[OUTDATED] Turns to win study

[hrmmm]

100 more games for destroyer rush V2:

avg.ttw: 5.40 (200 games)
em: 8
losses: 2

ttw 4: 43
ttw 5: 84
ttw 6: 41
ttw 7: 16
ttw 8: 10
ttw 9:  1
ttw 10: 3

ttw for 50 games each: 5.27 -- 5.43 -- 5.38 -- 5.52
no 3tk while testing 

[truddy02]

I did some preliminary testing on my Creation of Life Deck :http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php/topic,9542.0.html (http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php/topic,9542.0.html [nofollow])

After 20 games it had a ttw of 7.411 but had 3 losses.  I will update later with at least a full 100 games.  It looks like it may be up there with some of the fastest unupped decks but with higher losses.  My guess is that the average losses will go down slightly and the ttw up slightly.

[twinsbuster]

what is the propability of getting 3 quantum towers that generate 9 same quantum at 1st turn?

[Progwolf]

great idea!

[kobisjeruk]

what is the propability of getting 3 quantum towers that generate 9 same quantum at 1st turn?

1/(12^9)

[jmdt]

I did some preliminary testing on my Creation of Life Deck :http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php/topic,9542.0.html (http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php/topic,9542.0.html)

After 20 games it had a ttw of 7.411 but had 3 losses.  I will update later with at least a full 100 games.  It looks like it may be up there with some of the fastest unupped decks but with higher losses.  My guess is that the average losses will go down slightly and the ttw up slightly.

Thanks.  If you can do 200 games you would save me a lot of time, and help your deck's popularity  .  If you can post a breakdown by number of wins per number of turns, that would be great also.

[truddy02]

I did some preliminary testing on my Creation of Life Deck :http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php/topic,9542.0.html (http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php/topic,9542.0.html [nofollow])

After 20 games it had a ttw of 7.411 but had 3 losses.  I will update later with at least a full 100 games.  It looks like it may be up there with some of the fastest unupped decks but with higher losses.  My guess is that the average losses will go down slightly and the ttw up slightly.

Thanks.  If you can do 200 games you would save me a lot of time, and help your deck's popularity  .  If you can post a breakdown by number of wins per number of turns, that would be great also.

I can definitely do that.   It may take me a few days, I'm at 40 games right now testing it 20 at a time.  I do have all the stats on how many wins per how many turns but I don't have EM stats(its quite rare anyway).

[jmdt]

I don't have EM stats(its quite rare anyway).

Testing for 200 games does take a bit of time.  Don't worry about EM's.  I only look at those in an EM deck.

[truddy02]

Halfway done with the Creation of Life deck testing.  After 100 games.

Avg ttw: 7.425
Losses: 20
5 turns: 3
6 turns: 27
7 turns: 17
8 turns: 14
9 turns: 10
10 turns: 6
11 turns: 2
14 turns: 1

Code: [Select]

4vj 4vj 4vj 4vj 4vj 4vj 5bt 5bt 5bt 5bt 5bv 5bv 5bv 5bv 5bv 5bv 5c7 5c7 5c7 5c7 5c7 5c7 5lf 5lf 5ok 5ok 5ok 5ok 5ok 5ok

[RavingRabbid]

Code: [Select]

4sa 4sa 4sa 4sa 4sa 4sa 4ve 4vj 4vj 4vj 4vj 4vj 4vj 52t 52t 55l 590 590 5bu 5bu 5bu 5f2 5f9 5ie 5lh 5om 5rr 5uv 620 620
ATM this deck has 6.9 after 10 games. Can someone do some further tests?

Turn data
7
7
6
6
6
7
7
6
8
9

[truddy02]

Final stats on creation of life:
200 games
ttw: 7.523
losses: 47 - 23.5%
5 turns: 10 - 5%
6 turns: 44 - 22%
7 turns: 36 - 18%
8 turns: 26 - 13%
9 turns: 18 - 9%
10 turns: 10 - 5%
11 turns: 6 - 3%
12 turns: 1 - .5%
13 turns: 1 - .5%
14 turns: 1 - .5%

In the end it turned out to be quite fast but inconsistent.  I had a run of 20 games where I was 12-8 with a ttw over 9.  So its up there with some of the fastest decks but has a lot of loses. 

[jmdt]

Final stats on creation of life:
200 games
ttw: 7.523
losses: 47 - 23.5%
5 turns: 10 - 5%
6 turns: 44 - 22%
7 turns: 36 - 18%
8 turns: 26 - 13%
9 turns: 18 - 9%
10 turns: 10 - 5%
11 turns: 6 - 3%
12 turns: 1 - .5%
13 turns: 1 - .5%
14 turns: 1 - .5%

In the end it turned out to be quite fast but inconsistent.  I had a run of 20 games where I was 12-8 with a ttw over 9.  So its up there with some of the fastest decks but has a lot of loses.

Thanks truddy, I'll add it later.