rob77dp (3) - Ge0metry v1.2, serprex, shockcannon
Submachine (2) - Calindu, rob77dp
andretimpa (3) - Linkcat, Annele, DoubleCapitals
kaempfer13 (1) - MasterWalks
I must say I'm curious how rob will flip. We have plenty of interactions of players with him and I am very intrigued by how he went from the vote leader with many non-voters suspecting him to almost no one voting him. Additionally, the more I try to picture scenarios where andretimpa is mafia with different combinations of other mafia members, the more I think he is a guaranteed town. He was extremely close to being lynched, and even voted on Masterwalks who had 0 votes at the time instead of joining the submachine train to even the vote and keep himself alive. Additionally, the extension timer which also would have saved andretimpa was not voted on very quickly and the initial people who voted for an extension comprised mostly of the players who wanted to lynch andretimpa, which doesn't add up to him being the mafia.
I also have a hard time believing that town is good enough or that mafia is bad enough to come so close to losing any member on day 1. Additionally, to entertain TorB's idea that andre, kaempf, and rob are all mafia, it's almost unfathomable to me that 3/4 mafia would be leading votes for lynch on day 1. This could be a possibility if the mafia were voting each other to make it harder to track down all of them should one of them get lynched, yet we see none of these 3 voting on each other and we don't even see any of these 3 voting on the same player. Yet again, another piece of evidence that doesn't add up to the theory. I also have a hard time believing that TorB would be mafia with 3 other members to help guide his play and still present this theory. The most likely outcome of day 1 is a bunch of town accusing each other because of lack of info while the mafia gets to pick and choose where they enter and exit conversation.
Another interesting topic is Linkcat. He was the first to vote for rob and the first to vote for andre. Now that doesn't mean much, but the interactions with rob have been quite interesting, and will need to be explored further if rob flips mafia. Additionally, he has definitely placed himself in a position to control the flow of conversation and kaempfer even pointed this out earlier and called him out as being suspicious, to which he responded in a way that was very inadequate for me personally. Linkcat has also disregarded all my posts as irrelevant. He asks for scum reads and votes, yet when I offer that him, rob, and MW would be the most useful lynch targets for revealing things, this isn't even brought up. If someone else were to say this I can almost guarantee there would be several responses discussing this. Then when I make a post more in line with "proper play and meaningful discussion" and point out a noteworthy action by Annele this is seemingly rewarded as if I should explore this theory more and maybe tunnel on her. The funny thing is, Annele switching votes and making the comments she made is what makes me the most certain that she is town. I'm sure Linkcat will have some response as he always does as to how my arguments are either bad or irrelevant, but this section is mostly for myself, kaempf, and serprex as I believe they will actually listen to me and think about the idea of Linkcat being one of the major mafia suspects right now.
Now I'm going to give a list so everyone has something to work off when trying to read me, because I want people to listen to me when I say that we should figure out votes now and not at the deadline. Town is too prone to make mistakes and be at the mercy of mafia if we wait too long to vote. I wasn't going to vote this phase, but now that it has been extended and with everyone still keen on making a lynch, it's too risky to let this lynch go badly.
Likely town:
serprex
moehrpi
kaempfer13
andretimpa
TheonlyrealBeef
Annele
Unsure, need more time to consider:
Submachine
iancudorinmarian
Ge0metry v1.2
DoubleCapitals
Suspicious:
Linkcat
rob77dp
MasterWalks
Calindu
killsdazombies
Poll
