Elements Mafia 49 - by ddevans96

[ddevans96]

Spoiler for Lore (incoming):

This night was peaceful - there were no deaths.

The Night Phase is over. The Day Phase has begun.

Day Phase timer:

[rob77dp]

Alright, if the surviving Priest did in fact target as requested at the end of the prior day phase - please contact me.  Otherwise, I'm presuming this did not happen or that Zombie Lich used protect on the requested target (if priest contacts me this can be determined with finality - c'mon Priest #2).

Gov't - tsk tsk.  That is all.

I am going to lay out what I think I know and then start my vote for this Day.  Other civvy's may join in if they concur with my reasoning and/or want to win.

Zombies
- They stand at FOUR in number with a conversion eminent this coming Night Phase.
  - Started at 3.
  - Converted theelkspeaks Night 1. 3+1=4
  - theelkspeaks was killed Night 2. 4-1=3
  - Converted *unknown* Night 3. 3+1=4
  - NO death Night 4. 4+0=4
  - Can convert againt Night 5 (coming soon).

- I suspect with 80% certainty three of the four zombies right now are:
1. eljoemo (I request Priest to target eljoemo tonight, if possible)
2. Coffeeditto (@Gov't - tsk tsk, c'mon now)
3. MeowMeowCat (hence my vote this round)
4. *unknown* (if you're wondering who I suspect here then post asking it and I'll share my suspects)


Government
- They night-killed our active Priest Night 2 (claim "oops").
- Civilians mainly lynched a Vanilla Gov't Day 4 ("oops").
- Failed to NK a likely zombie Night 4.
- Based on this I'd like to cease civvy cooperation with government and release my suspected list of Government.

- I suspect with 90% certainty that this is two of the five remaining government:
1. UTAlan (100%)
2. Treldon (80% sure)
3. Dm (Lynched Day 4)

- I feel strongly among this list is the remaining government:
4,5,6.
*Godisnowonline (90% sure)
*Physsion (75% sure and 40% suspecting this was the Night 3 conversion)
*mathman101 (inactivity hinders insight)
*Aknelo (major inactivity hinders insight here)
*flyingcat (major inactivity hinders insight here)

Follow-up posts will contain first my vote then separately my plan.

[rob77dp]

MeowMeowCat (1) - rob77dp

[rob77dp]

My plan if others buy in to my suspect list above:

{Since Government cannot gain players town focuses on zombie hunt}
~ Lynch MMC this day
~ Ideally Sniper kills Coffeeditto end of this day (I never trusted gov't fully anyhow!)
~ Priest can night-target eljoemo upcoming night phase if possible
~ I hear from priest to know for sure if this is possible
~ If not possible then we may be in trouble... A sniper should target eljoemo this coming Night if no confirmation of Priest being active.
~ Next day phase lynch eljoemo if not yet killed.  Otherwise, lynch a player off my suspected zombie conversion list (to be shared later).

^ Once zombies are eliminated (and if) then begin plinking off the government list above.

I am not sharing my methods for acquiring list for two reasons:

1. If I am wrong / quite wrong then I don't want others to follow down this failed path.
2. If I am right I'd like to be able to continue using this method as this mafia progresses.


Thoughts, comments, and other ideas are greatly appreciated.  Hopefully this step forward is indeed forward for town and does not force additional power role claim publicly.

* rob77dp signing off the mafia channel for now

[Linkcat]

Sure.

MeowMeowCat (2) - rob77dp, Linkcat

[Zawadx]

Add my vote on MMC please.

Rob, could you explain the full reasoning behind your train of thought? Which patterns do you think pops up in their voting?

[Solaris]

@Rob Explain yourself. Us townies shouldn't blindly follow your word like sheep; that'll end us up in a slaughter house.

[dawn to dusk]

@Rob Explain yourself. Us townies shouldn't blindly follow your word like sheep; that'll end us up in a slaughter house.

well for one, that was a tad too defensive. and saying US townies makes it look like youre trying too hard to say "yea im with you".

if you had have said something less hostile, it makes you look like you arent just defending yourself, but instead trying to say "it wouldnt be beneficial to town to do that"

[Solaris]

@Rob Explain yourself. Us townies shouldn't blindly follow your word like sheep; that'll end us up in a slaughter house.

well for one, that was a tad too defensive. and saying US townies makes it look like youre trying too hard to say "yea im with you".

if you had have said something less hostile, it makes you look like you arent just defending yourself, but instead trying to say "it wouldnt be beneficial to town to do that"

People react in different ways, and others interpret in different ways. I'm merely just asking for a reason as to why he suspects me of being a Zombie.

[Solaris]

EBWOP

I just don't think blindly following a plan, without any reasons as to if rob is correct, is a smart idea.

[eljoemo]

I'm not a zombie, but I'm also not a power role and not contributing much at all, so if it helps narrow down your list of suspects then be my guest.

Adding Zawad's vote while I'm here

MeowMeowCat (3) - rob77dp, Linkcat, Zawadx

[Linkcat]

MeowMeowCat, who would you like to lynch, other than rob?