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JJ 52

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Re: Better chance of winning nymphs if you don't spin oracle for a long time? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14269.msg181281#msg181281
« Reply #12 on: October 21, 2010, 09:47:09 pm »
I was spinning on kong for a long time then when I spun at main site for the heck of it I won 3 nymphs within like 2 weeks after not winning any for literally months on kong.

Re: Better chance of winning nymphs if you don't spin oracle for a long time? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14269.msg181352#msg181352
« Reply #13 on: October 21, 2010, 10:41:00 pm »
Without hard evidence or a giant pool of data on a spreadsheet (and given the rarity of winning, it'd have to be huge huge huge), this sounds like a bunch of gambler's fallacy logic to me.  Of course only the flukes are going to bother to weigh in.

Offline lava golemTopic starter

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Re: Better chance of winning nymphs if you don't spin oracle for a long time? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14269.msg181401#msg181401
« Reply #14 on: October 21, 2010, 11:29:42 pm »
So it wasn't just me... Perhaps Zanz did this on purpose? like I said on the first post maybe it's to bring old players back? It definitely worked on me...
lava golems are the best creatures in the game cause I said so

Offline Legit

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Re: Better chance of winning nymphs if you don't spin oracle for a long time? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14269.msg181407#msg181407
« Reply #15 on: October 21, 2010, 11:37:01 pm »
I got on my old account and won a Dune Scorpion.

genraenera

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Re: Better chance of winning nymphs if you don't spin oracle for a long time? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14269.msg181411#msg181411
« Reply #16 on: October 21, 2010, 11:41:00 pm »
I cant quite remember how often I had been playing when I won each of my four nymphs, but it is interesting what I've been reading here.  I am on a 1.5 month dry streak right now, and have spun every day, though realistically that means nothing.  Sadly we will never get any data on this because it is not possible for us to be sure that EVERYONE would report their data, skewing the results of any possible study.  Maybe Zanz will clear this up for us, I would hope so.  Until then, I'm going to keep spinning every day, hopin' and prayin' every time :)

Panurge

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Re: Better chance of winning nymphs if you don't spin oracle for a long time? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14269.msg181845#msg181845
« Reply #17 on: October 22, 2010, 04:28:39 pm »
i think its just luck, when i had stoped oracle dont even exist as i remamber, and i dont get anything worth.
then, visiting mostly everyday i just got  :gravity and  :aether last week.

Kael Hate

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Re: Better chance of winning nymphs if you don't spin oracle for a long time? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14269.msg181860#msg181860
« Reply #18 on: October 22, 2010, 04:35:38 pm »

Confirmation Bias.

And if it where true that I'd have to wait to get a better chance at nymphs I would have far less than I do.

Offline Rastafla

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Re: Better chance of winning nymphs if you don't spin oracle for a long time? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14269.msg181994#msg181994
« Reply #19 on: October 22, 2010, 07:00:01 pm »
I cant quite remember how often I had been playing when I won each of my four nymphs, but it is interesting what I've been reading here.  I am on a 1.5 month dry streak right now, and have spun every day, though realistically that means nothing.  Sadly we will never get any data on this because it is not possible for us to be sure that EVERYONE would report their data, skewing the results of any possible study.  Maybe Zanz will clear this up for us, I would hope so.  Until then, I'm going to keep spinning every day, hopin' and prayin' every time :)
My longest gap between nymphs is 1month and 9 days and shortest is 2 days. The average time between nymphs is supposed to be about 3 weeks or so I'm told.
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Xrbeta

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Re: Better chance of winning nymphs if you don't spin oracle for a long time? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14269.msg182597#msg182597
« Reply #20 on: October 23, 2010, 10:55:55 am »
I'm sure its just luck but one time when i logg on i forgot to use the oracle like an hour after i was on, thinking if i wanted to fight a fg  i notice i have'nt visited the oracle well sure enough i went to go do it after getting tired of getting useless cards i just click the spin button and amazingly a fire nymph came out i didnt like fire but who cares just got a nymph one of the rarest cards!@!@!...anyways like i said im sure its all just luck.btw i have 7 nymphs now

Re: Better chance of winning nymphs if you don't spin oracle for a long time? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14269.msg183110#msg183110
« Reply #21 on: October 23, 2010, 09:52:24 pm »
Fire nymph is one of the cooler ones.  Try tossing that and some rage potions in a :light :fire deck with pendulums and some Angels.  Pretty rockin' combo!

TheoCT

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Re: Better chance of winning nymphs if you don't spin oracle for a long time? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14269.msg226796#msg226796
« Reply #22 on: December 17, 2010, 09:35:27 pm »
I haven't been playing at all recently but I've been checking in ~twice a week on average for the last few months. Lately I've been winning a lot of nymphs.

Offline Dm

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Re: Better chance of winning nymphs if you don't spin oracle for a long time? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=14269.msg226803#msg226803
« Reply #23 on: December 17, 2010, 09:45:19 pm »
Dumb Luck, I'd say. When I came back I got no welcome gift, but last week ( I was playing for about a month after coming back) I got a Amber nymph, and sooner this week a Black Nymph.


 

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