. In many cases, they are different.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: DevilLoss on July 28, 2011, 07:21:59 pm
 :aether- scauduro221095-4-no

 :air-unit748596-1-no

 :darkness-DevilLoss-9-yes

 :death-xn0ize-11-yes

 :earth-Terroking-10-yes

 :entropy-Jen-i-5-yes

 :fire-TheForbiddenOracle-2-no

 :gravity-9270984-8-yes

 :life-ak65ala-7-no

 :light-johannhowitzer-3-yes

 :time-SnoWeb-12-no

 :water-ddevans96-6-yes
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: xn0ize on July 28, 2011, 07:42:43 pm
:aether- scauduro221095-4-no

 :air-unit748596-1-no

 :darkness-DevilLoss-9-yes

 :death-xn0ize-11-yes

 :earth-Terroking-10-yes

 :entropy-Jen-i-5-yes

 :fire-TheForbiddenOracle-2-no

 :gravity-9270984-8-yes

 :life-ak65ala-7-no

 :light-johannhowitzer-3-yes

 :time-SnoWeb-12-no

 :water-ddevans96-6-yes
you either crazy, or very confident in me , thanks .
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: DeathPanda1 on July 28, 2011, 08:05:16 pm
 :aether pikachufan2164
 :air DrunkDestroyer
 :darkness Youngsot
 :death xn0ize
 :earth Zblader
 :entropy Tstar
 :fire Essence
 :gravity nilsieboy
 :life jmdt
 :light johannhowitzer
 :time Kuroaituo
 :water DDevans96

Sorry for multiple posts but i had to get my math right...
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: ninjaclone09 on July 28, 2011, 10:37:16 pm
i have 2 bets O.o couldnt you delete the last one?

Anyways, my NEW bet:

 :aether pikachufan2164  10 NO
 :air DrunkDestroyer 7 YES
 :darkness Wizardcat 3 YES
 :death thenewguy 5 NO
 :earth Terroking 12 YES
 :entropy TStar 9 NO
 :fire Essence 11 NO
 :gravity nilsieboy 6 YES
 :life jmdt 1 YES
 :light majofa 4 YES
 :time 10 men 8 YES
 :water ddevans96 2 NO
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Svenningen on July 28, 2011, 11:20:30 pm
1   :water 5pla5h no
2   :time 10men Yes
3  :entropy Jen-I no
4   :gravity Nilsieboy  Yes
5   :darkness wizardcat no
6  :death Thenewguy Yes
7   :air  Noobiecakes No
8   :life JMDT Yes
9   :earth Terroking Yes
10  :fire Essence no
11 :light majofa yes
12 :aether Pikachufan no
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Astrocyte on July 29, 2011, 02:36:13 pm
I love the betting website! Whoever made it (SG?), nice work.

Stupid question girl has stupid question -- since Gravity and Light don't have any standing generals to challenge, does it matter what I put for whether the Grav and Light challengers will win the final battle?
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: kev on July 29, 2011, 02:51:35 pm
does it matter what I put for whether the Grav and Light challengers will win the final battle?
Gravity and Light Final Battles will be the top two challengers.  In the final question, choose "Yes" if you think your top Challenger will become the new Master, or "No" if you think your Challenger will lose in the Final Battle.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: ffun on July 29, 2011, 02:55:44 pm
SG, when you think our horrible math skills is the only difficult we'll face, you find out there's no limit for one's incompetence when filling out the betting form. Instead of putting my forum name I used my IGN (forfun). Could you correct it in the spreadsheet or should I rather send my bet another time?
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Astrocyte on July 29, 2011, 03:09:08 pm
Wow, thanks kevkev for the instant reply.

Nobody take my confidence ratings as judgments of skill -- I really think that all the players I picked have great chances to win, it's just that all those numbers have to go somewhere!
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Scaredgirl on July 29, 2011, 03:49:22 pm
Betting stats added to first post. Prediction percentages only reflect the bets, not what could really happen.

Math (formulas) was done by kevkev.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Higurashi on July 29, 2011, 04:05:59 pm
Wow, thanks kevkev for the instant reply.

Nobody take my confidence ratings as judgments of skill -- I really think that all the players I picked have great chances to win, it's just that all those numbers have to go somewhere!
Confidence ratings are a -lot- about the competition your top challenger has, imo. I may favour willng3, for instance, but with that competition RNG can decide the entire thing. It's about player skill too, of course, as seen with my bet on 10 men.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: 7_Deadly_Sins on July 29, 2011, 06:56:27 pm
I see my name on the betting link!
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: ddevans96 on July 29, 2011, 11:48:57 pm
I fail at selecting items from a drop-down box ~.~
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Calindu on July 30, 2011, 07:55:19 am
 :aether pikachufan2164   12   No   
 :air Noobiecakes   3   No   
 :darkness Wizardcat   6   No   
 :death thenewguy   8   Yes   
 :earth kirchj33   11   Yes   
 :entropy TStar   4   No   
 :fire Essence   7   No   
 :gravity nilsieboy   1   Yes   
 :life jmdt   10   Yes   
 :light majofa   9   Yes   
 :time 10 men   5   Yes   
 :water tikotribe   2   No
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Puppenmaedchen on July 30, 2011, 05:21:45 pm
The limit of rows that include the fail check seems to be exceeded.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: RavingRabbid on August 01, 2011, 07:43:25 am
Light and Gravity still don't sum up to 100.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: kev on August 01, 2011, 01:33:02 pm
Light and Gravity still don't sum up to 100.
They're less than 100% because the balance is the bets that say they'll lose the Final Battle.  This percentage would be shown in the Master of Gravity and Master of Light rows but we have no current Master of Gravity and Master of Light.  I could prorate the missing percentage over the applicants or something but any way I calculate will be an approximation so I felt it best just to leave things as they are.  I meant to explain all this but forgot.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: RavingRabbid on August 01, 2011, 01:38:56 pm
Light and Gravity still don't sum up to 100.
They're less than 100% because the balance is the bets that say they'll lose the Final Battle.  This percentage would be shown in the Master of Gravity and Master of Light rows but we have no current Master of Gravity and Master of Light.  I could prorate the missing percentage over the applicants or something but any way I calculate will be an approximation so I felt it best just to leave things as they are.  I meant to explain all this but forgot.
Will old bets (person submitted a new one) and illegal bets be cancelled from the sheet?
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: kev on August 02, 2011, 02:57:54 pm
>> Click Here to View All the Bets << (https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0AgB8fZX7y8kydEwwNm44MHk4ZlFjVjAtNUVSYW1fM1E&single=true&gid=8&output=html)
Illegal bets have been removed.  If you believe yours was removed mistakenly or there's some kind of problem with the data please PM me ASAP.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: ak65ala on August 02, 2011, 03:02:21 pm
Take that! All you naysayers!  3%?!? That's all you think I am worth?  I'd have you all know that with Phase 1 done, I am now tied for first with Willng3 (9 points each), with only the bonus points between us.

Sigh.  This does not bode well for the community vote.  Phase 2, here I come!
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Sevs on August 02, 2011, 03:13:14 pm
Take that! All you naysayers!  3%?!? That's all you think I am worth?  I'd have you all know that with Phase 2 done, I am now tied for first with Willng3 (9 points each), with only the bonus points between us.

Sigh.  This does not bode well for the community vote.  Phase 2, here I come!
The community vote does happen after the battle phase, so if you do well, probably many people will stray from their betting
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: 1world24 on August 02, 2011, 05:55:50 pm
Take that! All you naysayers!  3%?!? That's all you think I am worth?  I'd have you all know that with Phase 2 done, I am now tied for first with Willng3 (9 points each), with only the bonus points between us.

Sigh.  This does not bode well for the community vote.  Phase 2, here I come!
I only have 1% but after the battle phase anything can happen.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Skydaemon on August 02, 2011, 10:29:20 pm
Take that! All you naysayers!  3%?!? That's all you think I am worth?  I'd have you all know that with Phase 2 done, I am now tied for first with Willng3 (9 points each), with only the bonus points between us.

Sigh.  This does not bode well for the community vote.  Phase 2, here I come!
When I was voting I did up a trials points spreadsheet for all the competitors.  I figured willng3 would win by a score of 20-17, based on bonus points and the community vote.  That's even assuming you beat him by 3 pts in the battle section.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: ak65ala on August 03, 2011, 02:48:04 am
Take that! All you naysayers!  3%?!? That's all you think I am worth?  I'd have you all know that with Phase 2 done, I am now tied for first with Willng3 (9 points each), with only the bonus points between us.

Sigh.  This does not bode well for the community vote.  Phase 2, here I come!
When I was voting I did up a trials points spreadsheet for all the competitors.  I figured willng3 would win by a score of 20-17, based on bonus points and the community vote.  That's even assuming you beat him by 3 pts in the battle section.
Yes. If willng3 wins the bonus points from phase 1... I am sunk.  At that point I have to beat him in the battle phase (did so last trials  8)) to be even with him (if I go 6, he goes 3).  I know he has a better following then I do (see last trials and him sweeping 70% of the vote), so if any one thing slips... he has the life master role easily.  The other people of our trials have already 'given up'.

I have to win the bonus points AND beat him in the battle to have enough for a lead for the community vote 'not' to matter. 

Even though I respect him, and feel he would be a great life master, I feel I'd do better.... hehee.  Life forever.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: tyranim on August 03, 2011, 06:32:11 am
modified original bet
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: kev on August 03, 2011, 01:39:32 pm
modified original bet
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: tyranim on August 03, 2011, 02:30:18 pm
modified original bet
  • There's no way to modify bets.  You can only create new bets.
  • We're way past the deadline.  All bets made after the deadline are void.  I would erase yours except
  • No bets have been made under the forum accounts unit OR unit748596.  And I'm sure you don't have another forum account because it's against forum rules.
first page
http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php/topic,29124.msg397651#msg397651
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Onizuka on August 03, 2011, 02:35:13 pm
You were supposed to give your bet in the betting sheet >_<
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Jen-i on August 03, 2011, 02:36:04 pm
Unfortunately unit that is not how bets are made in this system - it was just a way for some people to advertise what their bets were - bets are made using a link in the OP that posts them straight to a googledocs spreadsheet. Sorry you didn't know, but it does describe that in the OP.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Mithcairion on August 03, 2011, 02:37:03 pm
modified original bet
  • There's no way to modify bets.  You can only create new bets.
  • We're way past the deadline.  All bets made after the deadline are void.  I would erase yours except
  • No bets have been made under the forum accounts unit OR unit748596.  And I'm sure you don't have another forum account because it's against forum rules.
first page
http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php/topic,29124.msg397651#msg397651
Your first page bet doesn't count anyhow.  If you didn't fill out the betting form, your bet isn't valid.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: vidurkhanna on August 03, 2011, 07:46:19 pm
so , in the list , which bets qualify to win the 10k  :electrum and which bets are disqualified??
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Onizuka on August 03, 2011, 07:48:31 pm
All bets you can see in the all bets sheet are good.
Any you don't see are illegal.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: suxerz on August 16, 2011, 06:30:04 am
Now that the end of trials is near, I think it's time to show the potential winners!
The top 10 are...

#Name
Points before Final Battle
# Correct Bets
Maximum Bonus Points
Total Max Points
1Blubberblase
60
8
24
84
2Legit
58
8
24
82
3Higurashi
53
8
24
77
4Akimbwo
52
7
21
73
510 men
50
7
21
71
6Vineroz
50
6
18
68
7parasite99
49
6
18
67
8kirchj33
48
8
24
72
9quaz
48
6
18
66
10Flama
47
6
18
65

#Name
Points before Final Battle
# Correct Bets
Maximum Bonus Points
Total Max Points
11mrpaper
47
6
18
65
12pikachufan2164
47
7
21
68
13SteppingStone81
47
6
18
65
14Jappert
46
7
21
67
15RootRanger
46
7
21
67
16vagman13
46
7
21
67
17Atico
45
6
18
63
18Bonestorm
45
7
21
66
19Jenkar
44
5
15
59
20jippy99
44
5
15
59
21Slotherak
44
5
15
59
22Wardead
44
7
21
65
23ffun
43
6
18
61
24Odii Odsen
43
7
21
64
25TheForbiddenOracle
43
7
21
64
26xn0ize
43
6
18
61
27ZergKing
43
7
21
64
28Boingo
42
5
15
57
29darkark
41
6
18
59
30Falcon4415
41
6
18
59
31Shantu
41
6
18
59
32WVM2
41
6
18
59
33calindu221
40
6
18
58
34Puppenmaedchen
40
6
18
58
35Cereal Guy
39
5
15
54
36dragonsdemesne
39
5
15
54
37Dwerg
39
6
18
57
38Sevs
39
6
18
57
39solarias
39
5
15
54
401world24
38
4
12
50
41hoshiyomi
38
4
12
50
42theoj
38
5
15
53
43firecrapper
37
5
15
52
44Onizuka
37
6
18
55
45Simo145
37
5
15
52
46Tom Bombadil
37
5
15
52
47funnyruler
36
6
18
54
48Gorthos
36
5
15
51
49iCall_uHobo
36
5
15
51
50The Mormegil
36
6
18
54
51jman2v
35
5
15
50
52nilsieboy
35
5
15
50
53ninjaclone09
35
5
15
50
54Trylor
35
5
15
50
55yahoo123
35
6
18
53
56YoungSot
35
6
18
53
57Angelic_Dawn
33
6
18
51
58Izaya
33
4
12
45
59Kuroaitou
33
4
12
45
60omega3
33
4
12
45
61PhantomoftheOpera
33
5
15
48
62PlayerOa
33
5
15
48
63RavingRabbid
33
5
15
48
64tikotribe
33
4
12
45
65TStar
33
5
15
48
66~Napalm
32
5
15
47
67Dm1321
32
5
15
47
68UTAlan
32
4
12
44
69BosTroll
31
4
12
43
70Kiebur
31
4
12
43
71omegareaper7
31
4
12
43
72Pyro Jesus
31
4
12
43
73Tarsus29
31
4
12
43
74TheonlyrealBeef
31
5
15
46
75vidurkhanna
31
5
15
46
76Aves
30
5
15
45
77pieisgreat
30
4
12
42
78suxerz
30
3
9
39
79willng3
30
4
12
42
80xpsychx
30
4
12
42
81Zblader
30
4
12
42
82kokofishes
29
6
18
47
83Svenningen
29
4
12
41
84IcedCakeLake
28
4
12
40
85Thresh
28
3
9
37
86Wizardcat
28
4
12
40
87CCCombobreaker
27
5
15
42
88Gumbeh
27
5
15
42
89Jen-i
27
4
12
39
90NikaZaslavsky
27
5
15
42
91TheManuz
27
5
15
42
92TheodorCo
27
5
15
42
93Kakerlake
26
5
15
41
94Malignant
26
3
9
35
95sebysebyseby
26
4
12
38
96wasilias
26
4
12
38
977_Deadly_Sins
25
5
15
40
98agentflare
25
3
9
34
99avantasia666
25
3
9
34
100Isei
25
5
15
40
101Skydaemon
25
5
15
40
102Spielkind
25
3
9
34
103DrunkDestroyer
24
4
12
36
104girlsgeneration
23
4
12
35
105gocubbies1212
23
5
15
38
106Jocko
23
3
9
32
107WakSkylicker
23
3
9
32
108Zeru
22
3
9
31
109scauduro221095
21
3
9
30
110Zuphix
20
3
9
29
111Astrocyte
19
4
12
31
112tlddchmkb
19
2
6
25
113Amphetryon
18
3
9
27
114teffy
18
3
9
27
115Haltar Dhrim
17
3
9
26
116manaboy100
17
4
12
29
117Bhlewos
16
3
9
25
118Epixyl
16
3
9
25
119pervepic
16
3
9
25
120vrt
16
2
6
22
121nerd1
15
3
9
24
122Pkmn337
14
3
9
23
123SnoWeb
14
2
6
20
124thatnewguy
14
3
9
23
125bucky1andonly
13
3
9
22
126daniel232323
13
2
6
19
127XYTWO
13
3
9
22
128Zules
13
2
6
19
129Flayne
12
2
6
18
130qwandri
12
2
6
18
131az4rel
10
2
6
16
1329270984
7
2
6
13
133Opsinis
6
2
6
12
134TimerClock14
5
2
6
11
135dracomageat
2
1
3
5
*Disclaimer: Don't kill me if this result is inaccurate.  :))


p/s: I don't deserve any credits because kev already have everything in his awesome spreadsheet. I just wasted an hour of my life doing this redundant result. >_>


Oh, btw I couldn't find "Blubberblase". Does that means he/she is disqualified?
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Bhlewos on August 16, 2011, 07:57:13 am
112...oh well. +rep for taking the time to make this suxerz, accurate or not. (after my hour between rep actions is up)
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: TheCrazyMango on August 16, 2011, 12:20:29 pm
112...oh well. +rep for taking the time to make this suxerz, accurate or not. (after my hour between rep actions is up)
pshh, 131 ftw
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Mithcairion on August 16, 2011, 01:27:13 pm
Heh, apparently I submitted an illegal bid, even though I swear my name was on there at one point.  Oh well.  At least 10 men is most likely to win of all the "active" members.  We all know how desperately he needs the electrum.  ;)
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: kev on August 16, 2011, 03:01:33 pm
Opening post modified.  Now includes links to all legal bets, the betting standings, and betting statistics.  I decided not to bother SG with embedding.

Enjoy!
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: majofa on August 16, 2011, 03:02:29 pm
Are the bets that were submitted late lost forever?

(The 'Correct Challenger Picks' and the 'Confidence' totals don't match up for some people)
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: kev on August 16, 2011, 03:18:58 pm
Are the bets that were submitted late lost forever?
I have a copy I can PM you.

(The 'Correct Challenger Picks' and the 'Confidence' totals don't match up for some people)
Fixed.  Thank you.

Edit: I can't give you rep because I gave you rep yesterday.  -.-  Somebody +rep maj for me.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: majofa on August 16, 2011, 03:39:43 pm
Since mine was late and not official, I'll just post it. Got 8 right, but my confidence levels were not as good as others... we'll see how the final battles go.  8)

:aetherpikachufan21643No
:airDrunkDestroyer1Yes
:darknessOnizuka4No
:earthkirchj336Yes
:gravitynilsieboy2No
:lightmajofa8Yes
:time10 men12Yes
:watertikotribe10No
:deaththenewguy5No
:entropyTStar7Yes
:fireEssence9Yes
:lifejmdt11Yes
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: suxerz on August 16, 2011, 04:07:34 pm
(The 'Correct Challenger Picks' and the 'Confidence' totals don't match up for some people)
Fixed.  Thank you.
Erm.. I might be missing something here, but I believe there are still some bets that were not calculated properly.
For example, Blubberblase, Higurashi, 10 men and few others are missing the confidence points for their bet on 10 men.

Oh and my table was not correct either, but now it's fixed. ;D
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: mrpaper on August 16, 2011, 04:10:21 pm
my bet is fine on this page, but not ok on page one
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: majofa on August 16, 2011, 04:11:51 pm
Yes, it looks like people are missing their 10men pick on the standings.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: kev on August 16, 2011, 04:23:35 pm
others are missing the confidence points for their bet on 10 men.
Fixed.  Thank you and +rep.

Edit: This rep system needs tweaking.  Would someone please +rep sux for me?
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Higurashi on August 16, 2011, 04:25:56 pm
*nods* That looks better. I do know my community :>
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: kev on August 31, 2011, 03:23:39 pm
*nods* That looks better. I do know my community :>
Apparently you do.  Congratulations to Higurashi the Untouchable, and winner of the 4th Trials betting!
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Scaredgirl on August 31, 2011, 06:18:48 pm
Gratz!

I'll send you the codes as soon as I manage to dig them up somewhere.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: vidurkhanna on September 02, 2011, 05:45:56 am
i didnt win??  :'(

:P
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Calindu on September 02, 2011, 07:28:53 am
i didnt win??  :'(

:P
No.
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: gumbeh on September 02, 2011, 07:14:47 pm
Congratulations to the new Masters of WAR!

I'm sure someone will find a use for this.

(http://img42.imageshack.us/img42/2986/erff.jpg)
Title: Re: 4th Trials - Betting
Post by: Scaredgirl on September 10, 2011, 08:17:15 pm
Codes sent to Higurashi. Gratz!
blarg: