Elements the Game Forum - Free Online Fantasy Card Game

Elements the Game => Trials => Events and Competitions => Trial Archive => Topic started by: worldwideweb3 on August 16, 2018, 03:01:46 pm

Title: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: worldwideweb3 on August 16, 2018, 03:01:46 pm
Place Your Bets! (https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSdLZyODZgDbVclHG1r6SwyT01O8ADlTMKeoJ1RW65vxdIoGpQ/viewform?usp=sf_link)

Pick your favorites, or the actual favorites, or using random.org.  However you want to do it is up to you, but get those bets in!

Rewards will be: 
1st Place will be awarded 10k :electrum.
2nd Place will be awarded 2k :electrum.




Use this link (https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSdLZyODZgDbVclHG1r6SwyT01O8ADlTMKeoJ1RW65vxdIoGpQ/viewform?usp=sf_link) to submit bets.
Please answer each question; make sure you spell your user name correctly.
You can send in as many bets as you like, but for only the last will be kept.
The betting is weighted, so betting on an underdog has a greater payout than betting on a favorite. 
- This scaling is determined by the upgrade advantage and is also affected by percent of bets each player receives. 
- In the event of a tie we will "figure out something on the spot (that probably involves chat dice)"
Happy betting!



Pre-Betting Odds (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vTTHbAYjAYRQft_6xKXD3pTh8NjSVrz9ZdJ_im2kKKCsJo7pAS_VCD4E2tDM8wR359kwnKazVMSH_vC/pubhtml?gid=18&single=true)
Final Betting Odds & Stats (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vQ810kvKCQKgXGyhqWc4MBWD0h4v6FaKw3L14Wcw4qvu7GKGBcGrDLs-K-mDSb7vWWFivSlnzd5BiNH/pubhtml?gid=18&single=true)
Standings (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vQ810kvKCQKgXGyhqWc4MBWD0h4v6FaKw3L14Wcw4qvu7GKGBcGrDLs-K-mDSb7vWWFivSlnzd5BiNH/pubhtml?gid=26&single=true)



And because the TrOs know you love it, they are bringing back the betting mini-game as well!  Do your best to guess how the community will bet and try to figure out:

The Close Call
The Obvious One
These Odds Seem Right
The Not-So-Dark Horse
The Bookie is Nuts


To send bets in:
Time's Up!

Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: worldwideweb3 on August 16, 2018, 04:29:01 pm
Close call:  :life (or :fire)
Obvious one: :water
Odds seem right: :life(or :fire)
Dark Horse: :aether
bookie is nuts: :water
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: TheonlyrealBeef on August 16, 2018, 04:39:42 pm
The Close Call
:fire

The Obvious One
:water

These Odds Seem Right
:death

The Not-So-Dark Horse
:aether

The Bookie is Nuts
:gravity
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: rob77dp on August 16, 2018, 04:54:10 pm
The Close Call :air

The Obvious One :entropy

These Odds Seem Right :air

The Not-So-Dark Horse :aether

The Bookie is Nuts :aether
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: ARTHANASIOS on August 16, 2018, 04:54:42 pm
The Close Call
:light

The Obvious One
:time

These Odds Seem Right
:life

The Not-So-Dark Horse
:gravity

The Bookie is Nuts
:earth
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: shockcannon on August 16, 2018, 04:54:58 pm
The Close Call:  :aether
The Obvious One:  :earth
These Odds Seem Right:  :fire
The Not-So-Dark Horse:  :life
The Bookie is Nuts:  :air
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: Wyand on August 16, 2018, 09:54:08 pm
The Close Call:  :aether
The Obvious One:  :gravity
These Odds Seem Right: :death
The Not-So-Dark Horse: :aether
The Bookie is Nuts: :life
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: MasterWalks on August 16, 2018, 10:09:23 pm
The Close Call:   :life
The Obvious One:    :air
These Odds Seem Right:  :fire
The Not-So-Dark Horse:   :earth
The Bookie is Nuts:   :gravity
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: dragonsdemesne on August 16, 2018, 11:27:31 pm
We shall see if my 12 sided dice is any good...

The Close Call
:fire

The Obvious One
:death

These Odds Seem Right
 :darkness

The Not-So-Dark Horse
 :earth
The Bookie is Nuts
:light



Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: Aves on August 16, 2018, 11:41:56 pm
The Close Call:  :aether
The Obvious One:  :water
These Odds Seem Right:  :water
The Not-So-Dark Horse:  :life
The Bookie is Nuts:  :fire
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: Ginyu on August 17, 2018, 12:04:41 pm
The Close Call: :air
The Obvious One: :water
These Odds Seem Right: :water
The Not-So-Dark Horse: :life
The Bookie is Nuts: :life
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: Basman-1453 on August 17, 2018, 03:23:51 pm
The Close Call: Life
The Obvious One: Entropy
These Odds Seem Right: Life
The Not-So-Dark Horse: Water
The Bookie is Nuts: Aether

:sillyspin:
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: JonathanCrazyJ on August 17, 2018, 03:27:18 pm
The Close Call :air

The Obvious One :time :entropy

These Odds Seem Right :gravity

The Not-So-Dark Horse :aether

The Bookie is Nuts :aether
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: InsignificantWeeaboo on August 17, 2018, 06:20:15 pm
The Close Call: :life
The Obvious One: :entropy
These Odds Seem Right: :air
The Not-So-Dark Horse: :water
The Bookie is Nuts:  :aether
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: Linkcat on August 18, 2018, 07:58:13 am
The Close Call: :air
The Obvious One: :entropy
These Odds Seem Right: :air
The Not-So-Dark Horse: :life
The Bookie is Nuts: :life
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: CactusKing on August 18, 2018, 08:11:25 am
The Close Call: :life
The Obvious One: :earth
These Odds Seem Right: :light
The Not-So-Dark Horse: :aether
The Bookie is Nuts: :water
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: mathman101 on August 18, 2018, 04:46:15 pm
The Close Call: :light
The Obvious One: :water
These Odds Seem Right: :air
The Not-So-Dark Horse: :aether or  :life
The Bookie is Nuts: :water
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: MyNameIsJoey on August 19, 2018, 12:57:16 am
Close Call :fire
Obvious one :water
These odds seem right :death
Not-so-dark-horse :aether
bookie is nuts :aether

uurgh, i suck at this. Pretty much all of those were very hard actually, and i couldn't seem to choose.
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: worldwideweb3 on August 22, 2018, 05:46:50 pm
Less than a day left! Get those bets in!
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: Vineroz on August 23, 2018, 01:38:29 am
The Close Call
 :light

The Obvious One
 :gravity

These Odds Seem Right
 :light

The Not-So-Dark Horse
 :death

The Bookie is Nuts
 :death
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: CCCombobreaker on August 23, 2018, 03:08:44 pm
The Close Call
  • (match-up with the most evenly distributed bets)
:aether

The Obvious One
  • (the person with the most bets (or the least bets) <- will be the same match-up either way)
:darkness

These Odds Seem Right
  • (the match-up where gamblers bets closest approximate the initial odds)
:aether

The Not-So-Dark Horse
  • (the initial underdog who receives the most bets)
:life

The Bookie is Nuts
  • (the match-up with the biggest difference between the bets and the initial odds)
:life

Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: kaempfer13 on August 23, 2018, 03:14:54 pm
The Close Call
  • (match-up with the most evenly distributed bets)
:light

The Obvious One
  • (the person with the most bets (or the least bets) <- will be the same match-up either way)
:water
These Odds Seem Right
  • (the match-up where gamblers bets closest approximate the initial odds)
:death

The Not-So-Dark Horse
  • (the initial underdog who receives the most bets)
:aether

The Bookie is Nuts
  • (the match-up with the biggest difference between the bets and the initial odds)
:life

Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: worldwideweb3 on August 23, 2018, 03:35:34 pm
The bats have been tallied, and now we just wait for the results!

And the results for the mini-game are in too. Winning bets are:


The Close Call
 :aether, with deuce22 claiming 15/26 bets!

The Obvious One
 :water, with 25/26 bets! That's one more bet than last year (when it was 24/26)! That's over 95% of the bets going to one person!

These Odds Seem Right
 :fire, with a 3.03 voter effect!

The Not-So-Dark Horse
 :life, with underdog Mr Muffin receiving 20 bets! I guess winning war as a life general does pay off.

The Bookie is Nuts
 :entropy, with a 13.08 voter effect as iancudorinmarian claimed 24/26 bets!
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: worldwideweb3 on August 23, 2018, 03:37:32 pm
Aves and shockcannon winning the mini game with 3/5 right each!
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: rob77dp on August 23, 2018, 03:52:57 pm
Is there a prize for last place in the betting mini-game? For trying to get them all right but going 0/5?  8-)
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: JonathanCrazyJ on August 23, 2018, 04:55:56 pm
Who bet RR? was it RR? :P
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: shockcannon on August 23, 2018, 05:17:05 pm
I went 3/5 in mini games. Not bad.  :entropy with the shocker though.
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: worldwideweb3 on August 23, 2018, 05:31:14 pm
I went 3/5 in mini games. Not bad.  :entropy with the shocker though.

Um, no?
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: shockcannon on August 23, 2018, 05:50:32 pm
Um, yes? Aether was close call, fire was odds seem right, and life was the not-so-dark-horse. Unless you want to argue against factual stats?
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: JonathanCrazyJ on August 23, 2018, 05:54:50 pm
Um, yes? Aether was close call, fire was odds seem right, and life was the not-so-dark-horse. Unless you want to argue against factual stats?

He's right www3, 3.03 is less effect than -3.46, fire should be odds seems right not Aether
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: worldwideweb3 on August 23, 2018, 05:59:10 pm
Soz there was a technical error. Blame Zanzarino
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: shockcannon on August 23, 2018, 06:01:32 pm
www3 trying to take away my glory and fame. You going to announce that kaempfer13 is the next Time Master after I beat him 5-0?
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: worldwideweb3 on August 23, 2018, 06:03:25 pm
Ill give him a plastic replica if he loses #iykyk
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: RavingRabbid on September 01, 2018, 05:05:46 pm
Who bet RR? was it RR? :P
your face will be subject to various wreckings
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: worldwideweb3 on September 04, 2018, 12:43:35 am
Congratulation RavingRabbid on coming 1st with 11/12 bets right! 2nd place goes to kaempfer13! Codes will be given soon~
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: JonathanCrazyJ on September 04, 2018, 08:02:02 am
Was he the one person who voted for himself? Was that his only failed bet?
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: worldwideweb3 on September 04, 2018, 01:27:08 pm
Was he the one person who voted for himself? Was that his only failed bet?

No, here are the full bets: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1lvtqGBAd0m291h1LYQPTPu1vk06IPjfR-qliX1Nwbqw/edit?usp=sharing
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: ARTHANASIOS on September 04, 2018, 04:01:02 pm
Now that the votes have become public, I would like to say that I voted the underdog in most of the cases because that's the way I felt. Also, I voted my rival (d2d) not in order to give him a free win but because it felt strange to vote myself. Finally, I have never voted STANDIN because I wish for every element to have a master.
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: Kalinuial on September 04, 2018, 04:13:42 pm
Now that the votes have become public, I would like to say that I voted the underdog in most of the cases because that's the way I felt. Also, I voted my rival (d2d) not in order to give him a free win but because it felt strange to vote myself. Finally, I have never voted STANDIN because I wish for every element to have a master.

You are so sweet.
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: JonathanCrazyJ on September 04, 2018, 07:56:51 pm
Now that the votes have become public, I would like to say that I voted the underdog in most of the cases because that's the way I felt. Also, I voted my rival (d2d) not in order to give him a free win but because it felt strange to vote myself. Finally, I have never voted STANDIN because I wish for every element to have a master.

You are so sweet.

Kal, you need a profile pic, it's friggin weird seeing a master without one

shockcannon, what did I do to lose your confidence? WHY DO YOU HATE ME??? (lol)
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: InsignificantWeeaboo on September 04, 2018, 08:04:53 pm
Now that the votes have become public, I would like to say that I voted the underdog in most of the cases because that's the way I felt. Also, I voted my rival (d2d) not in order to give him a free win but because it felt strange to vote myself. Finally, I have never voted STANDIN because I wish for every element to have a master.

Sorry for the disappointment
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: RavingRabbid on September 05, 2018, 12:09:12 pm
A winner is me
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: dawn to dusk on September 05, 2018, 12:36:29 pm
Now that the votes have become public, I would like to say that I voted the underdog in most of the cases because that's the way I felt. Also, I voted my rival (d2d) not in order to give him a free win but because it felt strange to vote myself. Finally, I have never voted STANDIN because I wish for every element to have a master.

I know your tricks, you bid me because it's a win-win. Either you win Trials, or you win betting points. I see you
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: ARTHANASIOS on September 05, 2018, 12:45:55 pm
I know your tricks, you bid me because it's a win-win. Either you win Trials, or you win betting points. I see you

Damn, you got me! :P
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: Vineroz on September 06, 2018, 01:17:19 am
Now that the votes have become public, I would like to say that I voted the underdog in most of the cases because that's the way I felt. Also, I voted my rival (d2d) not in order to give him a free win but because it felt strange to vote myself. Finally, I have never voted STANDIN because I wish for every element to have a master.

I know your tricks, you bid me because it's a win-win. Either you win Trials, or you win betting points. I see you

Actually this should be how betting work. You should always bet for the opponent instead of the team you are supporting, so that if you lost the bet which means your supporting team wins, or you win the bet as the compensation for the lost of your team.
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: Basman-1453 on September 06, 2018, 01:21:25 am
-snip-
Also, I voted my rival (d2d) not in order to give him a free win but because it felt strange to vote myself.
-snip-

I know your tricks, you bid me because it's a win-win. Either you win Trials, or you win betting points. I see you

Actually this should be how betting work. You should always bet for the opponent instead of the team you are supporting, so that if you lost the bet which means your supporting team wins, or you win the bet as the compensation for the lost of your team.
* Basman-1453 shudders whether Gambler boost (War) should be allowed to bet a 0-3 and then put in a practically-suicide deck to go with that boost.
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: Mr Muffin on September 06, 2018, 03:31:19 am
* Basman-1453 shudders whether Gambler boost (War) should be allowed to bet a 0-3 and then put in a practically-suicide deck to go with that boost.

This is a thing. People do that when they want more relics instead of less discards.
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: rob77dp on September 06, 2018, 06:00:58 am
Now that the votes have become public, I would like to say that I voted the underdog in most of the cases because that's the way I felt. Also, I voted my rival (d2d) not in order to give him a free win but because it felt strange to vote myself. Finally, I have never voted STANDIN because I wish for every element to have a master.

I know your tricks, you bid me because it's a win-win. Either you win Trials, or you win betting points. I see you

Actually this should be how betting work. You should always bet for the opponent instead of the team you are supporting, so that if you lost the bet which means your supporting team wins, or you win the bet as the compensation for the lost of your team.
Keep in mind that conversely, when you win the match, you still lost something and if you win the bet you had to lose the match....  :-\
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: ARTHANASIOS on September 06, 2018, 07:10:36 am
Keep in mind that conversely, when you win the match, you still lost something and if you win the bet you had to lose the match....  :-\

This. ^

Btw, losing a master's title can not be replaced by winning an extra bet.
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: Wyand on September 06, 2018, 06:52:39 pm

Kal, you need a profile pic, it's friggin weird seeing a master without one


Kal, consider choosing one of these. :)

(https://www.spriters-resource.com/resources/sheets/39/41788.png)
Title: Re: 12th Trials - Betting!
Post by: Kalinuial on September 06, 2018, 08:24:19 pm
so much pressure. better increase my posting rate.  cool characters, though.  they look like steel golem maybe. so i'll put that as my photo for now.
blarg: kaempfer13,RavingRabbid