Elements Mafia 73 - by PlayerOa

[serprex]

Rob, were you aware that there was only a 45.3% chance of yolo deja claim going through without claim on D1? That'd be mafia betting half their team on 55.7% payoff. Do you know how big that payoff has to be then? It means that the payoff has to be a 90% winrate to be a 50% winrate strategy. Do you know the chance that either moe or I get checked somehow N0? Or how about N2 when neither of us are N1 NK? I wasn't really expecting anyone to listen to me telling Linkcat he's bad with his psion plan, but like come on

@shock feel free to sic our bloc on rob or link again today, I'm game

[Linkcat]

The only reason I suggested it is because it was the only way we lose, game is pretty much won at this point, and one Psion check isn't that valuable.

[rob77dp]

The only reason I suggested it is because it was the only way we lose, game is pretty much won at this point, and one Psion check isn't that valuable.

This.

 If you didn't like that part of Link plan then why not comment sooner? Like when I softed following the plan. (I didn't come up with a good way to hint at being psion though)

To get me up to speed, when I get no input and decide on my own it's scummy (N0) and when I follow the towniest plans to a T it's scummy (N1). Got it. I prayed to all the rng goddesses all day 1 and N1 for a blessing of GN roll, but alas.

Spoiler for Hidden:

Spoiler for Hidden:

Spoiler for Hidden:

Spoiler for Hidden:

Wish I could have had GN rolled to check moe last night. serp could really start the fireworks then.

[Linkcat]

Now that would have been a waste.

[MasterWalks]

Requesting full reads from the following people.

DoubleCaps

Geo

Sub

Torb

Cannot stress how much i need these reads. If a read comes back from a specific person in a certain way, i will hard claim.

[Ge0metry v1.2]

Requesting full reads from the following people.

DoubleCaps

Geo

Sub

Torb

Cannot stress how much i need these reads. If a read comes back from a specific person in a certain way, i will hard claim.

Mine was posted. Although I can't imagine my list to be of such crucial importance to you.

[serprex]

http://elementscommunity.org/forum/forum-games/elements-mafia-73-by-playeroa/msg1297741/#msg1297741
http://elementscommunity.org/forum/forum-games/elements-mafia-73-by-playeroa/msg1297804/#msg1297804

Can't really respond to Linkcat's plan any sooner

[rob77dp]

The post was too short. Or maybe too fast. I didn't see that when I went back to check the plan to submit my action.

I couldn't script an intentional way of being more irritating to serp than I have been so fast unintentionally. He probably would say scummy instead of irritating.

[DoubleCapitals]

n-
DoubleCapitals - You will need to clarify what that last night thing targeting was all about. Because it felt like you refusing to bus, like you said you would refuse to. Why killsdazombies over kaempfer13 or Calindu?

I was trying to bait mafia into nabbing me by softing something useful. Then I realised they'd rather NK the 5 confirmed town instead of you know, risk wasting their shot on this dummy.

I do not have a useful role.

[DoubleCapitals]

Annele (3) - rob77dp, Linkcat, DoubleCapitals
kaempfer13 (4) - serprex, TheonlyrealBeef, shockcannon, Ge0metry v1.2
rob77dp (1) - MasterWalks

Voting based on my Scenario #1 (Link=t, Annele=m)

[DoubleCapitals]

Also curious, where did I say I 'refuse to bus'? RQS?

[MasterWalks]

Ok, I need information. Im starving. I aint gonna waste time.

I need a full readlist from submachine. dont care much to see anyone else's on the list.

Serp, i have a huge favor to ask you. How much do you truly believe this is possible? If not toadfish then GOTP? like, on a scale of 1-10.

inb4 shock is toadfish & targetted kaempf N0

kaempfer, your about to die and i dont really mind hoping to you to finish that off. I need you to answer how many times can you use your role? (OU, ER, EoR)

Now, i ask shock. How likely on a scale of 1-10, is submachine a town?