Elements Slot Machine Simulator

[Xenocidius]

Introducing the XenoSim™!

Using the slot machine algorithm provided by Dark Weaver, I wrote a small (actually, it's gotten quite large) program to simulate how many cards would be won in a certain number of games against a given deck.

>> Open the XenoSim™ in a new window << (http://xenocidius.webs.com/slotmachinesimulator.htm)

Basically, you copy and paste a deck code, enter the amount of games you would like to win, and it will run a simulation, then return the number of cards it won and the number of games in which it won a card.

It can handle 10000 games pretty soundly, but can get quite slow with significantly higher numbers.

Thoughts? Queries? Suggestions?

Thanks to:

• Dark Weaver: for providing the algorithm and correcting mine.
• Jenkar: for helping me with (by which I mean making) the card database.
• Malignant: for assisting and hindering us.
• Bhlewos: for coming up with the name.
• light_sefi: for inspiring me to make it in the first place.

[PlayerOa]

Awesome work, Xeno.

[Xenocidius]

Updated! It is now in Gamma (I'm not that familiar with version naming, but whatever)!

The new version can be found here (http://xenocidius.webs.com/simulator.htm).

New features:

• A full table of different cards won
• A pretty background

Be sure to post suggestions for new features and general feedback.

[Xenocidius]

Another update.

New features:

• Countless bug fixes
• Support for Relics

I'm also considering adding an index of every card in the game. This would also allow me to add an option to select whether the spin allows upgraded cards, and would automatically downgrade them if not. It would also replace the ugly card code in the output table with the card name.

Thoughts?

[Xenocidius]

Awesome Update Alert

It is now in Delta.

New features:

• Shows the name of each card won
• Shows extra electrum won from spins (5 for each matchup of 2 + sell prices for cards won)
• Shows extra electrum won per game on average

[Bhlewos]

Awesome work, Xeno, +rep.

One question -- I input Decay's deck in here, and got back an "undefined". I thought it might be the mark so I took that out, but I still got the result:



Here's the deck for reference.

by Bhlewos

Hover over cards for details, click for permalink

Deck import code : [Select]

7t6 7t6 7t6 7t6 7t6 7t6 7t8 7t9 7t9 7ta 7tc 7tc 7tc 7tc 7tc 7tc 808 808 808 808 808 808 808 80e 80i 80i 80i 80i 80i 80i 8pt

EDIT: Actually, by process of elimination, it seems to be Eclipse?

[Xenocidius]

Yep, that's Eclipse. It must not be in the database - I'll put it in. Thanks.

Edit: Fixed. It should work now.

[Xenocidius]

What's this, another update?

New features:

• There is now an option to select whether the spin allows upgraded cards to be won
• Upgraded card names are bolded

And now it does everything I originally intended it to do, so I guess it's in Omega.

I hope you enjoy the tool.

[rosutosefi]

Like my card spin simulator, with 9001x user-friendliness 

[Xenocidius]

Oh well, there's always time for one more update.

New features:

• Export forum code: Create a copy-paste-able code for easy copy-pasting into the Forums!
• Version update: Supports 1.29

Here's an example of the code created by the program:

by Xenocidius

Hover over cards for details, click for permalink

Deck import code : [Select]

61o 61o 61o 61o 61o 61o 61o 61o 61o 61o 61o 61o 61o 61o 61o 61q 61q 61q 61r 61r 61s 61s 61t 61t 61t 61t 61t 61u 61u 61v 61v 61v 620 620 620 620 623 623 623 623 624 624 8pu

Runs: 100000
Upgraded spin: No

Cards won: 41315
Cards per game: 0.413
Droprate (%): 33.584

Extra electrum won: 2365006
Extra electrum per game: 23.65

Card	Won (total)	% of all cards won	Won (per game)
Aether Pillar	394	0.95	0.004
Lightning	4249	10.28	0.042
Parallel Universe	2313	5.60	0.023
Immortal	2315	5.60	0.023
Dimensional Shield	9702	23.48	0.097
Lobotomizer	2358	5.71	0.024
Phase Dragon	4306	10.42	0.043
Phase Spider	6674	16.15	0.067
Mindgate	6745	16.33	0.067
Silence	2259	5.47	0.023

[rosutosefi]

Play 1000000 games!
It only lasts 1-2 mins.

[Bhlewos]

=O You used my nickname for the "XenoSim"! =D

Just out of curiosity, I took a list of the card droprates of all the False Gods then ranked them from highest droprate to lowest -- plus most-won card, just because. 10,000 runs for all of them.

False God	Card Droprate	Most Won Card
Divine Glory	48.76	Morning Glory
Decay	45.50	Fractal
Octane	44.29	Unstable Gas
Jezebel	43.33	Nymph's Tears
Akebono	42.82	Massive Dragon
Eternal Phoenix	41.83	Minor Phoenix
Osiris	41.50	Pharaoh
Hecate	41.40	Voodoo Doll
Fire Queen	40.16	Feral Bond
Gemini	39.14	Twin Universe
Serket	38.41	Deathstalker
Incarnate	37.91	Vampire
Obliterator	37.86	Elite Shrieker
Graviton	37.23	Graviton Firemaster
Paradox	36.70	Improved Blessing/Elite Deja Vu (tie)
Lionheart	36.69	Crusader
Neptune	36.47	Shockwave
Destiny	35.66	Fate Egg
Ferox	35.39	Ray of Light
Seism	33.57	Elite Graboid
Dark Matter	33.23	Black Hole
Chaos Lord	32.58	Supernova/Ray of Light (tie)
Morte	31.97	Retrovirus
Hermes	31.28	Lava Destroyer
Elidnis	30.91	Forest Spectre
Dream Catcher	30.88	Supernova
Miracle	30.49	Elite Queen
Scorpio	30.26	Pufferfish
Rainbow	29.58	Electrum Hourglass

A few things:

• 10k runs still isn't the most accurate, so take these with a grain of salt, but only a grain. Running multiple tests on the same False God, for example, gave a max of 1 percent difference either way, so these can be taken to be pretty accurate.
• Matches up with experience as well. For example any long-time veteran FG farmer can tell you Divine Glory and Decay have the best droprates, whereas Rainbow is the clear loser of the bunch (as if anyone needed another reason to skip him).
• Most won cards shouldn't be seen as anything other than a ballpark. While some (Pharaoh for Osiris and Graviton Firemaster for Graviton) were pretty obvious -- both approached 50% out of the cards won -- others, like Supernova for Dream Catcher, were pretty close to the "second place" cards and could will be different for new tests.
• I found two more cards that the XenoSim registers as "undefined" -- Crusader and Condor.