Nothing, besides the fact that it did not work out too well the last time...
Come on, I need more than that. If this was a poker game and you were trying to figure out who has the best hand, what would you look for?
For starters, I don't gamble.
But if I were playing poker, I would
- observe facial and other reactions
- observe betting and bluffing tendencies
- count the cards
While it is true that all we have here are the 'oral' reactions and the votes, but those seem to be unreliable.
Actually, based on posts, we could propose that you are one of the mafia, working on riots to make civvies kill each other...