torb, specifics, repeat them for me. I probably missed them.~
First is that I think the rest is simply townier. The thought process I've been going through to solve the third mafia has been posted here:
Spoiler for quote:
I've been trying to analyze lynch votes to see if it could help determine a third mafia to fit a DC/timpa team.Day 1 has ended.
Night 1 will begin shortly. Please wait warmly.
Looking at this, Cal, Coffee, rob and Sub all seem unlikely mafia suspects if the scum team truly consists of andre and DC. The later they boarded the DC wagon, the less credit they get for it if DC flips scum from my point of view.
Day 2 has ended. Again.
Night 2 will begin shortly. Please wait warmly.
timpa voted ian, from the flow of votes it seems to have been with intent to kill. Additional town points for Coffee and rob if DC flips scum.
Looking at lynch voting it seems I was wrong, Coffee (and rob) just don't fit a DC team. I was already town leaning them before and kaempfer13 and moehrpi get town reads from me for solving. andre and DC both had their votes on w3 for a while day 1, so that does not make a lot of sense for me either.
kdz has to be town if we assume moehrpi is town, only an exact team of andre, moehrpi and kdz allows him to be scum from my point of view (the DC Seele logic means maf moe requires that redirect). Still, moehrpi would have had no reason to reveal the N0 redirect.
Coffee and rob could potentially fit an andre team, but this option only feels worth exploring after andre flips scum and DC flips town. More importantly, rob should already have been NK-ed by then. My ability is practically useless now, making only moe higher priority to NK.
ian and Sub seem like the best fits if andre and DC both flip mafia. ian's claim of being able to target two players other than himself is meaningless when you have two Raiden mafia buddies.
I mentioned Coffee before, but I really liked his response to a self-vig idea to prevent mislynch and looking at lynch wagons again, he just doesn't make sense to me in a DC team.
But before that, the specifics you were likely referring to are:
Spoiler for quotes:
Well, I did promise a read list.
Spoiler for Submachine | n:
Hey, um, Link. I just want to get it out of the way for transparency's sake. I get the feeling that you are a bit unmotivated. I will not say that is scummy, and I will not compare it to previous games. But can you explain why you are keeping a low profile this time? I believe it is for the greater good if everybody heard your explanation, if you have any.
You can also try to keep a low profile because you have a power role like Link did. Fishy fishy?
Finally people are realizing that www has been playing scummy so far. There is only one logical scenario where I can imagine www doing this as town, but this is not the way to do it, and he should rather take inspiration from shockcannon in that case.
I am still waiting for an explanation on why you think w3 is scum, Sub. Right now, this seems like a very opportunistic vote, potentially to try and start a competing wagon to save a mafia buddy.
The overall read is still neutral, but you'll have to forgive me for being extremely skeptical after last game
Ugh, Sub inactive is really annoying. His opportunistic vote on w3 is really bothering me. I have theories where they are an attempt to form a serious counter-wagon to save at least one mafia buddy (MW or DC), but they are all moot until one of them flips scum. Because I think the three way tie on MW/DC/w3 was one of the more interesting moments to analyze lynch wagon movements. Early vote on ian D2 was also partially to poke around Link's theory of an ian/DC team, but at the moment I am more inclined towards an MW/Sub team. Both Sub and MW seem to have been fishing for info roles in their own way. And this?
Rob: Been vocal about this already. Gut feeling about Link NK
This part holds just as true -or even more so- for Sub, from my point of view. Of course, that would not be convenient to mention of a mafia buddy.
The third member might be DC or deep town.
But shading people that aren't even around to defend themselves, blegh. Just wanted to throw my motivations and thoughts out there in the not unlikely case I get NK-ed.
I was wrong about MW, but I can fit andre in there instead.
Poll
