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tiebearius

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Later Nymphs? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=23043.msg292260#msg292260
« on: March 17, 2011, 03:35:12 am »
It's probably chance. But in the last week or so I have been doing oracle spins late in the day. The thing is, I got three nymphs in one week.

Could the time of the day effect what you get? Silly, I know. But to get three in one week, When it took me months to get that, Well seems more the coincidence.

Offline Getawu2

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Re: Later Nymphs? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=23043.msg292334#msg292334
« Reply #1 on: March 17, 2011, 06:35:28 am »
It may be that the tool, that generates the random numbers used in the oracle is initialize through the time, so it may depend on the time. But no one can use that. And getting the nymphs late at day is just a coincidence.

Offline petersenk

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Re: Later Nymphs? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=23043.msg292426#msg292426
« Reply #2 on: March 17, 2011, 01:30:46 pm »
It's just you/your brains wanting to see patterns. Yet, there are none.
But don't worry, humans have generally a hard time dealing with random things and probability and stuff.

Offline ffun

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Re: Later Nymphs? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=23043.msg292446#msg292446
« Reply #3 on: March 17, 2011, 02:36:39 pm »
Yes, I agree it's probably just cognitive bias at work. It's your mind playing tricks on you and trying to relate two things that have no relation.

Offline Jangoo

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Re: Later Nymphs? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=23043.msg292454#msg292454
« Reply #4 on: March 17, 2011, 03:15:14 pm »


A couple weeks ago I won three nymphs within a week too ... before that: months of silence.

Statistically it averages out just fine I guess.


Offline Rastafla

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Re: Later Nymphs? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=23043.msg292514#msg292514
« Reply #5 on: March 17, 2011, 05:40:14 pm »
Actually there is a pattern to nymphs and it have been known for months on end. With sufficient math anyone can win nymphs day after day. Apparently too few knows of this and how to do it, the ones who knows how have informed zanz of the "flaw" or "error" or "bug" or "pattern" whatever you want to call it. As far as there is info on this zanz doesnt thinks its a high priority fix as he doesn't fix it nor stops those who knows.

This situation is like those smart individuals who breaks the bank in blackjack at casinos, its not wrong or bad or illegal, its simply using what you were born with at beating a "game" that didn't take your skills into account or knew it could be done.

If you find a bug or flaw and can replicate it, inform zanzarino. Thats the only thing you can do.
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Offline Jangoo

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Re: Later Nymphs? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=23043.msg293180#msg293180
« Reply #6 on: March 18, 2011, 11:30:51 am »

Actually there is a pattern to nymphs and it have been known for months on end. With sufficient math anyone can win nymphs day after day. Apparently too few knows of this and how to do it, the ones who knows how have informed zanz of the "flaw" or "error" or "bug" or "pattern" whatever you want to call it. As far as there is info on this zanz doesnt thinks its a high priority fix as he doesn't fix it nor stops those who knows.

This situation is like those smart individuals who breaks the bank in blackjack at casinos, its not wrong or bad or illegal, its simply using what you were born with at beating a "game" that didn't take your skills into account or knew it could be done.

If you find a bug or flaw and can replicate it, inform zanzarino. Thats the only thing you can do.
Erm ... so you are saying that I don't win nymphs because the RNG accidentally spins them for me but because
there are set-in-stone times when nymphs are handed out?
Day1 : 11am
Day2: 4pm
Day3: 12am
Day4: 5pm
Day5: 1am
Day6: 6pm
...

Something like this? And supposedly there are people who know of this pattern?
How did they do it? Create 300 accs and test all week until they got the nymph-times down?
Because this isn't really anything you could "calculate" or "be skillful" at ... you would need
empirical data to find out the nymph times in the first place.


Offline Essence

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Re: Later Nymphs? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=23043.msg293297#msg293297
« Reply #7 on: March 18, 2011, 05:02:33 pm »
Rasta is trolling.
If something happens and you think it deserves my attention, feel free to PM me. Other than that, I'm probably here if you want to shoot the breeze.

Offline Jangoo

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Re: Later Nymphs? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=23043.msg293329#msg293329
« Reply #8 on: March 18, 2011, 06:04:54 pm »

*facepalm* ... and I fell for it.  :))


 

anything
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