As usual, I haven't looked at the above post yet.
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There are a few good reasons to send sanc stall at Pony. We can't run sanc stall at Pony. There are a few good reasons to send sanc stall at Pony. We can't run sanc stall at Pony. We're down to just a few decks and it just makes too much sense for us to send sancs their way. They're capable of building dimfractalagon to counter it, and at some level they won't want to send aether cards to an aether matchup anyway. Unfortunately our only options to beat dimfractalagon use either deflags, nymphs, or steals. The 2 Nymphs we used last round is certainly an option and it tested well against their grabbow, too. I posted
this as a dark duo strat version worth considering. It's not bad against their grabbows either and has the advantage of not being used before.
Though it doesn't do well against their mono. Which they definitely won't send at Aether so I guess it's more likely we'll see it. Crap. Here I begin to get derailed.
I don't think we have a deck that beats both their mono (a rush) and dimfractalagons (a break). Last round they built something specifically to counter sanc stall and were crushed when we brought something else. Do they really salvage all the components just to send it to us again? Or do they send mono, which beats the last version we used of 2 nymphs, Cane,
and Bonair, all/any of which they might suspect we still have?
ConclusionThe three most likely decks we'll see are dimfractalagons, mono, and grabbow.
- If we think they're more likely to go with dimfractalagons than mono, I think we go dark duo, which beats dimfractalagons and grabbow.
- If we think they're more likely to go with mono than dimfractalagons, we have a number of options and should probably pick based on what we have left from the aether matchups. Sanc stall is one clear option. Anything else will need to be overquanta'd and have at least a couple fogs.
- Odd that they played 0 lobos last round. They showed 6 in two decks the round before and won with them. I'm sure it's coincidence. Just odd.
Jen's initial thought was we could see 2x psiontals out of them. I agree they're capable of sending the same deck twice in the hopes of going 50/50, but I don't think it's likely we'll see 2x psiontals because they can't risk losing both to mirror shield sanc stall and 2 Nymphs.
RoL/Hope and bone bolt aren't real likely, which makes grabbow, psiontal, and fractix their most likely candidates. Unfortunately they sometimes use dims in some builds of all three of those and we're more likely than last round to face dims. I think it's unwise to use Cane again as we did last round. As I said in the Entropy matchup, our only options against dims are deflags, nymphs, and steals. Here I'd add stalls. Sanc stall beats some of their range (though I'd love to keep hidden the fact we're out of mirrors). Using a dim stall against that range is bad.
In conclusion I guess the three decks I recommend are sanc stall, 2 nymphs, and some form of the dark duo, and I don't have strong feelings for which belongs where. Yet.
