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Offline teffy

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Re: The oracle: Your fortune and your nymph. http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=2288.msg452130#msg452130
« Reply #204 on: January 24, 2012, 01:07:06 AM »
I somehow remember 10% .
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Offline Winter Is Coming

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Re: The oracle: Your fortune and your nymph. http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=2288.msg452168#msg452168
« Reply #205 on: January 24, 2012, 04:23:54 AM »
Alright. That sounds like a good/reasonable number for getting free cards. I must just be getting unlucky so far - because I'm somewhere around 2-5%. That just means I've got even more coming to me around the corner. Thanks.

Offline furballdn

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Re: The oracle: Your fortune and your nymph. http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=2288.msg452171#msg452171
« Reply #206 on: January 24, 2012, 04:31:05 AM »
Anyone know what the actual odds of getting a card are? Not just a nymph, but in general. (Although if you know the nymph odds, that'd be cool, too.) I think I've only won 3-4 cards in my first couple months playing. Not complaining - just wondering.
card win rate is 10% IIRC. If the oracle spins a nymph, it has a 50% chance of re-spinning. So your chances of getting a specific nymph would be .5*1/(totalcardsingame). Nymph as the card guarantees you getting it though.

Offline RRQJ

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Re: The oracle: Your fortune and your nymph. http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=2288.msg452194#msg452194
« Reply #207 on: January 24, 2012, 05:52:34 AM »
Anyone know what the actual odds of getting a card are? Not just a nymph, but in general. (Although if you know the nymph odds, that'd be cool, too.) I think I've only won 3-4 cards in my first couple months playing. Not complaining - just wondering.
card win rate is 10% IIRC. If the oracle spins a nymph, it has a 50% chance of re-spinning. So your chances of getting a specific nymph would be .5*1/(totalcardsingame). Nymph as the card guarantees you getting it though.
Imagine the amount of rage that would occur if instead of respinning, 50% of the time you spin a nymph you just don't get it.

And I honestly think the non-nymph card win rate is lower than 10%.  I've seen the 10% number thrown around, and yes, personal experience isn't good evidence, but still...

Offline mesaprotector

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Re: The oracle: Your fortune and your nymph. http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=2288.msg452203#msg452203
« Reply #208 on: January 24, 2012, 06:24:00 AM »
The card I'm really hoping to spin is Malignant Cell. Imagine the sort of arena decks you could make :P
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Offline Winter Is Coming

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Re: The oracle: Your fortune and your nymph. http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=2288.msg452207#msg452207
« Reply #209 on: January 24, 2012, 06:59:30 AM »
Anyone know what the actual odds of getting a card are? Not just a nymph, but in general. (Although if you know the nymph odds, that'd be cool, too.) I think I've only won 3-4 cards in my first couple months playing. Not complaining - just wondering.
card win rate is 10% IIRC. If the oracle spins a nymph, it has a 50% chance of re-spinning. So your chances of getting a specific nymph would be .5*1/(totalcardsingame). Nymph as the card guarantees you getting it though.
I think I got 223 cards total in the game. So, does that make the odds of getting any nymph 12*.5*1/223? Because, if I did this right, that gives you just about a 2.7% chance of getting a nymph. Obviously I haven't been playing this nearly long enough to know if that sounds right or not.

Offline OdinVanguard

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Re: The oracle: Your fortune and your nymph. http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=2288.msg452418#msg452418
« Reply #210 on: January 24, 2012, 09:17:20 PM »
its also worth pointing out that with probabilities this low, the standard deviation will be pretty high. That means a given person could experience what seems like a much different rate over even a fairly large number of spins. I.e. just because the probability is 3% doesn't mean you'll get 3 in 100 spins... you might get none or you might get several. I haven't crunched the numbers specifically, but I think you would probably need to do a few thousand spins to really get a good window on the average...
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Offline n00b

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Re: The oracle: Your fortune and your nymph. http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=2288.msg452528#msg452528
« Reply #211 on: January 25, 2012, 03:19:17 AM »
Well I average about 1 nymph per month, as I have been playing for 5ish months and have 5 nymphs :D
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Offline Winter Is Coming

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Re: The oracle: Your fortune and your nymph. http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=2288.msg452533#msg452533
« Reply #212 on: January 25, 2012, 03:42:21 AM »
Oddly enough, I got my first nymph ever today. So... moral of the story - ask about it in a forum thread, and ye shall receive.

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Re: The oracle: Your fortune and your nymph. http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=2288.msg452923#msg452923
« Reply #213 on: January 26, 2012, 08:00:24 AM »
The game told me that Zanzarino's head should explode just about now.

Got the entropy nymph and I'm just three days into the game. :)

Offline Chapuz

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Re: The oracle: Your fortune and your nymph. http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=2288.msg453138#msg453138
« Reply #214 on: January 26, 2012, 10:36:37 PM »
The game told me that Zanzarino's head should explode just about now.

Got the entropy nymph and I'm just three days into the game. :)
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Offline Boingo

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Re: The oracle: Your fortune and your nymph. http://elementscommunity.org/forum/index.php?topic=2288.msg453219#msg453219
« Reply #215 on: January 27, 2012, 01:08:49 AM »
Anyone know what the actual odds of getting a card are? Not just a nymph, but in general. (Although if you know the nymph odds, that'd be cool, too.) I think I've only won 3-4 cards in my first couple months playing. Not complaining - just wondering.
card win rate is 10% IIRC. If the oracle spins a nymph, it has a 50% chance of re-spinning. So your chances of getting a specific nymph would be .5*1/(totalcardsingame). Nymph as the card guarantees you getting it though.
Nymph win rate is ~2.5%.  I don't know about card win rate is supposed to be, but actual recorded win rate for a years worth of spins was nearly 14% (rate did not change significantly with >400 spins.)

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N.B.: Disregard stats on FGs--this was before they were always named.
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