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Offline Captain ScibraTopic starter

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Last cards fail? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=28810.msg367976#msg367976
« on: July 18, 2011, 07:30:13 pm »
Just for kicks, you can figure out what the percent chance was that specific cards in your deck were all the last cards:

100%*C!*(T-C)!
           T!

where T is total cards in the deck, and C is the number of the specific cards.

Example:

CCYB has 2 Lava Destroyers.  The chance that they are the last 2 cards in you deck is 100*2!*(35-2)!/35!, which if worked out on paper, you get the fraction 2/(34*35) or 2/1190, which is 0.0016806722689075630252100840336134%
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Offline teffy

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Re: Last cards fail? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=28810.msg368269#msg368269
« Reply #1 on: July 19, 2011, 11:44:51 am »
Quote
you get the fraction 2/(34*35) or 2/1190, which is 0.0016806722689075630252100840336134%
The fraction 2/1190 is 0.00168... if you write it in percent, you have to multiply it with your 100.  That means the chance is 0.168... % that the last 2 cards of you 35-cards deck are Lava Destroyers.
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Offline Pineapple

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Re: Last cards fail? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=28810.msg368270#msg368270
« Reply #2 on: July 19, 2011, 11:55:11 am »
Actually, teffy, the decimal is 0.0000168...
You can see in the formula that they use "100%", and the Malignant uses 100 in his calculations as opposed to 1, so the result is 100 times more than the decimal result, and therefore the percentage.

Offline Pineapple

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Re: Last cards fail? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=28810.msg368271#msg368271
« Reply #3 on: July 19, 2011, 11:57:52 am »
1*C!*(T-C)!/T!

Your last card in your 60-card timebow was the only eternity.

1*1!*(60-1)!/60!
0.01666...
1 and 2/3 percent? Isn't that rather high?

Offline Captain ScibraTopic starter

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Re: Last cards fail? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=28810.msg374616#msg374616
« Reply #4 on: August 02, 2011, 04:35:22 am »
Well, since it is a single card, you simply use the fraction 1/60.  But yeah, that is the percent.  I found it lol to be able to determine how bad your luck was when someone mentioned that they had 2 lava destroyers as their last 2 cards in CCYB.

teffy is right, I never multiplied it by 100.  So it is actually 0.16806722689075630252100840336134%
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anything
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