The oracle: Your fortune and your nymph.

[jmizzle7]

So what you are really saying, Kael, is that you cheated. Well done, staff member....

[Ant-n-ero]

So what you are really saying, Kael, is that you cheated. Well done, staff member....

cue: "HHAAAAAAAAAAAAAAXXX!!!!!"..... *whoosh* --- *smack* .... *kael's head breaks* ^^

[TheoCT]

Kael that is INSANE!

I've been using the oracle every day since it came out and I have 2 nymphs, 1x Aether and 1x Water

[takhisis]

So what you are really saying, Kael, is that you cheated. Well done, staff member....

cue: "HHAAAAAAAAAAAAAAXXX!!!!!"..... *whoosh* --- *smack* .... *kael's head breaks* ^^

Given the 9% stated odds, there is about a 1/5000 chance for someone to get 22 nymphs in 111 pulls.  We have what, hundreds of members?  So it's improbable that someone would have done this, but not impossible.

[Ant-n-ero]

So what you are really saying, Kael, is that you cheated. Well done, staff member....

cue: "HHAAAAAAAAAAAAAAXXX!!!!!"..... *whoosh* --- *smack* .... *kael's head breaks* ^^

Given the 9% stated odds, there is about a 1/5000 chance for someone to get 22 nymphs in 111 pulls.  We have what, hundreds of members?  So it's improbable that someone would have done this, but not impossible.

no - he was saying how the oracle was glitched and gave him the same nymph everday for 8 or 9 days before it was fixed -- so he really only won about 14

[Krzysiek K.]

Given the 9% stated odds

The true odds of getting a nymph are about 50% lower. If oracle picked a nymph for random card, it has 50% chance to "cheat" and try picking different card. This way nymphs are more rare than any other card. Judging by card counts from the trainer, quick math gives about 4% probability for getting a nymph, which is (or rather: "should be") on average 1 nymph per 25 days.

[miniwally]

Anyone else get undefined fortune for fractal?

[Kael Hate]

Given the 9% stated odds

The true odds of getting a nymph are about 50% lower. If oracle picked a nymph for random card, it has 50% chance to "cheat" and try picking different card. This way nymphs are more rare than any other card. Judging by card counts from the trainer, quick math gives about 4% probability for getting a nymph, which is (or rather: "should be") on average 1 nymph per 25 days.

Where'd this information come from? Also when was implemented from the first day or later on?

[Krzysiek K.]

Where'd this information come from? Also when was implemented from the first day or later on?

From an user, frustrated by not getting a single nymph for ages, who also happened to be a coder. Sorry for reverse engineering this bit, but I just had to know the true odds. I have no idea when it was implemented - it's there in 1.23, and I guess it was there from the start.

[dragonhuman]

Where'd this information come from? Also when was implemented from the first day or later on?

From an user, frustrated by not getting a single nymph for ages, who also happened to be a coder. Sorry for reverse engineering this bit, but I just had to know the true odds. I have no idea when it was implemented - it's there in 1.23, and I guess it was there from the start.

I cam up with some statistics also, here is where I posted my math and stuff

http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php/topic,7938.new.html#new

[UPRC]

Just started playing again last week, and I was quite surprised to find this interesting feature! The oracle definitely helps me financially on those days when I don't have time to play much.

Good addition for sure.

[eirwen]

I have never won a card. *sniff sniff*