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dimondghost

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so far not a single card from t50 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=3824.msg36209#msg36209
« on: March 10, 2010, 07:47:19 pm »
I played about 200 games vs T50 and not a single card.... even AI3 is kinder than that lol


MrBlonde

  • Guest
Re: so far not a single card from t50 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=3824.msg36557#msg36557
« Reply #1 on: March 11, 2010, 12:03:49 pm »
I played about 200 games vs T50 and not a single card.... even AI3 is kinder than that lol
Really? That doesn't seem right at all. In my last 185 games i've won 78 cards (156 victories) and i can't believe the disparity would be that big.

got a wish

  • Guest
Re: so far not a single card from t50 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=3824.msg36578#msg36578
« Reply #2 on: March 11, 2010, 01:58:20 pm »
its all about luck

got a wish

  • Guest
Re: so far not a single card from t50 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=3824.msg36579#msg36579
« Reply #3 on: March 11, 2010, 01:59:09 pm »
oh and that is a bit strange not winning a card in that many games.. you must be pretty unlucky

ChaosLord

  • Guest
Re: so far not a single card from t50 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=3824.msg36582#msg36582
« Reply #4 on: March 11, 2010, 02:17:23 pm »
I played about 200 games vs T50 and not a single card.... even AI3 is kinder than that lol
I think I have the answer...

How many of those 200 games did you win?  0?

MrBlonde

  • Guest
Re: so far not a single card from t50 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=3824.msg37192#msg37192
« Reply #5 on: March 12, 2010, 04:47:15 pm »
its all about luck
Ehhhh, yeah it's all about luck (but really it's all about the math) but c'mon getting that unlucky doesn't seem right. Here are my percentages

FG - 641 wins, 274 cards (42.75%)
AI3 - 4 wins, 2 cards (50%)
T50 - 288 wins, 137 cards (47.57%)

So the standard rate over the long term should be around 40% or so. T50 will always be higher because of people putting up farms which increase percentage. Soooo either there is a bit of exaggeration going on or you might be the unluckiest person ever. Or like Chaos Lord stated, you didn't win any games which i highly doubt, so actually what would be better is if you stated how many games you won.

dimondghost

  • Guest
Re: so far not a single card from t50 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=3824.msg37217#msg37217
« Reply #6 on: March 12, 2010, 06:09:33 pm »
I played about 200 games vs T50 and not a single card.... even AI3 is kinder than that lol
I think I have the answer...

How many of those 200 games did you win?  0?
win rate is about 40% with AI4.. with AI3 (win rate is about 95% speed/poison deck) I get a card about every 6-7 games.

MrBlonde

  • Guest
Re: so far not a single card from t50 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=3824.msg37260#msg37260
« Reply #7 on: March 12, 2010, 07:04:28 pm »
I played about 200 games vs T50 and not a single card.... even AI3 is kinder than that lol
I think I have the answer...

How many of those 200 games did you win?  0?
win rate is about 40% with AI4.. with AI3 (win rate is about 95% speed/poison deck) I get a card about every 6-7 games.
Not trying to be a jerk but are you sure you aren't exaggerating? If you've won 80 times the chances of you not getting a card at a 40% drop rate is roughly 1/50,000,000,000,000,000. At a 20% drop rate it's 1/5,000,000. If you aren't you need to play the unlucky lottery.

Wisemage

  • Guest
Re: so far not a single card from t50 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=3824.msg37331#msg37331
« Reply #8 on: March 12, 2010, 08:35:58 pm »
chances of winning a card in the spins is 3-5% (unless its a rare farm, but ignore that statistic)

Delreich

  • Guest
Re: so far not a single card from t50 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=3824.msg37565#msg37565
« Reply #9 on: March 13, 2010, 07:38:58 am »
chances of winning a card in the spins is 3-5%
They're a bit higher than that. Exact chance depends on the deck, but in the worst case it's a 1 in 16 chance per spin (6.25%).

One card per 6-7 lvl3 game is about half of what I've gotten when I've taken notes...

dimondghost

  • Guest
Re: so far not a single card from t50 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=3824.msg37940#msg37940
« Reply #10 on: March 14, 2010, 03:18:23 am »
I played about 200 games vs T50 and not a single card.... even AI3 is kinder than that lol
I think I have the answer...

How many of those 200 games did you win?  0?
win rate is about 40% with AI4.. with AI3 (win rate is about 95% speed/poison deck) I get a card about every 6-7 games.
Not trying to be a jerk but are you sure you aren't exaggerating? If you've won 80 times the chances of you not getting a card at a 40% drop rate is roughly 1/50,000,000,000,000,000. At a 20% drop rate it's 1/5,000,000. If you aren't you need to play the unlucky lottery.
here is what I meant, I win about 40% of the games with AI4 and dont get a single card. I win 95% of my games vs AI3 and get a card every 6-7 games.

so if I play 10 games against top50 / ai4 I get 0 cards

If I play 10 games against ai3 I get about 1 card

 

blarg: