Team Fire - Strategy

[deuce22]

So, Eva and I just determined that fire most likely has 0 immos, but could have a max of 3 remaining.

We also determined that they have a minimum of 3 phoenices, but probably have a few more lurking in their vault.

Therefore immophoenix is dead, but fractix is still feasible.

http://pastie.org/private/yn1krgiuscaixy8w9j9q1q

[pikachufan2164]

by pikachufan2164

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4vh 4vj 4vj 4vj 4vj 4vj 55q 5c1 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f6 5f6 5fa 5fa 5fb 5fb 5gi 5gi 5gi 5og 61q 71a 77g 77g 77g 77g 7do 8pm

by pikachufan2164

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5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f4 5f4 5f4 5f4 5f4 5f4 5f5 5f7 5f7 5f8 5f8 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 5lg 5li 5li 5lm 5lm 5lm 5lm 5lm 5lm 8pq

by pikachufan2164

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5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f2 5f2 5f6 5f6 5fa 5fa 5fa 5fa 5fa 5fb 5fb 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 77j 77j 7di 8pm

by pikachufan2164

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5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f2 5f2 5f6 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 61t 61t 61t 61t 61t 622 622 8pu

by pikachufan2164

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52o 52o 52o 52o 52o 52o 52p 52p 52q 52q 52r 52r 52r 52r 61q 61q 61q 61q 61t 61t 63a 63a 63a 63a 63a 63a 63a 63a 63a 63a 8pk

Cards left: 67
Cards known: 30
Cards saved from losses: 6
Cards salvaged from wins: 6
Cards unknown: 25

Match-up:
Gen. Napalm Grenade vs. Gen. Higurashi

[willng3]

In depth breakdown:

Cards remaining from Round 9:
1 Lycan
5 Nova
1 Arsenic
1 Momentum
4 Graboid
1 Forest Spirit
20 Burning Pillars
5 Deflag
3 RoF
7 Lava Golem
4 Rage Potion
19 Fire Pends
1 Fog
1 Lightning
1 Reflective Shield
6 Sanctuary
2 EQ
2 Miracle
2 Fahrenheit
1 Fire Shield
6 Fire Bolt
3 Crimson Dragon
Cards used during Round 10:
1 Lycan
5 Nova
1 Arsenic
1 Momentum
4 Graboid
1 Forest Spirit
30 Burning Pillars
5 Deflags
3 RoF
7 Lava Golem
4 Rage Potion
30 Fire Pends
1 Fog
1 Lightning
1 Reflective Shield
6 Sanctuary
2 EQ
2 Miracle
2 Fahrenheit
1 Fire Shield
6 Fire Bolt
5 Crimson Dragon
5 Dim Shield
2 Fractal
Difference between the two rounds:
10 Burning Pillar
11 Fire Pends
5 Dim Shield
2 Fractal
2 Crimson Dragon
Okay now things get a bit more complicated.

Salvageable cards (of the difference):  4 Dim Shield, 2 Fractal
Unknown cards revealed:  6 (minimum), 12 (maximum)
-1 Dim Shield, 2 Crimson Dragon + 3 Pends/Pillars OR 5 Dim Shield, 2 Fractal, 2 Crimson Dragon + 3 Pends/Pillars (we'll probably assume 6 to be safe)

However because the difference between revealed cards for each round is a total of 30 and we knew that they salvaged 18 new cards during Round 9, this means the total for Unknown cards revealed during Round 10 must be 12.  Therefore, we must add 6 Pends/Pillars to the minimum listed above to balance this.
Removing these 12 cards gives us 25 unknown cards remaining from Round 9 - the exact same unknown cards remaining during Round 10.  A number of these could have been converted between Rounds 9 and 10.
There are also 5 PUs which have not been seen since Round 8.
The number of salvages Fire has been given makes this much more difficult to break down, however, and there is a large amount of uncertainty stemming from them.

[pikachufan2164]

Discard all:

by pikachufan2164

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52o 52o 52o 52o 52o 52o 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f4 5f4 5f4 5f4 5f4 5f4 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 71a 71a 71b 71b 71b 7do 8pk

Cards left: 49
Cards known: 0
Cards saved from losses: 0
Cards salvaged from wins: 0
Cards from Event: 12
Cards unknown: 49 (37 from Vault, 12 from Event)

Match-up:
None

[pikachufan2164]

Bump; no change from last time, since Fire got a bye last round.

[pikachufan2164]

Remaining deck:

by pikachufan2164

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4vh 4vj 4vj 4vj 4vj 4vj 4vj 5c1 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f6 5f6 5fa 5fb 5fb 5fb 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 5og 61r 61r 71a 74a 74e 7do 7ds 80b 8pu

Cards left: 49
Cards known: 30
Cards saved from losses: 0
Cards salvaged from wins: 0
Cards unknown: 19

Match-up:
Gen. Napalm Grenade vs. Gen. Zeru

[pikachufan2164]

Remaining deck:

by pikachufan2164

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4vh 4vj 4vj 4vj 4vj 4vj 4vj 55q 5c1 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f6 5f6 5fa 5fa 5fb 5fb 5fb 5gi 5gi 5gi 5gi 61q 71a 77g 77g 77g 77g 7ds 8pm

Salvage 6:

by pikachufan2164

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4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4ve 4ve 4ve 4ve 4vf 4vf 4vf 4vf 4vf 4vf 6u5 6u5 6u7 6u7 6u9 6u9 8pj

Cards left: 55
Cards known: 30
Cards saved from losses: 0
Cards salvaged from wins: 6
Cards unknown: 19

Match-up:
Gen. Napalm Grenade vs. Lt. vagman13

[pikachufan2164]

Remaining deck:

by pikachufan2164

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4vh 4vj 4vj 4vj 4vj 4vj 4vj 5c1 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f0 5f6 5f6 5fa 5fa 5fb 5fb 5fb 5gi 5gi 5gi 5ia 61q 74e 77g 77g 77g 77g 7ds 8pm

Salvage 6:

by pikachufan2164

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4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vc 4vd 4vg 52o 5ia 8pm

Cards left: 61
Cards known: 30
Cards saved from losses: 0
Cards salvaged from wins: 6
Cards unknown: 25

Match-up:
Gen. Napalm Grenade vs. Gen. Higurashi

[pikachufan2164]

Fire's sub win was a negotiated sub win, so it was a +3 salvage instead. This has been reflected in the card counts for the previous round.

Scratch that, they got a full salvage. Not that it matters though, since they can easily get to the 60-71 card sweet spot anyhow with the Event card -_-"