Disclaimer for below: This is assuming no more than 2 players having each role, which apparently not everyone agrees is the case. That's fine, but humor me for this post. Also, if any one person in this game is doing a good job of lying to us, this pretty much falls apart. Don't take the below as fact, but one of many possible scenarios. I'm running this as a hypothetical to see what it leaves us with.
So now I present, a no-tin-foil, borderline-gullible scenario:
- kdz is telling the truth and is (Town|Intel)!Doctor.
- fabian is (Town|Intel) and was targeted by Criminal!Jailor.
- rob is (Town|Intel) and was targeted by Criminal!Jailor.
- gino is (Town|Intel)!Jailor and has not targeted anyone.
- Coffee is (Town|Intel)!Bodyguard and targeted me last night. Luna stuff was a smart play on her part to try to bring down bodyguard via lynch.
- mathman is (Town|Intel)!Hitman and killed Link.
This leaves us with a Criminal!Jailor and Criminal!(???). Possible roles for the 2nd criminal, given the assumption stated at the beginning of this post:
- Doctor (useless for criminals)
- Bodyguard (can disable power roles usage, but unlikely as we haven't had claims of ability failures throughout the game)
- Observer (could help them find power roles)
- Refugee (useless for criminals except for the 1U Ability 2)
- Merchant (useless for criminals when combined w/ Jailor)
- Politician (fun redirect stuff, not sure what use it is for criminals)
- Student (could suck if they targeted me, but unlikely that criminals got 2 students)
Players who haven't claimed roles yet:
- dawn to dusk
- DoubleCapitals
- JonathanCrazyJ
- fabian771
- rob77dp
- Submachine
Giving rob and fabian town nods due to the assumptions at the top of this post, this means 2 of dawn, DC, JCJ, and Sub are mafia. (Friendly reminder that this is an optimistic scenario and is not likely to 100% reflect reality. Take it for what it is.)