Elements Mafia 78 - by serprex

[kaempfer13]

im noticing that lynchlog is actually usefull here.

Spoiler for lynchlog:

Cool64Kid (1) - Mobian
RootRanger (1) - MasterWalks

Cool64Kid (1) - Mobian
RootRanger (1) - MasterWalks
kaempfer13 (1) - Linkcat

Cool64Kid (1) - Mobian
kaempfer13 (1) - Linkcat
worldwideweb3 (1) - MasterWalks

Cool64Kid (1) - Mobian
kaempfer13 (1) - Linkcat
worldwideweb3 (1) - MasterWalks
Linkcat (1) worldwideweb3
Mobian (1) kaempfer13

Cool64Kid (1) - Mobian
kaempfer13 (1) - Linkcat
worldwideweb3 (1) - MasterWalks
Linkcat (1) - worldwideweb3
Mobian (2) - kaempfer13, RootRanger

Cool64Kid (1) - Mobian
kaempfer13 (1) - Linkcat
Linkcat (2) - worldwideweb3, MasterWalks
Mobian (2) - kaempfer13, RootRanger

Cool64Kid (1) - Mobian
kaempfer13 (1) - Linkcat
Linkcat (2) - worldwideweb3, MasterWalks
Mobian (2) - kaempfer13, RootRanger
No Lynch (1) - shockcannon

Cool64Kid (1) - Mobian
kaempfer13 (1) - Linkcat
Linkcat (2) - worldwideweb3, MasterWalks
Mobian (3) - kaempfer13, RootRanger, andretimpa
No Lynch (1) - shockcannon

Spoiler for Day 2:

Linkcat (1) - MasterWalks
kaempfer13 (1) - shockcannon

Linkcat (3) - MasterWalks, andretimpa, kaempfer13
kaempfer13 (2) - shockcannon, Linkcat

Linkcat (4) - MasterWalks, andretimpa, kaempfer13, RootRanger
kaempfer13 (2) - shockcannon, Linkcat

Linkcat (4) - MasterWalks, andretimpa, kaempfer13, RootRanger
kaempfer13 (1) - shockcannon
MasterWalks (1) - Linkcat

Linkcat (3) - MasterWalks, kaempfer13, RootRanger
kaempfer13 (1) - shockcannon
MasterWalks (2) - Linkcat, andretimpa


Linkcat (2) - MasterWalks, kaempfer13
kaempfer13 (1) - shockcannon
MasterWalks (3) - Linkcat, andretimpa, RootRanger

[kaempfer13]

N2 claims
kae: timpa not cultist
Link: Root not cultist
timpa: kae not cultist

Doing it from my POV

MW - > Andre (timpa leader)
MW - > Link (contradicted by vote)
MW - > Root (ditto, also requires Root leader or link fake claim)
MW - > CK (questionable)
MW - > Oa (ok sure)

Andre - > MW (contradicted by vote)
Andre - > Link (not contradicted by votes, but still stupid)
Andre - > Root (requires Root leader or link fake claim)
Andre - > CK (questionable)
Andre - > Oa (sure)

Link - > MW (contradicted hard)
Link - > Andre (timpa leader) maybe not even an option, Link is smart enough to see leader between timpa and me in that case and would act differently
Link - > Root (no way)
Link - > CK (questionable)
Link - > Oa (sure)
Link - > Missed (sure)

Root - > MW (contradicted by vote)
Root - > Andre (timpa leader)
Root - > Link (no)
Root - > CK (questionable)
Root - > Oa (sure)
CK - > MW (sure)
CK - > Andre (timpa leader)
CK - > Link (ballsy)
CK - > Root (requires Root leader or link fake claim)
CK - > Oa (sure)
Oa - > MW (sure)
Oa - > Andre (timpa leader)
Oa - > Link (ballsy)
Oa - > Root (requires Root leader or link fake claim)
Oa - > CK (questionable)

[Linkcat]

Can we please just not consider any options with coolkid? Nobody's that bad at picking targets and I'd sooner believe serp would roll no leaders than roll coolkid a leader. There's no way to tell anyway.

[kaempfer13]

well i would expect ck to either miss n1 or pick someone active simply due to lack of attention, but i want to work with semihard facts when taking the distance from my initial reads.

[kaempfer13]

interestingly, leader Oa is almost guaranteed to pick MW of all people. And it would fly way over his head that he's suddenly the lynch.

[Linkcat]

Look, if we take out the grays, yellows, and the ones with coolkid then you end up with the same exact list I have. I'm just trying to find common ground with you so we can look at all the reasonable worlds.

MW - > Oa (ok sure)
Andre - > Oa (sure)
Link - > Oa (sure)
Link - > Missed (sure)
Root - > Oa (sure)
Oa - > MW (sure)

[kaempfer13]

Which means that a check on Oa or MW would be invaluable. But just because Oa was an attempted recruit, doesnt mean it was successfull. Alas, we dont get another chance to check without losing I wager and both of those were not the focus.

[Linkcat]

Okay, that's one half of the world. One of those pairs is for N1, and the leader recruited w3 N0. The other half of the world is someone who recruited shock N0 and inactive w3 N1. Who trolled hard enough to do it? I think it was MW, Root thinks it was me. What's your ranking?

[kaempfer13]

I would consider you, Oa and MW capable of it. maybe timpa as a longshot. Root def not that half of the world.

[Linkcat]

Which means that a check on Oa or MW would be invaluable. But just because Oa was an attempted recruit, doesnt mean it was successfull. Alas, we dont get another chance to check without losing I wager and both of those were not the focus.

Yeah, I'll consider Oa leader worlds as well.

[Linkcat]

MW - > w3, Oa
Link - > shock, w3

MW - > w3, Oa
Oa - > shock, w3

Andre - > w3, Oa
Link - > shock, w3

Andre - > w3, Oa
MW - > shock, w3

Andre - > w3, Oa
Oa - > shock, w3

Root - > w3, Oa
Link - > shock, w3

Root - > w3, Oa
MW - > shock, w3

Root - > w3, Oa
Oa - > shock, w3

Oa - > w3, MW
Link - > shock, w3

Oa - > w3, MW
MW - > shock, w3

Link - > w3, Oa
MW - > shock, w3

Link - > w3, Missed
Oa - > shock, w3

[Linkcat]

World followed by current teams

MW - > w3, Oa
Link - > shock, w3     LINK shock +1

MW - > w3, Oa
Oa - > shock, w3     OA shock +1

Andre - > w3, Oa
Link - > shock, w3     ANDRE oa +1, LINK shock +1

Andre - > w3, Oa
MW - > shock, w3     ANDRE oa +1, shock

Andre - > w3, Oa
Oa - > shock, w3     ANDRE +1, OA shock +1

Root - > w3, Oa
Link - > shock, w3     ROOT oa +1, LINK shock +1

Root - > w3, Oa
MW - > shock, w3     ROOT oa +1, shock

Root - > w3, Oa
Oa - > shock, w3     ROOT +1, OA shock +1

Oa - > w3, MW
Link - > shock, w3     OA +1, LINK shock +1

Oa - > w3, MW
MW - > shock, w3     OA +1, shock

Link - > w3, Oa
MW - > shock, w3     LINK oa +1, shock

Link - > w3, Missed
Oa - > shock, w3     LINK +1, OA shock +1