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ntz

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something wrong with random in oracle ? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=30702.msg390201#msg390201
« on: September 07, 2011, 10:14:38 am »
hello,

i play elements long time and i experienced that in past 2 months i've got *several nymphs from oracle .. eg i made +100% of all nymphs i have since start (before 2 years) in two months. Is it just luck or was an oracle tweaked to be more *generous ?

regards, ntz
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Offline pikachufan2164

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Re: something wrong with random in oracle ? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=30702.msg390202#msg390202
« Reply #1 on: September 07, 2011, 10:20:59 am »
Probably just you having a run of good luck.

When you take into account all of the Oracle spins ever made by every single Elements account, the chances of getting any Nymph probably hovers at around 3% (Zanz estimates 1 Nymph per month for each account on average).
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ntz

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Re: something wrong with random in oracle ? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=30702.msg390204#msg390204
« Reply #2 on: September 07, 2011, 10:39:37 am »
ps. to be precise and to not scary you:

i've made in past two months (and i spin approx ~ 4 times per week) these nymphs:

- 1x water, 2x fire, 1x dark, 1x time

^^ 5 nymphs / 2 months .. i'm lucky bastard then :P
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Offline Ryli

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Re: something wrong with random in oracle ? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=30702.msg390206#msg390206
« Reply #3 on: September 07, 2011, 10:49:25 am »
Quote from: ntz on September 07, 2011, 10:39:37 am
ps. to be precise and to not scary you:

i've made in past two months (and i spin approx ~ 4 times per week) these nymphs:

- 1x water, 2x fire, 1x dark, 1x time

^^ 5 nymphs / 2 months .. i'm lucky bastard then :P
Yes that is good luck. It might average itself out eventually, though, so don't be surprised if you go nymphless for the next 3 months.
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Scaredgirl

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Re: something wrong with random in oracle ? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=30702.msg390211#msg390211
« Reply #4 on: September 07, 2011, 10:56:47 am »
Quote from: ntz on September 07, 2011, 10:39:37 am
ps. to be precise and to not scary you:

i've made in past two months (and i spin approx ~ 4 times per week) these nymphs:

- 1x water, 2x fire, 1x dark, 1x time

^^ 5 nymphs / 2 months .. i'm lucky bastard then :P
I had a similar winning streak when the Oracle was first introduced. It's kind of weird but good luck happens sometimes.
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Offline Kamietsu

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Re: something wrong with random in oracle ? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=30702.msg390212#msg390212
« Reply #5 on: September 07, 2011, 10:57:06 am »
All of the nymphs I have, 7 of them, I got within 2 months. It's just good luck :)
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ntz

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Re: something wrong with random in oracle ? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=30702.msg391154#msg391154
« Reply #6 on: September 09, 2011, 09:49:27 am »
(http://susepaste.org/view/raw/76388317)

yet another today ... how is this possible .. i really suggest that some devel reviews that .. it definitely doesn't seem as just plain luck ..

regards, ntz
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Offline omegareaper7

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Re: something wrong with random in oracle ? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=30702.msg391251#msg391251
« Reply #7 on: September 09, 2011, 04:15:22 pm »
It is just luck. I have more then most even though i haven't played as long as some others.
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Re: something wrong with random in oracle ? https://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=30702.msg394838#msg394838
« Reply #8 on: September 18, 2011, 01:13:46 pm »
It's probably just good luck.  I once asked the same question when I won 4 nymphs in about 10 days.  I thought the probabilities had been changed when the new arena came in, because the first of those 4 was my first oracle card when the arena came in.

I've only had one since then, so I think it was just a good luck streak :)
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