More data:
I tweaked the deck to add Jangoo's suggestions, just able to get in 10 games during work...
Results:
morte 1 0 (cards=1)
gemini 0 1 (cards=0; never saw hg, one phase shield, game over 5-6 turns)
fire queen 1 0 (cards=0)
elidnis 2 0 (cards=2;jade staff,forest spectre)
rainbow 0 2 (cards=0;2nd game lost due to no protect artifact in 30 cards)
scorpio 0 1 (0qt/sn in draw,0qt turn 2,3,4,5)
seism 0 2 (1qt in draw-protected @ 2nd turn, 14 cards in=no HG/Shield/Wall) near identical for game 2)
Having much better luck now, the added qt's have been helping I believe. You'll notice some of the losses are due to just terrible draws.
40% with 2-3 just lost to bad draws.
One thing I've noticed and curious about, with such a slim deck, what should be our hierarchy of discarding when forced to discard (happens often enough I need to ask).