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kitty45

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nymph? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=23062.msg292548#msg292548
« on: March 17, 2011, 06:49:49 pm »
Well I have been playing elements since June 2010 and didn't get 1 nymph is there something wrong most people get 1 a month. P.S i was REALLY bad at elements back then

Offline willng3

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Re: nymph? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=23062.msg292549#msg292549
« Reply #1 on: March 17, 2011, 06:54:43 pm »
As bad as your luck may be, there are some people who have still never received a Nymph and have been playing since the Oracle was first introduced to the game.  So even though I agree you're terribly unlucky here, there are other people who are even unluckier than this.
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Funkyvenom

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Re: nymph? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=23062.msg292563#msg292563
« Reply #2 on: March 17, 2011, 07:23:02 pm »
I've gotten about 7 or 8 nymphs since starting in May 2010. My cousin got one in his first week.

Re: nymph? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=23062.msg292572#msg292572
« Reply #3 on: March 17, 2011, 07:29:56 pm »
out of my 7 nymphs
5 were from oracle (I started in early sep. last year)
2 are from my tourney wins (probably should have picked up a mark, but I wanted nymphs... :P)

Offline Rastafla

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Re: nymph? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=23062.msg292584#msg292584
« Reply #4 on: March 17, 2011, 07:41:19 pm »
21 nymphs, 1 from tournament.
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deepdown

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Re: nymph? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=23062.msg292602#msg292602
« Reply #5 on: March 17, 2011, 08:06:08 pm »
Just keep spinning every day.

English is not my mother language, and I’m not good at it either. So it will be a bit hard for me to explain the difference between normal (Gauss) distribution and real distribution.
And I guess you’re not a math freak either so here’s a simple example:
You play heads or tails with a coin and tho there’s 50-50% chance of each result, each spins are independent events therefore the results will not be the expected H-T-H-T-H-T…, they will come in arrays (masses?) like 4H-3T-2H-8T…, and there’s equal chance that in 100 spins the first 50 will be H and the second 50 will be T, due to independency.
Your daily Oracle spin works same way, which means you won’t spin a nymph in every 30th day (I don’t know the exact chance for nymph spin), it’s more probably that you will win 3-4 nymphs in a week, and than nothing for months.
If you want to model it search any "play for free" roulette game in internet and start spinning. There’s 1/37(with zero) chance for any number to spin. Choose a number, and spin 365 times which will model „one” possibility for a year, or do more if you want. If you hit your choosen number its like you win a nymho. You will see that you wont spin your number in every 37th spin.
In (very) long term small chanches will be normalized, so after 1000 years of spinning every Elements player would hold the same (big) amount of nymphos.  ???

Offline siriosirio

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Re: nymph? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=23062.msg292630#msg292630
« Reply #6 on: March 17, 2011, 08:45:35 pm »
1000 years? ok i'm not pressed  :)) :)) :))

Offline Raptor6789

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Re: nymph? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=23062.msg292717#msg292717
« Reply #7 on: March 17, 2011, 10:10:19 pm »
im guessing you are saying that if the sample size gets increased to a huge amount, the results would turn out the same?

Re: nymph? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=23062.msg292719#msg292719
« Reply #8 on: March 17, 2011, 10:11:21 pm »
I haven't played long enought for the fact I don't have any to matter, but my friend, morningstar, has only recieved one since the Oracle began.

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Re: nymph? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=23062.msg292765#msg292765
« Reply #9 on: March 17, 2011, 10:55:16 pm »
I bet you didn't spin everyday :) Good luck though :D
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Offline icecoldbro

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Re: nymph? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=23062.msg292767#msg292767
« Reply #10 on: March 17, 2011, 11:00:40 pm »
It is just a matter of luck, my lil sis got 3 in her starting week of elements, then quit playing.
I have been playing since before Oracle release and still have only 9.

Offline TheForbiddenOracle

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Re: nymph? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=23062.msg292798#msg292798
« Reply #11 on: March 17, 2011, 11:28:54 pm »
Well what can I say, stuff happens. For example on my account I had 7 total (3 sold when I was young and foolish), and on my alt I went to the oracle everyday for about a month and got 5. Also the reason why I stop going on my alt, feel like it's taking the spins from me but from my Nymph drought I suspect not

 

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