Elements Mafia 42 - by theelkspeaks

[Dm]

eljoemo (3) - Elbirn, Fippe94, iancudorinmarian
Kuroaitou (2) - qwerter, skyironsword
Fippe94 (3) - Frozengaia, CrockettRocket, Kuroaitou
iancudorinmarian (3) -  UTAlan, eljoemo, Dm1321


I'm all about the no-lynch

[UTAlan]

And, the fact is, lynching gives us a 4/13 shot of killing a mafia. Not lynching gives us a zero chance of killing one. Yeah, random guessing isn't the way to go, so it's better if everyone posts. But we most likely won't get that, so we've gotta be proactive. Plus my knife is thirsty.

4/13 are not good odds. Yes, zero chance of killing a mafia today. But 69.23% (9/13) chance of killing a townie if we do lynch. And our chances of finding someone suspicious grows with time. This strategy won't work forever, but early on, I don't see a better way to handle it. (I am open to ideas, though!)

As far as Root's plan goes, I'm guessing mafia was targeted. That would explain the silence, although mathman having been targeted is possible, as well. Also, Warden may have been "killed" on Night 0.

4/17 and 13/17 (76.47%). I was incorrectly going off the 13 that the mafia needs to kill, but there are 17 remaining players.

[Coffeeditto]

eljoemo (3) - Elbirn, Fippe94, iancudorinmarian
Kuroaitou (3) - qwerter, skyironsword, Coffeeditto
Fippe94 (3) - Frozengaia, CrockettRocket, Kuroaitou
iancudorinmarian (3) -  UTAlan, eljoemo, Dm1321

[CrockettRocket]

@UTA. If we lynch today, and they're civvie we have a greater chance of killing a mafioso day3 then if we dont lynch someone today. However, if we do lynch someone today and they're mafia, then we have less of a chance. If that happens, who cares? We still hit one mafia except sooner rather then latter. (WOOOT!) If we dont lynch someone today, then overall based on rounds, we have less of a chance to lynch a mafia. Thus why I'd kind of like to get a lynch today.

[Dm]

eljoemo (3) - Elbirn, Fippe94, iancudorinmarian
Kuroaitou (3) - qwerter, skyironsword, Coffeeditto
Fippe94 (3) - Frozengaia, CrockettRocket, Kuroaitou
iancudorinmarian (2) -  UTAlan, eljoemo,
Coffeeditto (1) - Dm1321

I have my reasons. Trust me. Seriously, trust me. If it's false I'll hide away the rest of the game and only make any claim when I'm 100% sure that it is veridic. But -just for today- and for a -very strong reason-, do follow my bandwagon.

[UTAlan]

I was out logic'd. Don't know who to vote for, so I'll trust Dm for 1 day.

eljoemo (3) - Elbirn, Fippe94, iancudorinmarian
Kuroaitou (3) - qwerter, skyironsword, Coffeeditto
Fippe94 (3) - Frozengaia, CrockettRocket, Kuroaitou
iancudorinmarian (1) - eljoemo,
Coffeeditto (2) - Dm1321, UTAlan

[Coffeeditto]

eljoemo (3) - Elbirn, Fippe94, iancudorinmarian
Kuroaitou (2) - qwerter, skyironsword
Fippe94 (3) - Frozengaia, CrockettRocket, Kuroaitou
iancudorinmarian (1) - eljoemo,
Coffeeditto (3) - Dm1321, UTAlan, Coffeeditto

[Nepycros]

eljoemo (3) - Elbirn, Fippe94, iancudorinmarian
Kuroaitou (3) - qwerter, skyironsword, Nepycros
Fippe94 (3) - Frozengaia, CrockettRocket, Kuroaitou
iancudorinmarian (1) - eljoemo,
Coffeeditto (3) - Dm1321, UTAlan, Coffeeditto

Lacking any ability to fact-check players, I can only provide my vote at the discretion of townies that can make a difference.

[skyironsword]

eljoemo (3) - Elbirn, Fippe94, iancudorinmarian
Kuroaitou (2) - qwerter, Nepycros
Fippe94 (3) - Frozengaia, CrockettRocket, Kuroaitou
iancudorinmarian (1) - eljoemo
Coffeeditto (4) - Dm1321, UTAlan, Coffeeditto, skyironsword

[Submachine]

I guess this then makes my secondary vote system pointless.

Keep on no-lynching (5) - UTAlan, Fippe94, Submachine, Frozengaia, CrockettRocket
Lynch someone (1) - iancudorinmarian

I'm still not convinced on the case of Coffeeditto, so for my own feeling better, I'll vote on the least active person again:

eljoemo (3) - Elbirn, Fippe94, iancudorinmarian
Kuroaitou (2) - qwerter, Nepycros
Fippe94 (3) - Frozengaia, CrockettRocket, Kuroaitou
iancudorinmarian (1) - eljoemo
Coffeeditto (4) - Dm1321, UTAlan, Coffeeditto, skyironsword
Brusterix (1) - Submachine

Also, the trend shows that new players always become mafia; skyironsword(Mafia 38) and I(Mafia 41) are the best examples for that.

[Brusterix]

Oh, it is such a nice day, but where are everyone, haven't seen or heard anything. Hey, what is that crowd of people over there talking about lynching? Points accidentally towards Fippe94.

eljoemo (3) - Elbirn, Fippe94, iancudorinmarian
Kuroaitou (2) - qwerter, Nepycros
Fippe94 (4) - Frozengaia, CrockettRocket, Kuroaitou, Brusterix
iancudorinmarian (1) - eljoemo
Coffeeditto (4) - Dm1321, UTAlan, Coffeeditto, skyironsword
Brusterix (1) - Submachine

[iancudorinmarian]

Somebody move my vote on Coffee