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Offline Demagog

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Re: Elements Mafia 60 - by Ginyu https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=62141.msg1236627#msg1236627
« Reply #564 on: July 01, 2016, 11:40:49 pm »
Clean0nion [1] - Espithel
Kuroaitou (1) - Demagog

I think Kuro's sudden involvement when he didn't make a post for the first three night and two day phases is highly suspect. A last remaining mafia member may feel the need to change strategies from inactive to kind of active in order to avoid suspicion.

Offline Espithel

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Re: Elements Mafia 60 - by Ginyu https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=62141.msg1236628#msg1236628
« Reply #565 on: July 01, 2016, 11:42:49 pm »
Kuroaitou [1] - Demagog

Removing joke-vote

My apologies for being a useless waste of space

Offline Demagog

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Re: Elements Mafia 60 - by Ginyu https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=62141.msg1236629#msg1236629
« Reply #566 on: July 01, 2016, 11:44:33 pm »
Kuro that calculation is based on the % chance to draw a certain card if there are x number of cards in a y number of cards deck. In this case, chance to draw 1 card of a set of 2 in a 16 card deck (four people at least can't be robots and 2 of those are mafia).

Offline Demagog

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Re: Elements Mafia 60 - by Ginyu https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=62141.msg1236630#msg1236630
« Reply #567 on: July 01, 2016, 11:47:50 pm »
EBWOP: Oh and with 4 draws.

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Re: Elements Mafia 60 - by Ginyu https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=62141.msg1236631#msg1236631
« Reply #568 on: July 01, 2016, 11:50:10 pm »
Clean0nion [1] - Espithel
Kuroaitou (1) - Demagog

I think Kuro's sudden involvement when he didn't make a post for the first three night and two day phases is highly suspect. A last remaining mafia member may feel the need to change strategies from inactive to kind of active in order to avoid suspicion.
I disagree for the sole reason of me last mafia. Where I was civ and we would have won if kdz voted for Ginyu instead of me decided to start being good towards the end


Offline KuroaitouTopic starter

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Re: Elements Mafia 60 - by Ginyu https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=62141.msg1236632#msg1236632
« Reply #569 on: July 01, 2016, 11:56:36 pm »
I think Kuro's sudden involvement when he didn't make a post for the first three night and two day phases is highly suspect. A last remaining mafia member may feel the need to change strategies from inactive to kind of active in order to avoid suspicion.

Uh, a mafia member at this stage (or a 'deep wolf' as they say in championship) would also equally have a chance to remain semi-silent due major outcomes:
-It's nearly a 12-1 advantage for civilians. Criminals would be crazy (or stupid) to try to switch strategies at this point, because whatever they're doing, they're doing it right in order to avoid getting killed for so long despite Linkcat's NSA capabilities. Switching strategies increases the chances of them slipping up on their information, or giving themselves away.
-They've already lost all hope anyway and have secretly quit the game despite initial appearances.

But... for what it's worth, I might as well say it - fellow Scientist here, Demagog, you're in the clear for not being a robot. ;) I was the one who confirmed you, d2d's and Calindu's roles at the beginning to Linkcat, and have been more or less following orders of whoever wants a Scientist to do what they want him to do. But now I'm kinda looking at straws here and hoping someone serves me a strawberry smoothie for my effort.

Removing joke-vote

My apologies for being a useless waste of space

You're not useless! Just make sure to poke Linkcat into sending me his damn mafia idea or else we'll be waiting a week to get the poll up (and, given how quickly this game will end, we might as well start it now).

Offline Demagog

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Re: Elements Mafia 60 - by Ginyu https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=62141.msg1236633#msg1236633
« Reply #570 on: July 02, 2016, 12:29:43 am »
I'll be honest, I voted on you because the rules say you have to post every other round and you didn't follow that rule. I just made up the reason I voted on you.

Fine I'll change my vote for now, but you're still not in the clear in my book.

JonathanCrazyJ (1) - Demagog

Because I want to kill someone with a pink name. Pink is my favorite color and I'm jealous.

Offline JonathanCrazyJ

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Re: Elements Mafia 60 - by Ginyu https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=62141.msg1236634#msg1236634
« Reply #571 on: July 02, 2016, 01:01:56 am »
Any reason that's actually a reason Dema? :P

(plus, I'll have a Blue name as soon as the admins sort out Master titles!)

Unsure who to vote for, had hoped for a bit more activity from whoever's confirmed, and disheartened by the Police not arresting, considering it confirmed someone only last round. As stated, I want to give Clean the benefit of the doubt this round.
voting against inactivity for now.

JonathanCrazyJ (1) - Demagog
randomperson123 (1) - JonathanCrazyJ
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Offline Demagog

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Re: Elements Mafia 60 - by Ginyu https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=62141.msg1236635#msg1236635
« Reply #572 on: July 02, 2016, 01:49:00 am »
It's pointless to vote against inactive people because if they are going to be modkilled then we waste a lynch.

And my reason is just suspicion. I've got a 1/10 chance of killing mafia (I know Calindu and I aren't mafia, leaves 10 people). I'm happy to kill whoever and wait for information.

Offline Demagog

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Re: Elements Mafia 60 - by Ginyu https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=62141.msg1236636#msg1236636
« Reply #573 on: July 02, 2016, 01:51:18 am »
I think we will all be hard pressed to make a case against anyone right now, so we should just choose someone we think is more likely than others to be mafia.

Offline DoubleCapitals

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Re: Elements Mafia 60 - by Ginyu https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=62141.msg1236638#msg1236638
« Reply #574 on: July 02, 2016, 02:22:52 am »
why do we even have inactive players ><
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Offline KuroaitouTopic starter

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Re: Elements Mafia 60 - by Ginyu https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=62141.msg1236641#msg1236641
« Reply #575 on: July 02, 2016, 03:34:59 am »
why do we even have inactive players ><

Because this mafia is basically effectively over the moment Linkcat found the strategy to carve a (near flawless) win? :P

JonathanCrazyJ (1) - Demagog
randomperson123 (1) - JonathanCrazyJ
godisnowonline (1) - Kuroaitou

randomperson123 may no longer be playing, but godisnowonline might. At the very least, we can put pressure on those who haven't been speaking much, just as you did towards me Demagog. ;)

 

blarg: