[OUTDATED] FG Efficiency Study - Applying statistics to all of the myths

[Djhopper :)]

EDIT: Woz wrong

[10 men]

That was about the only part of his post that was correct...
What you're looking for is not the probability to win one or more cards, it's the EV of three spins. For that you have to multiply the EV of one spin by 3.

[Djhopper :)]

That was about the only part of his post that was correct...
What you're looking for is not the probability to win one or more cards, it's the EV of three spins. For that you have to multiply the EV of one spin by 3.

EV?

[parasite99]

That was about the only part of his post that was correct...
What you're looking for is not the probability to win one or more cards, it's the EV of three spins. For that you have to multiply the EV of one spin by 3.

EV?

Expected Value...At least that is EV in poker xD

[twixy10]

is this topic (http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php/topic,20376.24.html) and the tabel in it maybe usefull for this deck?

(the topic has the average coin gain from each FG, so if a deck is very good against the FG's with high spinning rates it has a better FGei (?)

[10 men]

is this topic (http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php/topic,20376.24.html) and the tabel in it maybe usefull for this deck?

(the topic has the average coin gain from each FG, so if a deck is very good against the FG's with high spinning rates it has a better FGei (?)

Like I said, that table is wrong too most likely, I was able to verify Dark Weaver's calculation and they are correct for the spin mechanism given by him, but his drop rates don't seem to match with the drop rates observed in game and in trainer (at least for the testing I've done so far, feel free to try and check for yourself).

[Jangoo]

Guess it's a good thing we will have empirical data on drop-rates which is based on more than
4000 games once the first round of this study is completed. 

[Veen]

Question: Both Gumbeh and Jenkar tested VVV, but the opening post only shows Jenkars stats. Arent you combining the stats? Or am I missing something here?

[Jenkar]

Question: Both Gumbeh and Jenkar tested VVV, but the opening post only shows Jenkars stats. Arent you combining the stats? Or am I missing something here?

Gumbeh hasn't normalised stats yet

[kirchj33]

deck	MA
players	kirchj33

version	1.285		win-rate	43.14%
$ track ?	enabled		win-rate (n)	43%
games	153		Score/h	408
win-loss-(EM)	66-87-(23)		Score/h (n)	404
time (h:m:s)	08:39:00		FGei[c]* (http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php/topic,14626.0.html)	3356
min/game	03:24		FGei[cn]* (http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php/topic,14626.0.html)	3341

      Statmasta™4000                                                                *assumed card-spin/win: 35%      
      
"

score/h	FGei(c)	Statmasta™4000	wins	losses	skips	EM/Wins
843    899    -159    -243    1530    -752    -362    -432    -117    -2741    1271    -535    -190    -68       -762    661    -151    806    -58    810    1493    349    -1226    777    1234    630    354    552    853	5756    5406    2325    1984    6984    -752    821    -432    1975    -2741    6667    -535    1512    2500       -762    4186    1109    3982    727    5227    6866    4354    -1226    4372    6512    4611    2816    3101    5807	Akebono Chaos Lord Dark Matter Decay Destiny Divine Glory Dream Catcher Elidnis Eternal Phoenix Ferox Fire Queen Gemini Graviton Hecate Hermes Incarnate Jezebel Lionheart Miracle Morte Neptune Obliterator Octane Osiris Paradox Rainbow Scorpio Seism Serket	2    3    1    1    4         1        1        8        1    1        2    1    5    1    4    4    3        2    8    2    3    4    4	1     1     3     4           3     6     5     3     5     2     7     4     3     3     1     4     1     5     1         6     8     1     1     1     3     3     2		1                  3                                    4                                          3      1            3      1            1      3                  3

"      
      

      
http://www.mediafire.com/?aap9171l6l8yn3h (http://www.mediafire.com/?aap9171l6l8yn3h)

[Onizuka]

Kirch ish FGei killah!

[kirchj33]

Kirch ish FGei killah!

/cheer!

The crazy thing is, I had a better win rate & was only 9 seconds slower per game.