Elements Mafia 77 - by Linkcat

[serprex]

Oh I'm a fool trying to think through solving this analytically, I should've just written a loop that simulates 1000 trials rolling scum roles randomly etc

[MasterWalks]

Hopefully this data is more accurate than the grid

[andretimpa]

@serp There is also haato as a one time doc. Simulating the trials will be much simpler imo.

[kaempfer13]

*scratches neck* hey Kae, got any more of those lynch logs

Those dont grow on trees. working on it, but I'm distracted irl and want to loosely follow the thread too.

[skyironsword]

I'd like to ask the mafia to nightkill me tonight, if possible. The kill will definitely go through. I promise.

[MasterWalks]

I'd like to ask the mafia to nightkill me tonight, if possible. The kill will definitely go through. I promise.

Uh, I'm pretty sure they gonna hit serp. Torbs pro gamer move and my incessant pressure caused GN reveal. We need everyone who can to heal serp tonight. Might suggest a heal on Rob too, but honestly we need as many as we can on serp. 1 heal will save him from NK but he can get vigged too.

[TheonlyrealBeef]

Just monitor ability usage on serp with a role. If someone is bold enough to try a vig, they'll expose themselves. No need for overheals.

[skyironsword]

Any thoughts on what the investigative roles should be doing?

[Naii_the_Baf]

As Torb said, Gawr or Uruha should be monitoring serp.
Ookami should find Calli and Ollie; i.e. backup GNs.
Ninomae should be tracking Investimigate this night.

[serprex]

No point having Ninomae track investimigate; if it resolves I'm alive

[TheonlyrealBeef]

Any thoughts on what the investigative roles should be doing?

Bloop and Date are both perfect for serp. One allows a counter-vig, other doubles as doc. For Priestess of the Ancient ones Reaper's First Apprentice is an interesting target, but that can only be done once. Keep it in mind at least.

And for the FTW question earlier, no objections.

[MasterWalks]

Pokechu has been online since subbing. A post of any kind would be helpful. Sure antia never got an ability use based on log in times, but you wanna say something so we can read something.

You also have the value of an outside view. Read the thread and give reads list please