You are not looking at the full picture, lets analyze the pattern:
2 tourneys + trial#5 + 2 tourneys + war#5
1 tourney + trial#6 + 1 tourney + war#6
trial#7
so, next comes war#7 without any tourney in-between, as you can see in the cycles the number of tourney wins goes down by 1 between each cycle, first it was 2, then 1, now 0. In other words, the number of tourney wins + trial/war # sums up to 7 always. So for trial/war #5 he had to win 2 tourneys for each, then for trial/war #6 only 1, so now for trial and war #7, no tourney wins needed.
Don't ask me what he will do for trial#8 ...