Looking at what sub said just before night.
Spoiler for Dm:
He has 23,5% chance to be mafia with his partner.
Quote from CrockettRocket before he died:
Strategizing with Dm, which is unlike him from other mafias.
We determined the least helpful ability is minor vamp. Since we dont know a mafia element, we're trying to lynch the least helpful role. Darkness claims are [...] and [...], thus we're lynching [...].
Me and Dm decided to make a bet! Dm is betting sub dies tonight, wagering his role. I made a bet saying sub lives, wagering my element. To get more info, Im gonna negate you targetting [...] tonight. Im gonna be targetting sub to make sure I win the bet. If [...] gets Guardian Angel, then i'll just have you target [...] night 2. If [...] gets crusader, then we get information anyway and dont lose a whole night. If I die tonight, lynch dm.
So he had reason to NK me during Night 1.
He made the excuse that i told people that I have potentially precious information, so it would be normal that mafia targets me. However, i only told it to CR and Dm, but CR was confirmed to be civvy next day, so his argument is invalid.
- Every time when a lynch bandwagon started on him, he got extremely defending, which is also unlike him.
- In previous mafia games when he was civvy, he usually started with voting himself, but it didn't happen this time. During Day 2, he did say something about wanting to vote self but this didn't cover why he didn't vote self during Day 1.
- He also jumped on the opportunity to lynch a suspected townie during Day 1, namely Elbirn.
- He undeniable spoke with an angry tone all the time he was defending. This is not Dm's usual style; Dm is always calm, ignorant and sarcastic. However, this time Dm was upset, serious and focused. And even thought his reasons were logical on defense, he didn't contribute anything to town, apart from trying to defend himself (he kept hiding behind his Phoenix role, so I got rid of it).
Mafia tends to be aggressively defending if they are in the center of attention. - He also kept attacking my credibility many times, EVEN AFTER i was the only confirmed town member. Mafia trying to cause insecurity among town is only natural for me, and if you make the most reliable information source look unreliable instead of telling him what mistakes should be corrected, then you're hurting town very badly. Which is in favor for mafia.
If he ever turns out not to be mafia, his current Steal ability can be used to get a Phoenix back from a suspected mafia member.
Neither Dm nor his partner has Phoenix currently.
Dm still seems like the most likely to me. His behaviour is suspicious enough as is, considering his normal approach to mafia. Yes this is just a hunch but it's better than nothing. But CR and Sub do have a lot of evidence against him.
Aside from the failed plan, being a good player shouldn't instantly make one suspicious. Maybe he's just a good player? Or is that what he wants us to think...
Spoiler for eljoemo:
He has 23,5% chance to be mafia with his partner.
- He and his partner were contacted by UTAlan during Night 1. So they knew that UTAlan was one leader of the Confirmed Townie Alliance. UTAlan died that night.
- During Day 2, UTAlan contacted both of them with a plan, that could have distracted mafia. However, they never replied to UTA, not even during Night 2. Just because of the long time that passed, I doubt they never read UTA's message. They are either annoyingly inactive or didn't want to reply intentionally.
The plan never took place sadly. - Once UTAlan died, they didn't even attempt to contact me.
The messages looked like this:
Here is the plan: [...]. (The plan included namely me, Submachine)
If I'm going to do this, this better work. What if mafia and/or town ignores the plan? I'm willing to do this if you're sure this will work. (The plan inlcuded risking killing eljoemo)
Fair concern. The plan involves Sub, who is a prime target for NK. We have to wait what Day 3 holds.
Anothe message from UTAlan, but to eljoemo's partner only:
I can't fully trust you yet, but i have reason to believe you're civvy. Mafia wouldn't gain much by telling who 
, and if you were mafia, you'd just probably kill me tonight. (UTAlan died that night)
My instincts say we should lynch Dm tomorrow. He made a bet on that mafia will target Sub, and interestingly enough, Sub was targeted.
I can't claim my element publicly, because that would attract the kills on me.
Sub is nearly confirmed civvy. You should be good setting up a Titanpad and inviting Sub to it. You have to earn his trust.
I repeat, they never attempted to contact me.
Later during Night 2, I sent a message to them, which contained highly important information. As eljoemo said, he only skimmed through it, which makes me question if eljoemo even tries to win if he's civvy. Even though, being on this level of clumsyness is more like a characteristic of town than a characteristic of mafia.
He's still not confirmed, but his team is not as suspicious as some others.
The only defense I have is that I had a lot of RL stuff at the start of last week, so mafia wasn't my number one priority. As for my partner, I don't know what they did/didn't do and why they did/didn't do it.
I'm not sure on the numbers, but they say he's very likely to be town so...
I would suggest lynching Dm today, but first it's important to know who he used steal on and whether he has Phoenix back.
