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Offline Jenkar

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Re: Decks Used Against Arena with Stats 1.32 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=45840.msg1031073#msg1031073
« Reply #48 on: January 11, 2013, 07:50:33 pm »
Wrecking Ball by willng3
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Bronze
Wins | 44
Losses | 6
« Last Edit: January 11, 2013, 10:04:56 pm by Jenkar »
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Offline bminus

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Re: Decks Used Against Arena with Stats 1.32 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=45840.msg1031098#msg1031098
« Reply #49 on: January 11, 2013, 09:21:56 pm »
Decided to take the advice upthread and make a couple of small modifications to Raoulf's Gold League Killer 2.0.  Made a clear difference.

Please add for Gold testing.

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In Gold,

W 25
L 25
EM 2
SP 4

Not really sure that the SoBravery is really a help.  Would using a crowd-clearer like TStorm, Fire Rain, or Dessication be more effective?

Offline kev

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Re: Decks Used Against Arena with Stats 1.32 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=45840.msg1031118#msg1031118
« Reply #50 on: January 11, 2013, 10:17:49 pm »
Arena TADA 1.32 by kev
47-5 in silver

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Offline eaglgenes101

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Re: Decks Used Against Arena with Stats 1.32 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=45840.msg1031130#msg1031130
« Reply #51 on: January 11, 2013, 11:46:05 pm »
If I remember correctly, I managed to derive functions for the expected number of special spins per game given winrate. They compensate for the time used up by early losses, which take up fewer games than a loss that happens after you manage to fill up the rings most of the way (curse the RNG!).
(w is the probability of winning a game)
Plat: w^2 / (w+1)
Gold: w^3 / (w^2 + w + 1)
Silver: w^4 / (w^3 + w^2 + w + 1)
Bronze: w^5 / (w^4 + w^3 + w^2 + w + 1)

The average number of games needed per spin can be found by finding the inverse of these.

Can someone make a table for this please?
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1. If it ain't broke, don't wreck it.
2. Simple fixes for simple problems.
3. Remember to fill in the holes.

Offline Foraker

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Re: Decks Used Against Arena with Stats 1.32 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=45840.msg1031135#msg1031135
« Reply #52 on: January 12, 2013, 12:20:30 am »
If I remember correctly, I managed to derive functions for the expected number of special spins per game given winrate.

Can someone make a table for this please?

Win %Special BronzeSpecial SilverSpecial GoldSpecial Plat
95%77%81%86%90%
90%59%66%73%81%
85%44%52%61%72%
80%33%41%51%64%
75%24%32%42%56%
70%17%24%34%49%
65%12%18%27%42%
60%8%13%22%36%
55%5%9%17%30%
50%3%6%12%25%
45%2%4%9%20%
40%1%3%6%16%
35%1%2%4%12%
30%0%1%3%9%
25%0%0%2%6%
20%0%0%1%4%

Offline eaglgenes101

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Re: Decks Used Against Arena with Stats 1.32 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=45840.msg1031152#msg1031152
« Reply #53 on: January 12, 2013, 02:03:22 am »
If I remember correctly, I managed to derive functions for the expected number of special spins per game given winrate.

Can someone make a table for this please?

Win %Special BronzeSpecial SilverSpecial GoldSpecial Plat
95%77%81%86%90%
90%59%66%73%81%
85%44%52%61%72%
80%33%41%51%64%
75%24%32%42%56%
70%17%24%34%49%
65%12%18%27%42%
60%8%13%22%36%
55%5%9%17%30%
50%3%6%12%25%
45%2%4%9%20%
40%1%3%6%16%
35%1%2%4%12%
30%0%1%3%9%
25%0%0%2%6%
20%0%0%1%4%
That's not it.
My 3 game-modification principles:
1. If it ain't broke, don't wreck it.
2. Simple fixes for simple problems.
3. Remember to fill in the holes.

Offline MystiK_

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Re: Decks Used Against Arena with Stats 1.32 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=45840.msg1031155#msg1031155
« Reply #54 on: January 12, 2013, 02:11:55 am »
Brave Phoenix By Calindu
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Silver
Wins | 40
Losses | 10
Win Rate | 80%
Average TTW | 6.5

http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php/topic,38829.0.html
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Offline Jenkar

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Re: Decks Used Against Arena with Stats 1.32 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=45840.msg1031156#msg1031156
« Reply #55 on: January 12, 2013, 02:16:51 am »
Arena TADA 1.32 by kev
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Silver

Wins | 23
Losses | 13

Stopped there :F


If I remember correctly, I managed to derive functions for the expected number of special spins per game given winrate.

Can someone make a table for this please?

Win %Special BronzeSpecial SilverSpecial GoldSpecial Plat
95%77%81%86%90%
90%59%66%73%81%
85%44%52%61%72%
80%33%41%51%64%
75%24%32%42%56%
70%17%24%34%49%
65%12%18%27%42%
60%8%13%22%36%
55%5%9%17%30%
50%3%6%12%25%
45%2%4%9%20%
40%1%3%6%16%
35%1%2%4%12%
30%0%1%3%9%
25%0%0%2%6%
20%0%0%1%4%
That's not it.
Indeed, that's raw win rate.
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Offline wiretap

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Re: Decks Used Against Arena with Stats 1.32 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=45840.msg1031167#msg1031167
« Reply #56 on: January 12, 2013, 03:32:23 am »
EDIT : Testing Complete . 43-7 vs Bronze with an 86.00% Win Rate .
That's a great list, but 86% can be really fustrating when you 4/5 a lot.  Nice work though!
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Offline Jenkar

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Re: Decks Used Against Arena with Stats 1.32 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=45840.msg1031177#msg1031177
« Reply #57 on: January 12, 2013, 05:48:30 am »
MonoAether by Mesaprotector
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Silver
Wins | 84
Losses | 20

Going to test this beauty some moar.
« Last Edit: January 12, 2013, 06:30:32 pm by Jenkar »
The madness is in each of us. Close your eyes, sing, and open your webbed wings to the silent winds.
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Offline eaglgenes101

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Re: Decks Used Against Arena with Stats 1.32 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=45840.msg1031190#msg1031190
« Reply #58 on: January 12, 2013, 06:59:18 am »
Here's the table now:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AtbEnuymW9W4dEozY3pFQkJ4R0FKN1RoTU0wWE1MMVE

As you can see, the number of games average to get a spin climbs quickly as winrate goes down.
« Last Edit: January 12, 2013, 07:01:10 am by eaglgenes101 »
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Offline MystiK_

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Re: Decks Used Against Arena with Stats 1.32 https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=45840.msg1031205#msg1031205
« Reply #59 on: January 12, 2013, 09:21:15 am »
MonoAether by Mesaprotector
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Silver
Wins | 47
Losses | 5

Going to test this beauty some moar.
Thats the mod i used but the original has one more Elite Phase ._.
Could you please ask the author of the OP to change it to new mod?
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