My main thing against it is that I originally read Link`s PM post
That's not really that significant of a part of my case against Linkcat. What's most important is the breadcrumb post where he suggested being the leader of the Big team. Why would he do that otherwise?
@Root But suppose Link is one of the leaders, who is your guess for the second one?
MW. I think the best explanation for why he was trying so hard to lynch me is that he's a leader. It makes sense because he can know for a fact that I'm not on his team, as he never recruited me. For anyone else, there's ambiguity about my role from their perspective. So, it makes more sense to try to actually figure out what's going on instead of slamming one person over and over again based on fragile reasoning.
I kind of ignored this post because I already considered Root as leader at that time, but this is a pretty weak argument. Broadcasting as many mixed signals as I have makes any leader claim much less believable. The correct way to play as leader is to drop one or two solid breadcrumbs per cultist without any extra noise. The way I played the first half of the game was terrible as any faction, there's no way to tell the difference other than which faction you think I'd be more likely to throw as. And that's it, that's his entire basis for this lynch. He's barely even talked about anyone else, he's just pushing what he thinks is the easiest lynch.
Dude you haven't been broadcasting mixed signals, you've been broadcasting that you're the leader of the Big team. I've talked about this the most because it's the most compelling evidence. The only other role I know with a higher level of confidence is that shock is a cultist, but I'm not lynching him because that wouldn't make any sense.
He voted against no leaders, a clear anti-town move because there's no downside to eliminating the option.
Ok, so you think that not only serprex is running a bastard mafia, and there's nothing disrespectful about creating a sham vote to state this, but also that the sham vote actually means something?
He also never claimed his N2 target, another anti-town move. Even if it's a duplicate it will increase the confidence in the check. I just can't see you as town right now, whether there are leaders or not.
That's something you consider suspicious? I hadn't claimed my target yet because it doesn't actually matter if I'm correct about there being no new cultists resulting from N1 targets. If you care that much, my target was that andre is civ.
Actually, I found this post much more offensive, though its easily handwaved through a logical failure. As town eliminating a town that will missvote is at best equal to hitting scum. Meanwhile if both MW and Linkcat are scum the order doesnt really matter as MWs vote wasnt gonna help town either way. In that case the vote should go where you are confident. Things are different when you are a leader or plan on becoming a cultist ofc (though the latter is barely affected by a single missvoting town).
My hypothesis is that MW targeted shock in N0 then w3 in N1, while Linkcat targeted w3 in N0 and missed his target in N1. A few nuances about this to consider:
1. MW had a cultist on his team (shockcannon) while Linkcat didn't. This made MW the higher priority threat, all else being equal.
2. We weren't going to actually learn anything from our N2 targets because there weren't any new cultists added in N1. Every target was going to turn up civ. So, the fact that I considered MW to probably be the second most likely leader was sufficient for a lynch.
3. MW was set on lynching me after Linkcat. If he got his way, that would win the game for his faction. There would be 6 players remaining, and he would have new cultists from N2 and N3, to give him a 4-2 vote majority. Like I said, tight margins. You can make the case that he wouldn't be successful in his attempt to lynch me, but why risk it?
That's a big brain move. Root as leader recruiting me, then claiming that he investigated me and saw cultist. Game winning play right there.
Not what happened but we still both have the same incentive to vote Linkcat. If my hypothesis is correct, Linkcat is the Big team leader and you're a Little team cultist.