Prior to your assertion I would have defaulted to the starting position on the topic.
After your assertion I would evaluate your argument to see if it convinced me to abandon my starting position or whether it was insufficient.
The particular subject matter renders your task of making a convincing argument impossible so I would remain at my starting position.
And what is your starting position on the existence or otherwise of my unicorn? And can you please explain your reasoning.
I see no rational reason to hold either starting position is an inferior starting position.
If there is no reason to change ones position without evidence on topics without the possibility for evidence either way, then there is no reason to waste time and effort considering if one should change ones position on those topics.
Your initial position not being logical or rational is a reason to change your position.
A theist, by definition, believes that a deity or deities exist.
Do you mean "holds a belief" when you say "assert" or are you using the common definition of "trying to persuade others this is the case"?
"Assert" does not necessarily mean trying to persuade anybody of anything.
It is not necessary for you to be human in order to breathe air. Is this indirect evidence that you are not human?
False equivalence. God, in this instance, is being posited as an explanation for the existence of the world as we currently understand it to exist. God not being necessary for the world as we currently understand it to exist is evidence against the existence of God.
Since the invention of religion could happen even if god existed, then religion being an invention is not evidence that god does not exist.
No, it is not
proof, but it is
evidence. That, say, the God of the Church of Jesus Christ And The Latter Day Saints exists yet mankind only came to know this through the circuitous route of developing the Sumerian and Canaanite religions, from there venerating Yahweh the God of War above the others, this becoming a monotheistic religion known as Judaism, which then became Christianity, from which emerged Joseph Smith's Mormonism, which became the Church of Jesus Christ and the Later Day Saints is less probable than that God doesn't exist and that these stories are just stories. Especially as we're talking about a God who has no influence on the world whatsoever, which would necessarily mean that he didn't influence these religions whatsoever, which would mean that Thomas S. Monson has ended up landing on the truth by pure chance.
Surely you don't disagree that the probability of someone alighting on the exact truth by chance in amongst a literally infinite number of possible alternatives is infinitely small?
The obvious counter arguments are now included. I had expected you to see them upon reflection previously.
You had expected to say "no you're wrong" and for me to simply agree with you? Not to be rude, but that's a little ironic, given that you're arguing that one should not change one's position unless given cause to do so.
Misuse of Occam's_razor
It deals with parsimony not probability.
And the parsimonious explanation is to be preferred.
If X then the probability of X is 100%. If !X then the probability of X is 0%. Binary is 0s and 1s corresponding to 0% and 100%.
This is a strange argument to be making. Obviously something either exists or it doesn't. But we're talking about assessing the probability of something existing. If I draw a card from a deck and hold it face down and ask you what colour it is, then the probability of the card being red is 100% if I drew a red card or 0% if I drew a black card, but all you can tell is that the probability of drawing a red card is 50%. In that situation, were I to draw a card and ask you what you thought the probability of it being red was, would you honestly say "either 100% or 0%"? Because that's the least useful application of probability I've ever heard of.
Now, leaving aside the cards, what we're assessing is not whether or not God exists, but what the probability is that someone who states that God exists is correct. This probability is not 50%. There being 2 possible outcomes does not make those two possibilities equally probable. If I roll a fair 6-sided die then I can either roll a 1 or I can not roll a 1. Despite this, the probability of me rolling a 1 is 16.66%, not 50%.