Elements Mafia 79 - by MasterWalks

[andretimpa]

I'll probably be busy around EOD, so will cast a vote now.

I'm okay with w3, Oa or shock being the lynch. w3 always plays the way he's playing and it always rubs me as scummy, I don't buy Oa's excuse that the rules are too complicated to even post and shock has done nothing the entire D1.

PlayerOa (2) - Linkcat, RootRanger
marsmoons (2) - Mobian, kaempfer13
kaempfer13 (1) - marsmoons
worldwideweb3 (2) - serprex, andretimpa

About the rest of the players: Wyand and marsmoons get a pass for being noobs. I'm getting (n-) vibes from kae, but that's a tone read and my tone reads suck. Root and serp are town leans and I have no formed opinion on the rest.

[andretimpa]

in b4 serp invokes rule of 3 in my post 

[kaempfer13]

rule of 3 only works if the poster is scum though (and even then, its basically the statistically most probable outcome, it doesnt improve odds much), so he has to use a scumread as a starting point.

I'll probably be busy around EOD, so will cast a vote now.

I'm okay with w3, Oa or shock being the lynch. w3 always plays the way he's playing and it always rubs me as scummy, I don't buy Oa's excuse that the rules are too complicated to even post and shock has done nothing the entire D1.

PlayerOa (2) - Linkcat, RootRanger
marsmoons (2) - Mobian, kaempfer13
kaempfer13 (1) - marsmoons
worldwideweb3 (2) - serprex, andretimpa

About the rest of the players: Wyand and marsmoons get a pass for being noobs. I'm getting (n-) vibes from kae, but that's a tone read and my tone reads suck. Root and serp are town leans and I have no formed opinion on the rest.

If thats the way you feel, you should really be voting me. You're basically saying "I tend to wrongly assume that w3's default playstyle is scummy and he's exhibiting it so I'm voting him". If anything you should correct that bias, if thats a consistent thing.
I suppose I'm more detached than i usually am, since theres really not much to base a scumread on and I try not to tunnel on ridiculous things anymore. Incidentally, that probably does in fact resemble my scum playstyle, where i simply cant scumread people I would know to be town as easily anymore.

[kaempfer13]

And i suppose I should finally explain my (dwindling) townread of shockcannon. he expressed readiness to broadcast every result he has, which is generally bad play, but suicide as scum. If he were to actually follow it through, it would be bad play regardless, but quickly reveal his alignement indicative role.

[andretimpa]

@kae my problem is that w3's default playstyle is to just do zero content posts

[kaempfer13]

well thats basically the same reason as to why killing of inactives is +ev, but its a point. in fact its basically the main reason why my vote isn't moving (other than some other things that werent disspelled, but really no biggies). Out of all the inactives marsmoons has the least potential to provide more then hunches.
Wyand and shockcannon are at least theoretically capable of posting a lot, w3 too, though he hasnt done that in a long time now, but i think he used to actually be good back when he cared (or maybe it was just his unwavering confidence).
That leaves Oa, who by selfadmission isnt using his time that he does have Ok, i see why he's up for grabs, had a good gutfeeling about him though.

[kaempfer13]

Reminder that theres 20 minutes left with only 3 out of 6 necessary votes for extension.

[MasterWalks]

Reminder there is 10 minutes left and a 3 way tie on lynching. If day phase ends at a tie, a dice will be rolled to determine the fate of the 3.

[andretimpa]

okay, I'll break the tie

PlayerOa (3) - Linkcat, RootRanger, andretimpa
marsmoons (2) - Mobian, kaempfer13
kaempfer13 (1) - marsmoons
worldwideweb3 (1) - serprex

[Mobian]

Damn, Timba. I was about to join you on the W3 train for the purpose of breaking the tie.

[RootRanger]

Oh, neat, I woke up before the end of the round (PST timezone). I personally don't really mind ties on Day 1 if they're broken sensibly (the tiebreaking rule last game was crazy having lol). But I'm good with the Oa lynch too.

[Mobian]

EBWOP:
*Timpa