Elements Mafia 62 - by Solaris

[Demagog]

Thanks for answering my question.

Anyone have some leads? There will be 9 people left after this night, and 2 of them will be mafia. Kuro will probably die this night phase. We have a list of confirmed towns.

Espi
Onion
Ginyu

And one player that I think is unconfirmed but heavily leaning town, which is me. That leaves us with 5 people to choose from, 2 of which are mafia.

Linkcat
Sera
skyironsword
dawn to dusk
iancudorinmarian

If we don't get one of them this round, it will be 5 vs 2 and we'll have a 50% chance to kill mafia. If we don't get someone the round after that, it will be 3 vs 2 and we'll have a 66% chance to kill mafia. For now, I'm leaning towards sky, dawn, and ian. And if it does come down to 3v2, kill Linkcat. Better to lose the game by mislynching him than allowing him to gain a clutch victory.

[Linkcat]

First, Kuro is being protected by Athena tonight. Second, I find it hilarious that you think we'd consider letting you live to the end.

[Demagog]

I mean, if Sera was less likely than danil to be mafia, I'm less likely to be mafia than Sera. I did cause our only mafia kill so far, after all.

Is Kuro being protected? I thought Athena protected him last night. If you're right then I think we have a 100% chance to win.

[CleanOnion]

Demagog I know you're distracted and all but not including yourself in the "unconfirmed" list is the best way to put yourself in the "unconfirmed" list

[Linkcat]

Kuro was protected by the second Olive Branch last night since Athena's ability was on cooldown. Now it's available again for tonight.

Trusting that either of us are town to the end would be a horrible mistake. I already covered why you pushing on Ryli doesn't help clear you whatsoever. And on that lynch, there you go again trying to take more credit than you deserve. Considering that the lynch was in the process of being swung onto you, your vote on Ryli wasn't going to do anything. I was the one who voted on her with solid reasoning, and the rest of town followed.

[CleanOnion]

Very easy for Dema to do what he likes when there's only 2 people reading the thread, let's not let that happen

[Demagog]

Demagog I know you're distracted and all but not including yourself in the "unconfirmed" list is the best way to put yourself in the "unconfirmed" list

I mean, only someone that can either be logically confirmed town or confirmed town via an investigative role can say they they are confirmed. I'm not 100% confirmed, but I think you can give me the benefit of the doubt.

Kuro was protected by the second Olive Branch last night since Athena's ability was on cooldown. Now it's available again for tonight.

Trusting that either of us are town to the end would be a horrible mistake. I already covered why you pushing on Ryli doesn't help clear you whatsoever. And on that lynch, there you go again trying to take more credit than you deserve. Considering that the lynch was in the process of being swung onto you, your vote on Ryli wasn't going to do anything. I was the one who voted on her with solid reasoning, and the rest of town followed.

What I do know is that I want to lynch Ryli today. There's no way mafia lets a vote tie between two civilians. There were most likely two or more mafia that weren't on me or Ryli. It would be so easy to kill one of us, and nobody would suspect you for just saying ties are bad. The other would probably have been lynched today, giving them a total of three free kills. That's a lot. On top of all that I already thought she was mafia, so my vote here is obvious.

Your logic was simply that mafia wouldn't allow a tie between civilians. That's fair, but at the time you were also under fire. Me calling out Ryli came before you twice. My reasoning, like yours, was based on how I would expect mafia to vote. For all we know, if I had never called out Ryli, you would have never done so.

Anyway, what are your thoughts on sky, dawn, and ian, @Link and Onion?

[Demagog]

Here's what I predict is going to happen:

It will come down to 2v1. Linkcat, me, and one of the other 4 people that I said aren't confirmed. Link and I will vote on each other, but the other person will actually be mafia and mafia will win.

/joke

[Linkcat]

Dawn has barely posted so we'll definitely need to lynch him. We also need to lynch you. I think Sky is town. Iancu has also been playing a bit towny but he could definitely still be mafia. I'd be okay with lynching him.

[Demagog]

But why do you think sky is town? Sky has only posted those weird posts, right?

[Demagog]

Actually, if we lynch dawn and dawn turns out to be mafia, does that make it more likely that I'm civ? I tried to get dawn lynched with my yogurt post.

[Linkcat]

No.

She voted on Onion when he was being scummy. She voted on Ryli when she was being scummy. On the Ryli lynch she posted that she was surrounded by idiots, which looked like she thought Ryli was going to flip town. Also, I'm still alive so that's a big plus for her.