Guest posts by Ekdikos

1

Tournament Archive / Re: Eastern Tournament - June 4th - Heart of the Swarm - Unupgraded

« on: May 31, 2011, 07:36:01 pm »

I was going to try to get into this, but its at 4am my time! 
I don't know if I should try to stay up late, get up early, or wait till next time!

2

Rainbow Decks / Re: Shak'ars Revenge (FG-Voodoo)

« on: May 30, 2011, 05:14:02 pm »

Hey, I thought I'd update my progress (not sure if I should just be editing my previous post?)

I sort of went on a binder and shot right by 200 games up to (presently) 269... I know that is an odd number, but I need to take a break and thought this would be a good way to do it... unfortunately, my run of good luck (I guess that is what it was) didn't last, but I'm not sure if that is strictly the decks true colors (+my play style with it) coming out, or if it is just an incredibly bad run against FGs that like to eat me with laxatives... Even besides that, though, I think the numbers aren't too bad:

Total games:   269
Raw Win % :     28.62
Win % (N)   :     29.56
Avg. ttw      :       9.8

And perhaps, for a bit of clarity (I tried to look up how to make tables, but it said I wasn't able to search the forum?):

                       wins  loses
Akebono            5       5
Chaos Lord        0       6
Dark Matter       0     10
Decay                4       2
Destiny              3     11
Divine Glory       3       3
Dream Catcher  2       5
Elidnis                3       5
Eternal Phoenix 2       8
Ferox                 3       8
Fire Queen         1      4
Gemini               0       9
Graviton             3      9
Hecate               2      4
Hermes              3      7
Incarnate           3     3
Jezebel              7      5
Lionheart           4      5
Miracle               1      4
Morte                 2    12
Neptune            2      4
Obliterator        3       4
Octane              4       9
Osiris                 1     11
Paradox            1        3
Rainbow            6        8
Scorpio              2      12
Seism                 1     11
Serket               6        5

Oh yeah, thats ugly... I've already typed it, so there it is- but I will refrain from doing anything like that again until I learn how to do it right... Anyway, so you see how I've played against a few FGs 14 times, yet some others only 6... I know normalizing the win% is supposed to account for that, but with such a skewed sample, I'm not sure how effective it is. The last 20 or so games I started skipping the Fgs I'd played a lot, but it seems like you get FGs in jags (I skipped Ferox 3 times in a row!) I'm not really a math wiz though, so I might be applying perceptive bias. (something about numbers not lying?)

Also, the last time I played against Neptune, he froze and shockwaved my doll, even though it was BB'd and had 40 of 80 hit points... That was sad. That's the only time that happened, so I don't know if that is new/emergent AI behavior, or just crazy-random happenstance.

I'm not sure what my problem with Morte and Gemini are, but it surely didn't right itself over a longer haul... One the other hand I seem to have had a decent run against lionheart and Decay...

Anyway, so there it is.

3

Rainbow Decks / Re: Shak'ars Revenge (FG-Voodoo)

« on: May 24, 2011, 04:41:00 am »

Thanks Jangoo!

It seems that the FGs hold on to their rewinds until after I cast a BB on them... I'll toss a doll or two (when I pull them! lol) and they will sit and sit... I know they have rewind from the precog I used. Then I cast BB (even just one) and next turn they poof that doll. Have you noticed this, or is there something I can do to discourage that behavior?

With morte I think it has been more my draws(luck)- I don't get my card combo until it is too late- usually missing either gravity force or a doll and not drawing it till I already have 60 health and 20 poison, or so... So yeah, I'm hoping that will change- I'm only up to 126 games now, so not much change on the numbers yet...

I think some of my problems/successes have to do with the fact I'm not afraid to use it as a TU deck, especially if I draw some pendulums and TUs at the beginning of the game. I'll use TU on a big baddie, then BB his creatures. I like doing that especially on... Whichever FG likes to accelerate and momentum his dragons. That is amazing fun having three or four dragons doing 26 damage or so the last turn

Also, It was you're link to Statmasta4000 (in your... signature space??) that encouraged me to start taking stats! Unfortunately, I don't think it works so well with openoffice or something... All lines with !!! points and I couldn't figure out how to fix it, so I used it as a template to make my own spreadsheet (A1 cell says "All praise to Statmasta4000")... I have all the essentials, but nothing fancy yet. I did add a few fields of my own though... Anyway, thanks again!

4

Rainbow Decks / Re: Shak'ars Revenge (FG-Voodoo)

« on: May 22, 2011, 03:03:36 am »

I'm relatively new to this game, and this was my first, and still is my only FG deck. From running A3 and T50 with a minor vampire/Adrenaline deck, I started looking for a decent deck to help fund all of my own failed creations. I think I had something like 400 cards... But after staring at this deck for what seemed like forever, I sold every card but what was in my hand, got this and upgraded just over half the cards (and in my inexperience, I upgraded the wrong cards- starting with TU, BB, and VD)... The first ten hands or so, I thought I had made a big mistake, but then I started seeing what I needed to do, won enough cards to up the rest of the deck. This was during 1.27, and I started keeping stats. I'm only up to 119 recorded, but I thought I'd share some of them.

The deck I'm using is:

Code: [Select]

6u3 6u3 6u3 6u3 6u3 6u3 6ve 6ve 6ve 6ve 6ve 6ve 74d 74d 74d 77l 77l 77l 77l 77l 7qb 7qb 7tg 7tg 7tg 80b 80b 80b 80b 80b
(oh yeah, sorry -atm I am too newb with formatting to put it in a table proper)

Games played: 119
Raw winrate: 32.77%
Normalized winrate: 35.08%
Avg. TTW: 9.51

Not sure about the fancier stats yet, but I'll be looking into those soon; plus, I seem to be a bit above the curve right now, so we'll have to see what happens as I close in on 200 games.

Some side stats and such that don't really mean anything (still only applying to the 119 recorded games):
-I have a total of 2 EM (once against Dream Catcher and once against Serket)
-Despite having played each of them 6 times, I've yet to come close to beating Dark Matter, Osiris, or Seism (rewind... Grr.)
-I also haven't beat Gemini or Lionheart, but I only played against them twice each, and I think I was close.
-After 119 games, if I hadn't won or sold a single card, I'd be down 421 Electrum (but counting cards, I'm up ~30,000)
-My median win% against individual FGs is 33%
-I played against morte 10 times, and he stomped me 8 of those times...

Also, playing Chaos Lord with a good TU draw is the most epic fun of all time; Even if a simple BB would stop it, I cannot resist TUing a druid, and mutating my dolls -praying the whole while to get one with the steal skill (that I can afford) to steal his shield and quantum towers to feed my mutants...

anyway, my second post ever, and I hope I contributed something to this thread!

Oh! And I cannot believe I almost walked away without offering my profuse thanks for this deck idea- amazing! (both the deck and that I almost forgot)

5

General Discussion / Re: How to "normalize" stats?

« on: May 21, 2011, 04:42:40 am »

Sorry to necro, but I'm relatively new to this game, and this was the first thread that came up on the search... (I didn't know what "normalized" meant either)

But to ease kevkev60614's reply (ty, btw, for replying) you add the win% against each FG (in fraction or decimal form), and then divide by the number of FGs involved in the calculation(29 right now, right?) Basically just restating for the math disinclined, like myself:

(0/9 + 6/7 + 8/14)/3 to use the example above, with only 3 FGs involved. (or more directly: (0/9 + 6/7 + 8/14)*1/3)

(yes, I know that is a basic distribution law, but it has been so long it hit me like an epiphany, so I wanted to share for those too eager to take the time to let it sink in -it simplifies the calculation greatly)