TYPE[/i] and not the core role. I want to post this still as it contains plenty of research into Link's ISO and possible crumbs despite being based on thinking he would have -known- a red peek if he hit one on N0]DC- it reads as you're presuming Link must have hit a green peek with his N0... do you see evidence of such in Link's ISO?
It could be the case, but in looking it seems like Link was more frequently posting toward what I think could be red peeks... albeit I might expect at some point he would have harder pushed a red peek?
Anyway, now on to the post I was working up when DC posted.
Spoiler for Cal / MW / www3 ???:
The first line RE: kae/moe - feeding in to the moe section/spoiler farther down my post, the way Link attaches these two together here is such that if moe flips scum then I'd bet dollars-to-donuts that Link had a red peek on moe and believes only a town!kae interacts with moe that way... hmmmm. --> Link putting down in essence not-w/w on kae/moe?
Kae was being real silly about moe but I think it makes him towny.
While it's tempting to lynch w3 D1 after he died N0 last game, I'm going to need to see more before I go down that route.
Cal lynch is silly, don't want to lynch dawn since he's half dead already, would rather lynch MW.
No Lynch is only a good idea when it's very unlikely that any top wagon is town and there's not enough time to find a new target. This happened I believe in both 68 and 72. However, in this game even in such a scenario we can just lynch shock which is a +EV play.
If either of these are Link's N0 then he was VERY lightly crumbing... could possible be a green peek on Cal or red peek on MW. However, the latter I would have expected Link to let the push on MW continue instead of the squirrel-trail distraction that the push on shock's mislynch became.
W3 always defends himself a lot, that's not a scumtell.
Could have been a green on www3, but this (and the light mention on www3 above) don't give off any crumb vibes - that is, it feels like more of just a legit Link thought rather than him having inside intel about www3 alignment.
Spoiler for DC ?:
dawn to dusk (1) - killsdazombies
DoubleCapitals (3) - worldwideweb3, Calindu, Linkcat
kaempfer13 (1) - MasterWalks
No Lynch (1) - shockcannon
MasterWalks (4) - PlayerOa, DoubleCapitals, moehrpi, rob77dp
worldwideweb3 (3) - iancudorinmarian, TheonlyrealBeef, Submachine
Do I need one?
Someone wanna speed me up on why we are scum reading DC?
Seems like normal DC to me
I honestly have no idea.
DC's delayed response to my deal felt weird at the time, now I think it might be because he was talking to his team about whether to take it. If so his most likely teammate is iancu.
Seeing these together in order like this, it sure feels like Link has a slant toward the scum angle for DC. My problem being that DC was a real wagon and possible lynch on D1 so if Link had a red peek on him N0 why not push that just a slight little bit ??? Him returning back to DC again in his last 4 seconds of life this game sure feels like a strong hint or breadcrumb. In the least, it is a strong scum-read from a now dead town!Link. Ugh, I'm going to keep getting stuck on Link not having more appetite for lynching DC on Day 1 though...
Spoiler for ian ?:
dawn to dusk (1) - killsdazombies
DoubleCapitals (6) - Calindu, Coffeeditto, rob77dp, Submachine, PlayerOa, TheonlyrealBeef
No Lynch (1) - shockcannon
MasterWalks (1) - moehrpi
worldwideweb3 (1) - andretimpa
shockcannon (4) - Naii_the_Baf, DoubleCapitals, MasterWalks, iancudorinmarian
Submachine(1) - worldwideweb3
iancudorinmarian (2) - kaempfer13, Linkcat
CFD?
*repeat quote*
DC's delayed response to my deal felt weird at the time, now I think it might be because he was talking to his team about whether to take it. If so his most likely teammate is iancu.
I guess maybe in a soft sort of way Link's vote on ian was hinting at ian here seeing if he could get necessary traction onto a N0 red peek? He does double-down on ian with his post in his last minute of game-breath.
Spoiler for Moe ? ...... or ?TorB?:
Is it just me or is moe way more confident this game than any other he's played in? Almost like a different person. I think this is the result of him rolling mafia for the first time and finally not being in the dark.
Stop townreading Torb for discussing roles, that's the easiest way for mafia to build towncred.
I will be online for the next ~3 hours and maybe for EOD. Placing my not so confident vote now on MW. He has a low enough post count and little substance in his posts. Still a shot in the dark.
dawn to dusk (2) - rob77dp, killsdazombies
moehrpi (1) - kaempfer13
shockcannon (1) - Linkcat
DoubleCapitals (1) - worldwideweb3
kaempfer13 (1) - MasterWalks
No Lynch (1) - shockcannon
Calindu (1) - Submachine
MasterWalks (3) - PlayerOa, DoubleCapitals, moehrpi
worldwideweb3 (2) - iancudorinmarian, TheonlyrealBeef
I don't like this vote at all.
-snip-
removed unrelated statement about how wrong prior-Link was about shock's safety
The former feeling a LOT like a breadcrumb post... maybe Link had a N0 red peek on moe? At the least it is a dying town's scum-lean on moe.
In a softer way -- Link is softly implying maybe scum!TorB in the bolded statement... maybe that was his N0 breadcrumb?
---> I suppose my summary of what I find in Link's ISO about possible crumbs summarizes as:
* Maaayyybe a green peek on Cal
* Maybe a red peek on MW (but I think Link would probably have pushed MW harder D1 given MW was a legit wagon and Link was on EOD1)
* Maayybe a green peek on www3
* Could have had a red peek on DC (but I think Link likely pushes harder for DC lynch D1 given DC was a legit wagon... but Link does revisit a scum-read on DC right before Link is NK'd)
* Could have had a red peek on iancu (he also tried to CFD onto ian - and revisits a continued scum-read on ian right before he is NK'd)
* Maaaaayyyyyyybe a red peek on TorB
* Could have red-peekd moe (as Link suddenly on N1 scumreads moe and doubles-down on that read "not liking" a moe vote post with about an hour before Link is NK'd)
Of this, I see a few green-peeks Link might have crumbed but he has more posts that I could see as being hints about his N0 being a RED peek instead. If I rank them, then it looks something like:
Maybe red on:
ian > DC > moe >> TorB > MW
>> And maybe green on:
ww3 > Cal
Folks we really need to comb Link's posts a little bit at least to try to find his peek's breadcrumb... he openly stated everyone should ABC (always be crumbing) so for sure he followed his own advice, right?
LINK - in your graveyard chat roll over 10 times (privately of course) if it was red on one of the wagons you could have pushed at EOD (MW / DC).
///I'm presuming 100% that Link used N0 and that he successfully learned the Honkai Core ability (scum) or role type (town) of somebody and crumbed it somewhere///
Poll
